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Bush Edges Clinton, Tops All Comers In New York, But Most Voters Say She Should Stay In The Senate
Quinnipiac ^ | 4/24/03

Posted on 04/24/2003 6:23:54 AM PDT by areafiftyone

If New York Sen. Hillary Clinton challenged President George W. Bush in 2004, the not-so-native daughter would be on the short side of a 47 -- 44 percent split among New York voters, according to a Quinnipiac University poll released today.

Sen. Clinton has a 52 -- 36 percent approval rating and New York voters say 59 -- 37 percent that she should not run for President next year.

President Bush has a 58 -- 37 percent approval in New York, up from 50 -- 44 percent in a February 12 poll by the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pe-ack) University.

"That a president fresh off a wartime win would poll higher than most wannabes isn't surprising. What will surprise many is that President Bush does so well against Sen. Clinton," said Maurice Carroll director of the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute.

"In 2000, Bush was so far behind in New York, he didn't even bother to campaign here.

"Meanwhile, New Yorkers want Hillary to stay home. They'd rather have her call Chappaqua home than to try going back to Pennsylvania Avenue."

Bush is ahead of other leaders in the Democratic Presidential pack:

As a result of the war in Iraq, 31 percent of New York State voters say they are more likely to vote for Bush for reelection, with 28 percent saying they are less likely and 38 percent saying their position hasn't changed.

New York's senior Senator, Charles Schumer, has a 59 -- 22 percent approval rating, including 54 -- 31 percent among Republicans.

From April 15 - 21, Quinnipiac University surveyed 885 New York State registered voters, with a margin of error of +/- 3.3 percent.

The Quinnipiac University Poll, directed by Douglas Schwartz, Ph.D., conducts public opinion surveys in New York, New Jersey, Connecticut, Pennsylvania and nationwide as a public service and for research.

2. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Charles Schumer is handling his job as United States Senator?
Union
Tot
Rep
Dem
Ind
Men
Wom
HsHolds
Approve
59
54
66
57
58
60
64
Disapprove
22
31
16
23
26
18
25
DK/NA
19
15
17
20
16
21
11
UpState.............
UpState
Urban
Othr
Total
NYC
Sub
Approve
51
58
56
63
59
Disapprove
27
20
21
22
23
DK/NA
22
23
22
15
17
3. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Hillary Rodham Clinton is handling her job as United States Senator?
Union
Tot
Rep
Dem
Ind
Men
Wom
HsHolds
Approve
52
31
72
46
50
54
53
Disapprove
36
61
18
42
41
32
35
DK/NA
12
8
11
12
9
14
12
UpState.............
UpState
Urban
Othr
Total
NYC
Sub
Approve
42
49
48
59
48
Disapprove
47
40
42
28
40
DK/NA
11
10
10
13
11
4. Do you approve or disapprove of the way George W.Bush is handling his job as President?
Union
Tot
Rep
Dem
Ind
Men
Wom
HsHolds
Approve
58
91
38
56
60
57
59
Disapprove
37
7
56
40
35
39
38
DK/NA
4
1
5
4
4
4
3
UpState.............
UpState
Urban
Othr
Total
NYC
Sub
Approve
68
65
66
46
66
Disapprove
27
32
31
50
29
DK/NA
5
3
3
5
5
9. Suppose the general election for president were being held today, and the candidates were Hillary Rodham Clinton the Democrat and George W. Bush the Republican for whom would you vote?
Union
Tot
Rep
Dem
Ind
Men
Wom
HsHolds
Clinton
44
7
72
39
37
50
47
Bush
47
90
16
49
52
42
44
SMONE ELSE(VOL)
2
-
3
3
3
2
2
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)
2
-
2
3
2
1
2
DK/NA
5
3
6
6
6
5
6
UpState.............
UpState
Urban
Othr
Total
NYC
Sub
Clinton
26
34
33
61
35
Bush
63
55
57
29
58
SMONE ELSE(VOL)
4
2
2
2
1
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)
1
1
1
2
1
DK/NA
5
7
7
5
4
10. Suppose the general election for president were being held today, and the candidates were Joe Lieberman the Democrat and George W.Bush the Republican for whom would you vote?
Union
Tot
Rep
Dem
Ind
Men
Wom
HsHolds
Lieberman
38
6
66
34
34
41
45
Bush
50
88
23
47
54
46
43
SMONE ELSE(VOL)
2
-
2
5
4
1
2
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)
2
1
3
3
2
2
4
DK/NA
8
5
5
11
6
10
6
UpState.............
UpState
Urban
Othr
Total
NYC
Sub
Lieberman
21
28
26
54
33
Bush
68
56
59
35
57
SMONE ELSE(VOL)
3
3
3
2
1
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)
-
2
1
3
3
DK/NA
8
12
11
6
6
11. Suppose the general election for president were being held today, and the candidates were John Kerry the Democrat and George W. Bush the Republican for whom would you vote?
Union
Tot
Rep
Dem
Ind
Men
Wom
HsHolds
Kerry
38
4
65
35
36
40
42
Bush
50
92
21
49
53
46
43
SMONE ELSE(VOL)
1
-
1
2
2
1
2
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)
1
1
1
2
2
1
1
DK/NA
10
3
12
12
8
13
12
UpState.............
UpState
Urban
Othr
Total
NYC
Sub
Kerry
22
28
27
55
30
Bush
65
59
60
32
60
SMONE ELSE(VOL)
2
1
2
1
1
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)
-
-
-
1
3
DK/NA
10
11
11
11
8
12. Suppose the general election for president were being held today, and the candidates were Dick Gephardt the Democrat and George W. Bush the Republican for whom would you vote?
Union
Tot
Rep
Dem
Ind
Men
Wom
HsHolds
Gephardt
38
5
67
33
37
39
42
Bush
49
90
20
48
52
46
45
SMONE ELSE(VOL)
2
1
1
3
2
2
2
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)
2
-
2
4
2
2
2
DK/NA
9
3
10
11
7
11
10
UpState.............
UpState
Urban
Othr
Total
NYC
Sub
Gephardt
23
27
26
53
34
Bush
64
58
60
32
57
SMONE ELSE(VOL)
3
3
3
2
1
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)
2
2
2
2
2
DK/NA
8
10
10
11
6
13. As a result of the war with Iraq, are you now more likely to support George W. Bush for a second term as President, less likely to support him for a second term, or hasn't the war changed your feeling on that?
Union
Tot
Rep
Dem
Ind
Men
Wom
HsHolds
More likely
31
54
14
30
35
26
27
Less likely
28
7
40
32
25
30
33
Hasn't changed
38
37
39
37
34
40
40
DK/NA
4
2
7
1
5
3
1
UpState.............
UpState
Urban
Othr
Total
NYC
Sub
More likely
27
35
33
21
42
Less likely
20
25
24
38
18
Hasn't changed
49
35
38
37
38
DK/NA
4
5
5
4
2
14. Would you like to see Hillary Rodham Clinton run for President in 2004 or not?
Union
Tot
Rep
Dem
Ind
Men
Wom
HsHolds
Yes
37
11
55
32
29
43
38
No
59
85
40
62
65
54
59
DK/NA
4
4
5
5
5
3
3
UpState.............
UpState
Urban
Othr
Total
NYC
Sub
Yes
23
29
27
51
30
No
74
67
69
44
66
DK/NA
3
4
4
5
5


TOPICS: Breaking News; News/Current Events; US: New York
KEYWORDS: gwb2004; pollsoniraq
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To: ReaganRevolution
Good news for 2004, but look out in 2008 she'll be in the game

And just how do you figure she will all of a sudden become a viable candidate in '08?
21 posted on 04/24/2003 6:57:07 AM PDT by rs79bm
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To: ReaganRevolution
Her face won't hold up til 08, & it's too late for her to start plastic surgery now. She should have been getting tiny little tucks done all along.
22 posted on 04/24/2003 6:59:01 AM PDT by nina0113
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To: areafiftyone
Makes me ashamed that Hillary is in NY, but makes me glad to be FROM NY. How can the idiot voters understand that she is not good for the country, but still want her as their Senator? Did they include pets and dead people in the polls or is it really that inane?
23 posted on 04/24/2003 7:00:35 AM PDT by trebb
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To: Trust but Verify
Average White Band?
24 posted on 04/24/2003 7:04:48 AM PDT by RedBloodedAmerican (ok, so my age is showing...)
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To: RedBloodedAmerican
Yeah, that's what I had in mind.
25 posted on 04/24/2003 7:09:51 AM PDT by Trust but Verify
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To: trebb
Are you not proud that you state will give the President 31 electoral votes in 2004?

