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CA: Davis recall backers collected 376,008 signatures, state says [official count]
AP via San Francisco Chronicle ^ | June 24, 2003 | Erica Werner

Posted on 06/24/2003 2:17:34 PM PDT by heleny

Edited on 04/13/2004 2:42:50 AM PDT by Jim Robinson. [history]

Backers of a Republican-led campaign to recall Democratic Gov. Gray Davis collected 376,008 signatures as of June 16, the secretary of state reported Tuesday, close to half the signatures needed to get the measure on the ballot.

The Associated Press surveyed 55 of California's 58 counties on Monday and found 389,337 signatures were being submitted. The sources of discrepancies in some counties' tallies were not immediately clear.


(Excerpt) Read more at sfgate.com ...


TOPICS: US: California
KEYWORDS: calgov2002; recall; recallgraydavis
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The AP counted 389,337 in 55 counties, excluding Placer, Tehama, and Trinity counties, as of June 16.
The Secretary of State reported 376,008 from all 58 counties for the same date.

They gave no reason for the discrepancy. Anybody know? My guess is that either somebody can't add, or some counties reported numbers from different dates.

The dumpdavis.net charts show a little under 400,000 submitted to the counties by June 15, which pretty much matches the AP-reported numbers.


1 posted on 06/24/2003 2:17:35 PM PDT by heleny
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It looks like they have revised the "July Signature Goal" line upwards. Compare to yesterday's chart, when the red "signatures received" bars were about the same level as the blue goal line but today:


2 posted on 06/24/2003 2:20:27 PM PDT by heleny
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To: heleny
Why r these numbers lower than what we were hearing as of late?
3 posted on 06/24/2003 2:22:22 PM PDT by Republic Rocker
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To: Republic Rocker
Because they're certified for Early June. The numbrs you're hearing are the latest uncertified numbers.
4 posted on 06/24/2003 2:24:28 PM PDT by Bogey78O (check it out... http://freepers.zill.net/users/bogey78o_fr/puppet.swf)
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Comment #5 Removed by Moderator

To: Republic Rocker
The Secretary of State reported the numbers that the counties have received as of June 16. You may have heard numbers like 900,000 or so, which are the number of signatures that the recall organizers have received. They process these signatures (to remove obviously invalid ones) before sending them to the counties.

Recent news reports showed that Contra Costa County sampled the signatures it received and found about 90% were valid; that is much higher than the usual rate of around 65-75%, and shows that the recall organizers are doing a great job of weeding out bad signatures. Unfortunately, that process takes some time, and so many signatures haven't been turned in to the counties yet. I hope they turn in all the signatures before the July report.

6 posted on 06/24/2003 2:28:14 PM PDT by heleny
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To: PenguinWry
The statistics are as of June 16th. I imagine its very close to the official number now and by July 4th, we ideally want to have 1.5 million to put this recall election on the boards since 10% of the signatures are typically invalidated. Trust me, its gonna happen its just a question of when now.
7 posted on 06/24/2003 2:28:59 PM PDT by goldstategop (In Memory Of A Dearly Beloved Friend Who Lives On In My Heart Forever)
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To: heleny
Republican-led campaign

Thanks AP, that old line. Last time I checked we were all alone in this grass roots effort until it got "cool". Why don't you tell the feckless RINO that heads the party, Parsky that. I'm sure you could actually get an arguement out of him for that.

Other potential candidates on the Republican side are actor Arnold Schwarzenegger and Los Angeles businessman Bill Simon, who lost to Davis in November Hello? What about Tom McClintock the highest ranking Republican actually holding office. How can the AP and Pacifica Radio keep ignoring him in this? Oh yeah, they're hard core liberals. I just keep expecting honest reporting.

8 posted on 06/24/2003 2:29:27 PM PDT by PeoplesRep_of_LA (Press Secret; Of 2 million Shiite pilgrims, only 3000 chanted anti Americanisms--source-Islamonline!)
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To: PeoplesRep_of_LA
No body's announcing til its official. Once it is I expect all hell to break lose and if the Dems think Gray Davis is as good as gone they'll run. Their pledge not to was easy to make now since the recall may never happen. During an election campaign however, previous pledges are never binding.
10 posted on 06/24/2003 2:32:49 PM PDT by goldstategop (In Memory Of A Dearly Beloved Friend Who Lives On In My Heart Forever)
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To: PenguinWry
The 400k number is of unverified signatures that the counties have received as of June 16.
624k have now been submitted to the counties, according to the top chart.
The 865k number is the number of unverified signatures that the recall organizers have received as of today. Not all of those signatures have been sent to the counties yet.

Contra Costa County got an 88% validation rate for a sample of the signatures it received as of June 16 (and they got 91% for an earlier sample). Many signers are genuinely interested in dumping Davis, so I doubt there are many double signers; democrats wouldn't do it intentionally, since a higher number lends more credence and popularity to the cause.

11 posted on 06/24/2003 2:34:41 PM PDT by heleny
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To: Republic Rocker
Relax he is going down... what most of the democrats around the country are worried about is the fact that " If california can do it we can do it" factor. This is making the dems take a dump if a hard core Dem can be recalled out of a hard core state like california it won't take much in the other states.
12 posted on 06/24/2003 2:34:51 PM PDT by Walkingfeather (C)
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To: PeoplesRep_of_LA
What about Tom McClintock the highest ranking Republican actually holding office.

He hasn't declared candidacy yet, and he will probably wait until the recall qualifies. For some people, such as Issa, the election date (November 2003 vs. March 2004) may make a difference. I'm not sure what you mean by highest ranking Republican, since Jim Brulte is the Minority Leader in the state senate, but McClintock is more likely to run than Brulte, and McClintock may make a better candidate because of his work in the car tax reduction and initiative for repeal of the car tax. Go Tom!


