Posted on 05/02/2003 8:39:46 AM PDT by CathyRyan
An excessive immune reaction appears to be the fatal factor in patients who die of SARS, according to medical data from Hong Kong. The best estimate of the fatality rate of SARS is rising steadily and so understanding how the disease causes death is critical to finding the best treatments.
Scientists have also discovered that the SARS virus can remain viable for at least 24 hours after being deposited in a droplet on a plastic surface - a simulation, for example, of an infected person coughing on to the wall of a lift.
The new information was revealed by Klaus Stöhr, the World Health Organization's chief scientist for SARS in a briefing earlier this week. "In the first week or so of disease the virus is replicating mainly in the upper respiratory tract, causing high fever and dry cough. But in the second week we see an over-reaction of the immune response, and in 20 per cent of cases that leads to very severe disease."
Mark Salter, WHO's coordinator for the clinical management of SARS, told New Scientist that this excessive response seems to be destroying the alveoli, the tiny sacs at the end of the lung tubing where the oxygen is absorbed. It is like stripping all the leaves from a tree, he says, making breathing extremely difficult.
"The immune response develops, but then continues growing unchecked" says Salter. "You then get cytokines, tumour necrosis factor and so on released not just at the virally infected cells they are supposed to kill, but throughout the tissue". This also happens in other diseases but the mechanism is not entirely understood, and certainly not in the case of SARS, he says.
Flare up
Nevertheless the observation significantly strengthens the basis on which doctors can select the treatments given to patients. In particular, it suggests the use of corticosteroids, alongside other drugs that reduce the viral load such as interferon.
Corticosteroids suppress the immune system and are normally used against asthma, rheumatoid arthritis and in transplant patients to reduce the risk of rejection.
Their use does raise the risk of further infection, but Hong Kong hospitals are claiming success with combinations of the antiviral ribavirin and pulsed steroids, says Salter: "And once steroids are stopped, they see a flare up of the condition suggesting there is a significant immune component to the disease."
. The issue of how long the virus survives outside the body was also raised by Stöhr. Some scientists have argued that long survival could explain unusual cases of transmission in Hong Kong and Canada.
In a study in Germany reported by Stöhr, the virus was dropped in liquid on to a plastic surface, the drop was dried, and examined after 24 hours. "There were 10,000 virus units per millitre before, and after 24 hours there were 1000 - and that was viable viruses."
SARS is caused by a new type of coronavirus, which rapidly sabotages the human body's immune system and starts to reproduce. It makes inroads right into the lungs. It is not yet known whether the virus is extremely destructive during reproduction, or whether the body's immune system reacts so drastically to it that it damages the internal organs, causing breathing failure and even death.
I agree.
While I haven't seen any info regarding the number of virus particles required to cause infection, it would seem that given the virulence of the Amoy Gardens outbreak, and the 10% viability after 24 hours, the required number must be low. More bad news.
Don't know about you, but I feel like most of what there is to say right now has already been said. Sorta numb.
We seem to be entering a new phase. The biggest news right now is China. We all know it's out of control in China, but no one knows what's really going on there. That makes it hard to talk about.
Coronavirus infection is very common and occurs worldwide. The incidence of infection is strongly seasonal, with the greatest incidence in children in winter. Adult infections are less common. The number of coronavirus serotypes and the extent of antigenic variation is unknown. Re-infections appear to occur throughout life, implying multiple serotypes (at least four are known) and/or antigenic variation, hence the prospects for immunization appear bleak.
Naw ... that's not it at all. There is an insatiable appetite for this sort of 'terror' in any public forum.
It COULD BE though, that the success in controlling and containing this cantagion as seen in several prominent corners of the world have taken the 'edge' off this as a pandemic though ...
One of the predictions I made weeks ago now: "The likely hood is that SARS will wind up being only being a footnote in medical history."
"Overblown appraisal"
It COULD BE though, that the success in controlling and containing this cantagion as seen in several prominent corners of the world have taken the 'edge' off this as a pandemic though ...
Figured you'd be along eventually, and with a comment about like the one you made. Predictable, but helps stir things up, too. Reminds us all how deep that river in Egypt really is.
Everyone on this forum who is informed about SARS has been hoping for containment in the cities it has affected the most, and it looks like we may have gotten our wish.
It's too soon to be sure about Hong Kong. They changed their definition of a SARS case at the same time their numbers started getting better. Per loin has a very interesting graph that shows the result here: Graph of Hong Kong cases. I'm interested in your take on the Hong Kong numbers.
I'm also interested in your take on the situation in Beijing and the situation in China in general. Perhaps you could also comment on the Chinese government's announcement that a vaccine for SARS is "likely in the coming few months", and how that compares with the new Chinese diagnostic test for SARS they announced two weeks ago.
You have mentioned The People's Daily as one of your sources a couple of times in the past, so you might want to go here: People's Daily says SARS vaccine is coming. The article reassures the Chinese people that better treatment and a vaccine are coming soon.
All of us already know where you stand overall, and the "diplomatic" way you have of expressing yourself. However, the questions I asked were serious. I would truly like to see your take on this.
I can only Freep a few more minutes, but I'll check back this evening.
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