Keep in mind that if New York goes for Bush, then so will Connecticut and New Jersey. I still have hope for Massachusetts and Rhode Island, being that Bush lost those states by the same margin and is now leading in one of them by 12 points.
26 posted on 04/24/2003 7:12:42 AM PDT by republicanwizard
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To: RedBloodedAmerican
Non-jewish whites are only about 64% of NY voters. I don't think a conservative will ever win the state again, but GWB has a much better shot at Connecticut, Maine, Pennsylvania. The landslide scenario is a likelihood at this point...

Schumer is nauseating! That approval rating is disheartening and unless Rudy gets into the race, we're going to have to put up with upChuck until he dies/retires.

27 posted on 04/24/2003 7:16:34 AM PDT by Deport Billary
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To: Tall_Texan
If they throw her out of office in 2006, you can knock me over with a feather.

We're stuck with the *****.
28 posted on 04/24/2003 7:17:01 AM PDT by Illbay
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To: Trust but Verify
Oh, if he signs the extension to the AWB, why, that means he'll plummet to 30% approval nationwide!

You see, there is NOTHING more important to the electorate than the discontinuation of the AWB!
29 posted on 04/24/2003 7:18:03 AM PDT by Illbay
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To: rs79bm
He's thinking that the GOP has no one beyond GWB.
30 posted on 04/24/2003 7:19:08 AM PDT by Illbay
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To: areafiftyone
How in the world can a story starting with Bush Edges Clinton, be breaking news? This is a poll, not even news. Let alone breaking news.
31 posted on 04/24/2003 7:26:01 AM PDT by ItsTheMediaStupid
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To: areafiftyone
Sen. Clinton has a 52 -- 36 percent approval rating and New York voters say 59 -- 37 percent that she should not run for President next year.

Nice numbers but it still won't stop her

I expect her to start even more trouble to try and make Bush look bad

32 posted on 04/24/2003 7:26:49 AM PDT by Mo1 (I'm a monthly Donor .. You can be one too!)
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To: areafiftyone
why would 7 percent of registered R's vote for Hillary if she ran against Bush???!?!?!!! Who ARE these idiots and whya re they even registered R's?
33 posted on 04/24/2003 7:27:10 AM PDT by smith288 (Thats right, Christianity is exclusive, you have to love animals to be in PETA, is that exclusive?)
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To: Mo1
I expect her to start even more trouble to try and make Bush look bad

Is Bush too compassionate to pull out some of the dirt he is SURE to own on them?

34 posted on 04/24/2003 7:28:07 AM PDT by smith288 (Thats right, Christianity is exclusive, you have to love animals to be in PETA, is that exclusive?)
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To: smith288
Is Bush too compassionate to pull out some of the dirt he is SURE to own on them?

As much as I wish he would .. he won't do that

He'll just let the truth speak for it's self .. and Hellary wouldn't know the truth if it smacked her upside the head

35 posted on 04/24/2003 7:31:43 AM PDT by Mo1 (I'm a monthly Donor .. You can be one too!)
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To: Illbay
There's nothing worse in the minds of .325 percent of voters then for Bush to extend this insignificant law. He could give them 99% of the pie, but that last 1% will be his downfall.

Silly, really.

36 posted on 04/24/2003 7:40:26 AM PDT by Trust but Verify
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To: ItsTheMediaStupid
Well the Admin Moderators can take it out if they don't want it in breaking news. I have no problem with that. But apparently its okay with them (so far!)
37 posted on 04/24/2003 7:45:00 AM PDT by areafiftyone (The U.N. needs a good Flush!)
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To: areafiftyone
Some may call it crazy, but I firmly believe that George W. Bush is capable of winning New York in 2004. The same goes for California. New York has repeatedly shown itself capable of voting Republican for the governorship and other prominent races.
38 posted on 04/24/2003 7:51:33 AM PDT by No Dems 2004
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To: areafiftyone
New York's senior Senator, Charles Schumer, has a 59 -- 22 percent approval rating, including 54 -- 31 percent among Republicans.

Bush's numbers look good but this is soooo depressing about Schumer! How in the world can Republicans approve of Schumer and his obstructionsim regarding judicial nominees. New York is a very sorry state.

39 posted on 04/24/2003 7:58:51 AM PDT by Wphile (Keep the UN out of Iraq)
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To: areafiftyone
New York's senior Senator, Charles Schumer, has a 59 -- 22 percent approval rating, including 54 -- 31 percent among Republicans.

WTH?!

40 posted on 04/24/2003 8:00:34 AM PDT by Sloth ("I feel like I'm taking crazy pills!" -- Jacobim Mugatu, 'Zoolander')
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