Posted on 09/02/2003 4:21:28 PM PDT by socal_parrot
A Democratic plot to boost Tom McClintocks candidacy at Arnold Schwarzeneggers expense has recently come to light.
On paper, the recall election should be a cakewalk for California Republicans. A cursory analysis reveals a governor with an approval rating below Richard Nixon at his low point. The only serious Democrat candidate is the states uninspiring lieutenant governor, Cruz Bustamante, who unquestioningly followed Governor Davis through his mishaps with the budget and energy crisis. It should be a breeze for Republicans, right? Think again. Democrats are euphoric over Tom McClintocks intransigence in continuing his long-shot bid for governor. This allows Democrats to divide and conquer their way into office. Democrats are attempting to snatch victory from the jaws of defeat and Tom McClintock is an essential part of their game plan.
For starters, Democrats know McClintock cannot win. They know that he has ran for statewide office twice before and lost both times. McClintocks problem is not so much that hes unknown but that Californians know about him and have rejected his candidacy time and again. Knowing this, a Democrat plot to boost McClintocks candidacy at Schwarzeneggers expense has already surfaced. According to the Sacramento Bees Daniel Weintraub, Ever since Cruz Bustamante entered the race, it's been assumed that California's Indian tribes were going to pool their money and do independent expenditures on his behalf, expensive ads that get around the $21,000 limit on contributions. Now I am hearing rumblings that the Indians might think about helping Cruz in a more creative way as well. If they spent, say, $4 million on behalf of state Sen. Tom McClintock, the most conservative Republican in the race, they might pump McClintock's numbers up while hurting Arnold and not harming Cruz a bit. Remember, Cruz needs a split GOP vote to win. That would be one way to get it. The reliably Democratic Indian tribes, loyal to Bustamante, would essentially throw their weight behind McClintock to chip away at the support of Arnold Schwarzenegger, the GOP front-runner. The Democrat strategy with regard to Tom McClintock is: If you know you can beat em, join em.
McClintock is unfazed by this conniving scheme and is more than happy to play along. His actions suggest that hes willing to make allies with loyal Democratic groups under the logic, the enemy of my enemy (Arnold Schwarzenegger) is my friend. On August 28th, McClintock and Bustamante went together before the California Nations Indian Gaming Association to pledge their support. Needless to say, money will follow. Whether McClintock knows it or not, hes being used by the Left. If Democrat allies can keep McClintock in the game, they can put a cap on Arnolds support. A recent Los Angeles Times poll shows Bustamante with 35% of the vote and McClintock with 12%. The poll indicates that McClintock will lose decisively but more importantly, his vote will ensure that GOP front-runner Schwarzenegger loses as well.
It doesnt have to be this way. McClintock could see the light and do whats best for the party as Bill Simon did by bowing out of the race. Other than his new Democratic support, the picture continues to grow bleaker for McClintock. The Washington Post and Sacramento Bee are reporting that there will be a record turnout for the recall election. This invalidates the early calculus by McClintock supporters - that in a low turnout election, grassroots could carry the day. Further, the base is growing more familiar with Schwarzeneggers conservatism Arnold came out against partial-birth abortion, against gay marriage, and for a constitutional spending cap.
There comes a time when personal ambition must be set aside and self-affirming but false justifications for ones candidacy need to be reexamined. If McClintock stays in the California Senate, and assuming Arnold wins the governorship, he and Arnold could play the good-cop/bad-cop routine to perfection, mirroring President Bush and Tom Delays efforts at the national level. Additionally, McClintock may be well positioned to challenge Barbara Boxer in next years US Senate race. However, if McClintock persists with his spoiler campaign and throws the election to Bustamante, it is doubtful he will have any political capital for a future race.
But assuming things stay the way they are, with McClintocks help, Bustamante and the Democrats may well pull off an upset of a lifetime on Election Day.
You've given me a wonderful idea for a new name for the "gentleman". You'll be seeing it soon.
Now, now. The use of silly names doesn't help the discussion, but only inflames it. Tom is not a crackpot, while some of his supporters from DU and elsewhere might be. Let's wait and see if he does the right thing first.
That is exactly what I heard from some folks I know from CA that worked Reagan's 1984 campaign! Then it was posted on several threads that two bills McClintock supporters were taking credit for that he authored, he didn't vote for in the end because they didn't go far enough! He doesn't compromise which makes a bad Governor because you don't always get what you want!
LOL!! Chris, you're such an astute political observer, and an obvious afficionado of THE GODFATHER.
McClintock, if he sells out to the Indian Tribes, is Connie's husband, Carlo.
Clemenza will come calling.
I think Davis will be an emboldened one. With recall behind him, he will be full-steam-ahead.<p. -PJ
Didn't you link to that California Blog site that TOTALLY misquoted the LA Times article about Maria Shriver's part in the campaign? It helps to be accurate!
Settle down. Bush lost CA before, and now we've had alittle thing that will be remember next week called 9/11. Its not safe to vote Demo.
More importantly, (R)nold will fail. I know that seems harsh, but he has no vision. I hate to be the bearer of bad news, but KFI is the largest station in SoCal, and has led the recall effort. (R)nold was on there a few minutes ago. Did you hear about this? They tried to pin him down on taxes...and HE HUNG UP THE PHONE. I'm not making this up. 6 minute interview! This guy is going NOWHERE FAST. Please, please wake up.
What will you do if Bustamante wins?
Be patient, (R)nold is going to drop so significantly in the polls that even the media will turn this between Busta and Tom, we have a whole host of weapons grade plutonium against him, but this stealth actor is sucking up all the oxygen. Watch Bustamante tomorrow night ok? This guy is "unstable", Klansmen usually are under pressure, you'll see what i mean, promise.
oops!!!, I didn't know that. As I said, I don't have a dog in this fight and probably shouldn't have chimed in to begin with, I just would love to see a change for the better in California. Sorry for being un-aware of the California Constitution
Freegards
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