13 posted on 06/24/2003 2:40:54 PM PDT by heleny
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To: heleny
since Jim Brulte is the Minority Leader in the state senate

I wasn't aware of that, does one officially have to declare in this free-for-all? What you said certainly matters to the AP, but I guess since Arnold isn't official either, I'm sick of hearing about that red herring of a candidate.

since Jim Brulte is the Minority Leader in the state senate

I was not aware of that either, thank you! I have never once even heard of this Brulte, RINO? Must not be that bad if he is holding them in line about not going along with ANY tax increases(except for that one idiot from here in valley, but thats ok), one of the unsung stories in all this battling is the GOP taking a stand and not going along with their tax increases.

14 posted on 06/24/2003 3:08:53 PM PDT by PeoplesRep_of_LA (Press Secret; Of 2 million Shiite pilgrims, only 3000 chanted anti Americanisms--source-Islamonline!)
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To: heleny
Tom is the man.
15 posted on 06/24/2003 3:09:57 PM PDT by Digger
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To: goldstategop
Once it is I expect all hell to break lose and if the Dems think Gray Davis is as good as gone they'll run. Their pledge not to was easy to make now since the recall may never happen. During an election campaign however, previous pledges are never binding.

I used to think that too, but I have a theory...

First, in the DNC perspective-holding serve in this recall effort is tremendous mud in their eye. Most people across the US don't have a clue who Gray Davis is, but they will when this recall goes through.

So a "recall" is the worst case scenerio. What's more, from a Democratic philosophy, how the HELL do you get out of a -$39 bill debt? Raise tax. Really Raise Taxes. Now the trick is that Democrates know that is a death sentence for most politicians and avoid doing it at all costs. In their reality, this is the only way out, we know better, but what am I-their d@mn teacher? So if you are going to have to balloon taxes, do you want to be the person stepping in to deliver the death sentence? No, so Democrates like Feinstein and Bustamante are only too willing to "agree" with the DNC because Gray can "fix" what he started. If he goes down in infamy, so be it, at least the "Budget Crisis" isn't linked to the Democratic Party.

So I think you are going to see a concerted effort by the DNC, once it gets on the ballot (if they don't focus on recounting the ballots over and over-the irony. Where is THAT FR theory? That's probably their next move) to trash every Republican on the ballot against him. They've already started big time with Issa, and fools like Safire and Ruddy from Newsmax have picked up on the "wealthy businessman buying the govenorship" talking point. They'll try to do the same thing they did to Simon and defend against the recall. Only this time, it isn't going to work.

16 posted on 06/24/2003 3:37:07 PM PDT by PeoplesRep_of_LA (Press Secret; Of 2 million Shiite pilgrims, only 3000 chanted anti Americanisms--source-Islamonline!)
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To: PeoplesRep_of_LA
I don't know much about Brulte, either, but he's actively on our side and is the Minority Leader. Definitely no Rino.

Brulte told all the GOP state senators to hold firm against tax increases recently; otherwise, he would go to the home districts of the turncoats and actively campaign against them in the next election. In response, the democrats are demonizing Brulte for not cooperating with the democrat tax increases.

does one officially have to declare in this free-for-all?

Yes. After the recall qualifies for the ballot, you have to get a few thousand signatures or pay a fee to enter the election. I heard it was 10,000 signatures or $3500, but I may be mistaken.

What you said certainly matters to the AP, but I guess since Arnold isn't official either, I'm sick of hearing about that red herring of a candidate.

Me, too. Nobody is an official candidate yet because there is no election yet. Schwarzenegger is a media darling, though, so that's why he always gets mentioned, although the PPIC poll demonstrated that he would lose by a huge landslide if paired against Condoleezza Rice (who has relatively very little name recognition among regular Californians). Issa gets mentioned a lot, too, because he has contributed significant amounts of money to the recall.

17 posted on 06/24/2003 3:45:41 PM PDT by heleny
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To: heleny
Brulte told all the GOP state senators to hold firm against tax increases recently; otherwise, he would go to the home districts of the turncoats and actively campaign against them in the next election. In response, the democrats are demonizing Brulte for not cooperating with the democrat tax increases.

Yeah, I guess an order like that comes from the top, certainly not from Parsky. The California Republicans in the Senate deserve alot of credit.

Schwarzenegger is a media darling, though, so that's why he always gets mentioned, although the PPIC poll demonstrated that he would lose by a huge landslide if paired against Condoleezza Rice (who has relatively very little name recognition among regular Californians).

Meaning they have no support, just "sports talk" kind of fan theorizing about popular people from out-of-state-ers. Personally, I'm more against Rice than I am Arnold, because I know even less politically that she stands for than him. These dream-team theorizers make me sick.

18 posted on 06/24/2003 4:24:34 PM PDT by PeoplesRep_of_LA (Press Secret; Of 2 million Shiite pilgrims, only 3000 chanted anti Americanisms--source-Islamonline!)
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To: heleny
Questions: Is Govenor Davis and the Secretary of State really that dumb/criminal to rig the numbers on the recall petition? Yes! Will they try it? Probably! What then? Good question!
19 posted on 06/24/2003 4:33:35 PM PDT by drypowder
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To: heleny
The people counting the signatures are in control of whether the issue gets on the ballot. When Geoff Metcalf tried to get a referendum to protect 2nd amendment rights in California, he had plenty of valid signatures, but the weasels in charge of counting them decided to invalidate a bunch on some technicality related to how the verbage was arranged on the paper. You just have to miss the mark slightly to protect Red Davis from being recalled.
20 posted on 06/24/2003 4:54:23 PM PDT by Myrddin
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