[Lucas1]

This guy has been sending out email updates...since this started. Thought this was interesting...with the numbers.

Have no opinion one way or another as to whether SARS is going to become a pandemic or not...but the article is worth reading.

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[sphinx]

I'm not sure his parents did this guy a favor when they named him. Unless he's a direct descendant, of course.

[ALOHA RONNIE]

NEVER FORGET


SARS is coming from Seats of EVIL:

HO CHI MINH's Hanoi...

..-&-..

MAO TSE TUNG's China Province Birth Place.

NEVER FORGET

[Lucas1]

1. Expect the worldwide number of SARS infected to surpass 3,000 between April 8th to April 12th.

2. Expect the number of infected to surpass 4,000 between April 11th to April 16th.

3. Expect the number of infected to surpass 5,000 between April 15th to April 19th.

4. Expect the number of infected to surpass 6,000 between April 18th to April 22nd.

5. To surpass 7,000 between April 21st to April 25th.

6. To surpass 8,000 beween April 23rd to April 27th.

7. To surpass 9,000 between April 25th to April 29th.

8. To surpass 10,000 between April 26th to April 30th.

[Myrddin]

Is a Licensed Clinic Social Worker a good source for information that should be coming from an epidemiologist?

[aruanan]

Oh no! Not a deloping pandemic! Those are the worst kind.

[verity]

Achoooooo! Oh, damn!

[WhiskeyPapa]

I've heard that even if one survives SARS there is scarring of the lungs. Can anyone confirm that?

Walt

[SHKMAN1212]

One of the problems with this model is that it is not taking into account a few variables. First of all, he (nor any other source) are backing out the recovery cases. Secondly, they're not factoring in the incubation period for the disease to get an accurate reading of the actual mortality rate (you cannot simply take total deaths and divide by the total cases if it takes 7-10 days from the date of diagnosis to death). Lastly, he isn't explaining how this reaches a pandemic without a geometric increase in the number of cases. To achieve a more accurate reading on the growth of infections you MUST back out the Chinese numbers since they are neither accurate nor updated on a regular basis.

The good news is that there isn't a geometric increase in the number of cases. The bad news is that the mortality rate is closer to 7% instead of the 4% that they're stating.

[CJ Wolf]

http://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/cms.dll/html/uncomp/articleshow?msid=42993248

Maybe it's in the airplanes. (Cruiseships got the norwalk)

[LuisBasco]

Can the disease be carried by the tons of merchandise being churned out in China? Is it possible that the Chinese shoes, dresses, toys, etc. etc. can be harboring germs that would cause this dreaded sickness?

This might be a good time to abstain from purchasing anything manufactured in China.

[Snowy]

Deloping? Not another one! Hugh, Series, Vey...