Posted on 04/07/2003 10:10:30 AM PDT by TLBSHOW
Analysis: Blair-Bush talks could be tense
WASHINGTON, April 7 (UPI) -- While Iraqi resistance collapses rapidly before the combined U.S. - British advance, President George W. Bush and British Prime Minister Tony Blair are meeting Monday in Belfast in a hastily arranged meeting to discuss the widening gap in the coalition over the shape of a post-Saddam Iraq.
The main divisive issue is the role of the United Nations in the political and economic reconstruction of Iraq once U.S. and coalition forces have toppled the Saddam Hussein regime, and claimed victory.
A second potential difference is the question of how long the liberating forces will remain in Iraq after the war, with the growing risk of being seen as an army of occupation.
Blair said in Washington last month that the United Nations should be "closely involved," and "should endorse any post-conflict administration."
Blair was voicing the general view of a large number of U.S. allies in the war and its opponents, such as France, Germany, and Russia. Franco Frattini, the foreign minister of Italy -- another U.S. ally -- said Sunday, "We're working to give the United Nations a primary role, and not just in the humanitarian effort. Iraq must be put in the hands of the Iraqis as quickly as possible."
But there are signs that the Bush administration itself is divided on the U.N.'s role. Some sources say there is uncertainty in the administration over how to approach the huge problem of rebuilding the shattered and demoralized Iraqi nation.
In the past few days U.S. Secretary of State Colin Powell has said Washington had begun "a process of dialogue" with the United Nations to agree on an "appropriate" role for the world body. And presidential foreign policy adviser Condoleezza Rice declaring that a U.N. role was not currently under discussion.
Rice said the countries that had shed blood in the conflict had earned the right to have the lead in determining Iraq's future.
U.S. plans for a post-Saddam Iraq, as explained by senior officials, envision U.S. and coalition (in this case British) forces remaining in Iraq to maintain security, with day-to-day affairs administered by the newly created U.S. Office of Reconstruction and Humanitarian Aid.
The office was established by the Defense Department and is run by retired Army Gen. Jay Garner, who will report to Gen. Tommy Franks, commander of the U.S.-led war. Administration officials have said that the country will be divided into three "provinces" each with a U.S. governor.
One of the sticking points is that no one knows how long with troops will remain in Iraq.
The next phase is to appoint an interim administration, which will be broad-based and include Iraqi exiles. The administration will have no executive powers, but will gradually take over responsibilities from Garner's office.
The third and final phase will be the election of some form of representative government. But, again, there is not even a tentative target date for Iraq's emergence as a democratic nation.
Blair was involved in drafting this plan, but feels the involvement of the United Nations should be an important component part. He is believed to favor a U.N.-managed formula that mirrors the Afghanistan formula. He would like the interim government to be established by a U.N. conference on Iraq along the lines of the Afghan conference in Bonn, Germany, in December 2001.
Blair would like the new political formula for democracy in Iraq to be endorsed by a Security Council resolution.
But Bush administration officials are still simmering over the Security Council's refusal to endorse the war, and diplomatic sources say the president will need a lot of persuading to seek Security Council approval of the reconstruction.
The sources say the administration continues to maintain its distance from countries that opposed the war. Last week, the State Department gave a top level briefing on the progress of the war, including its reconstruction plans, and invited only the ambassadors of the coalition of the willing -- the nations that supported the war.
Powell has said he could agree to an Iraq conference, but Washington sources say Defense Secretary Donald Rumsfeld and his senior civilian advisers would probably block even this move.
The United Nations is a model Communist organization -- and any government created by Communists will be Communist.
Enough said.
Blair; "But....
Bush: "N - O - T - H - I - N - G!"
But.......but.....you SWORE that Bush was a U.N. man!!! And you're always right, right?
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