Hurricane Isabel:Live Thread #2 "Force Ten Conditions In North Carolina And Further North"

NHC | 9-17-03 | My Favorite Headache

[My Favorite Headache]

Hurricane Isabel Advisory Number 48

Statement as of 11:00 PM EDT on September 17, 2003

...Outer bands of Hurricane Isabel moving onshore...weather should gradually worsen...

A Hurricane Warning remains in effect from Cape Fear North Carolina to Chincoteague Virginia...including Pamlico and Albemarle sounds...and the Chesapeake Bay south of Smith Point. A Hurricane Warning means that hurricane conditions are expected within the warning area...generally within 24 hours.

All preparations to protect life and property should be rushed to completion in the Hurricane Warning area.

A Tropical Storm Warning remains in effect south of Cape Fear to South Santee River South Carolina...and north of Chincoteague to Sandy Hook New Jersey...including Delaware Bay. A Tropical Storm Warning also remains in effect for the Chesapeake Bay from Smith Point northward...and for the tidal Potomac.

At 11 PM EDT...0300z...the center of Hurricane Isabel was located by an Air Force reconnaissance aircraft near latitude 31.9 north... longitude 73.9 west or about 250 miles south-southeast of Cape Hatteras North Carolina.

Isabel is moving toward the north-northwest near 13 mph. A turn to the northwest with an increase in forward speed is expected prior to landfall. On the forecast track...the center of Isabel is expected to make landfall in eastern North Carolina during the day Thursday. However...conditions will deteriorate over a large area well before the center reaches the coast. Tropical storm conditions are already spreading across the coastline.

Maximum sustained winds are near 105 mph...with higher gusts. A slight increase in strength is possible prior to landfall.

Hurricane force winds extend outward up to 115 miles from the center...and tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 315 miles. A buoy located west of the hurricane recently reported wind gusts to 74 mph and 32 foot waves.

An Air Force hurricane hunter plane recently reported a minimum central pressure of 956 mb...28.23 inches.

Storm surge flooding of 7 to 11 feet above normal tide levels... along with extremely large and dangerous battering waves...is expected near and to the north of where the center crosses the coast. Storm surge flooding of 4 to 8 ft above normal tide levels is expected in Chesapeake Bay and the tidal portions of adjacent rivers.

Storm total rainfalls of 6 to 10 inches...with locally higher amounts...are likely in association with Isabel.

There is a threat of isolated tornadoes over eastern North Carolina and southeastern Virginia on Thursday.

Repeating the 11 PM EDT position...31.9 N... 73.9 W. Movement toward...north-northwest near 13 mph. Maximum sustained winds...105 mph. Minimum central pressure... 956 mb.

For storm information specific to your area...please monitor products issued by your local weather office.

An intermediate advisory will be issued by the National Hurricane Center at 2 am EDT followed by the next complete advisory at 5 am EDT.

Forecaster Avila

[MEG33]

Have you had to find puzzles,books,etc for the little ones?

[MoJo2001]

Thank you! There are idiots swimming at Buckroe Beach right now. If anyone ever deserved to drown, it would be these idiots. I'm sorry, but I have little sympathy for people that are intentionally creating emergencies for our police and Coast Guard. They are arresting people on the Beach, but they aren't going out into the water. Good! Let them wallow in their stupidity. Sorry if I seem harsh. I get tired of these type of idiots.

[cmsgop]

Glad you still have power!

[wimpycat]

Never mind---the hubby is watching NFL films instead.

[honeygrl]

Better get busy or you'll die a virgin. :-p

[MoJo2001]

Sorry Howlin! Where are you at?? Hampton over here!

[Lazamataz]

Are you okay, Lazzie?

I'm in Georgia. Georgia has never experienced a hurricane, ever.

[Howlin]

I heard that. Weird.

I wonder if it's because this is the first one that they have seen in the day time.

[U S Army EOD]

It was the Richaleau apartments in Bay St. Louis, MS. They did have one survivor that was found in a tree several miles inland. If you look up the Camille website you will see a before and after of the apartment building.

[VRWC_minion]

Maybe you could give him a hand ?

[Lazamataz]

Better get busy or you'll die a virgin. :-p

Does masturbation count?

[xsmommy]

not so little. 9, almost 12 and almost 15. the older 2 are watching Fox News and laughing at Jeff Goldblatt writhing on the sand! the 9 yo has the disney channel on upstairs.

[Howlin]

Raleigh.

[honeygrl]

"Would that make it a power nap? "

No, it would be a powerless nap. :)

[Slip18]

What is with the dirty foam on the boardwalk? Jeff Goldblatt is picking up a piece of wood. Guess he's on clean-up committee.

[Not A Snowbird]

Thanks, Howlin. Keep your head down!

[Howlin]

Does he have swim goggles on?

[meyer]

Thank you! There are idiots swimming at Buckroe Beach right now. If anyone ever deserved to drown, it would be these idiots. I'm sorry, but I have little sympathy for people that are intentionally creating emergencies for our police and Coast Guard. They are arresting people on the Beach, but they aren't going out into the water. Good! Let them wallow in their stupidity. Sorry if I seem harsh. I get tired of these type of idiots.

The way I see it, those that choose to flirt with death are on their own. I know it goes against the grain for emergency personnel, but in those cases, its best to leave those that deliberately put themselves in extreme situations to reap the rewards of their own actions. Leave them be.

[honeygrl]

Fox news said the hotel falling apart was a holiday inn

[CFW]

I'm in Georgia. Georgia has never experienced a hurricane, ever.

Not true Laz! We got drenched from one that moved up from the gulf several years ago. Lots of flooding. Before your time, I believe. However, you are right in that we didn't get the devasting winds.