Tenenbaum (D) considers U.S. Senate run (South Carolina)

GreenvilleOnline.com ^ | 7/8/03 | James T. Hammond

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[JohnnyZ]

Well that blows. Inez is by far their strongest candidate. Charlie Condon can't beat her, but DeMint can. Guess she wised up (or looked at some polls) and realized challenging Mark Sanford in 2006 wasn't gonna work out.

[GraniteStateConservative]

Don't fret so much. I hope DeMint wins the nomination, too, but remember that federal statewide races are a whole different ballgame from other races. Southern states have routinely voted Dem for regular statewide races, but given Republicans wins for President and senator. Cleland was not a poor candidate, he just got beat because Georgians voted for senator like they have for President. Graham's win in SC wasn't as close as some predicted, too. Any credible Republican would have a fine chance of winning a general election for Senate in SC.

The same thing could apply in AK. Just because AK voted for Knowles for Governor, it doesn't follow they'd choose him for President or to go to the Senate.

[JohnnyZ]

Just because AK voted for Knowles for Governor, it doesn't follow they'd choose him for President or to go to the Senate.

Knowles ain't as popular as Inez. I think she can be beaten by 10%, but the candidate would have to make the case against her, tie her to the national party, and not let her get away with running on eduction and other fuzzy issues. But it's dangerous in southern politics to play hardball against a woman.

[GraniteStateConservative]

Her opponent would focus on the old stand-bys of Ted Kennedy and Hillary Clinton and on her being unqualified to be a senator and her opposition to Bush's policies. She'll end up in the same pile as Jean Carnahan, Gloria Tristani, Lois Combs Weinberg, Jeanne Shaheen, and Susan Parker.

[Kuksool]

SC is one of the most Republican states in the Union. The demographics just don't favor the RATS. Running as a RAT in SC is similar to a Pubbie campaigning in the West Coast. Inez Tenenbaum will, at most, receive 44%-47% of the vote.

[JohnnyZ]

Inez Tenenbaum will, at most, receive 44%-47% of the vote.

I dunno, Alex Sanders got 44%. There are a lot of unexplored factors in SC, since they've only had one open senate race in the 20th century (hyperbole). Will being female help/hurt Inez? Will her personal popularity carry her in a federal race?

I think the Bush connection & SC's Republicanness will result in a GOP win but 47% is too close to 50% +1 for my comfort. Someone with high negatives like Charlie Condon could conceivably lose, which would be disastrous.

[Impy]

Personally I'm not afraid of Inez.

She seems to me to be way overhyped by a state party with no other stars.

IMO She has a better shot at Governor than Senate because those races are less partisan. But I think she's lose that too.