Posted on 03/31/2003 4:42:30 PM PST by HAL9000
WASHINGTON - When war ends in Iraq, the Bush administration will give "extremely high priority" to halting a secret nuclear weapons program in neighboring Iran, a senior administration official said Monday.
John Bolton, the under secretary for arms control, joined National Security Adviser Condoleezza Rice in warning that the White House sees nuclear weapons programs in Iran and North Korea as imminent threats.
"The estimate we have of how close the Iranians are to production of nuclear weapons grows closer each day," said Bolton, a leading hawk within the administration.
Both Bolton and Rice, in separate speeches to the annual conference of the American Israel Public Affairs Committee, suggested that the Bush administration views the toppling of Saddam Hussein in Iraq as an initial response to a series of threats. However, neither of them suggested that Washington is pondering military action elsewhere.
President Bush last year tagged Iraq, Iran and North Korea as an "axis of evil" that threatens world order, and the U.S.-led invasion of Iraq has unnerved Iran and North Korea.
Rice defended the Bush administration's constant warnings that rogue regimes are acquiring evermore lethal weapons.
"Sometimes people think we're a little bit `the-sky-is-falling, the-sky-is-falling' on these regimes that the president called the axis of evil," Rice said. She added, however, that recent evidence shows that "they certainly belong" on the list.
Rice voiced frustration that the Vienna-based International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) hasn't been more aggressive with Iran's nuclear program and suggested the need for shaking up the way weapons monitoring programs function.
"Once we have a better atmosphere after Iraq, one of the things we're going to have to look at is how the world gets itself better organized to deal with issues concerning weapons of mass destruction," Rice said.
In a separate presentation, Bolton said Iran is pursuing nuclear weapons "in a very comprehensive and sophisticated way." A U.N. team of nuclear inspectors that visited Iran Feb. 21-22 found a series of centrifuges to enrich uranium, a process critical to making nuclear weapons material, he said.
"The IAEA was stunned by the sophistication of the Iranian effort," Bolton said.
Bolton did not forecast when the administration believes Iran may be able to process fissile material for nuclear weapons, acknowledging that such estimates often prove inaccurate.
He said U.S. officials now view Iran and North Korea as equivalent threats, even amid evidence that North Korea may be only months from production of nuclear material for weapons.
"In the aftermath of Iraq, dealing with the Iranian nuclear weapons program will be of equal importance as dealing with the North Korean nuclear weapons program," Bolton said.
Bolton said a series of complicated emerging nuclear weapons threats might present themselves "simultaneously" to the White House once the Iraq campaign is over. "This is going to be a substantial challenge," he said.
Concern about North Korea's nuclear intentions soared last October, when U.S. envoys said Pyongyang admitted having a secret nuclear weapons program. Since then, North Korea has pulled out of the Nuclear Nonproliferation Treaty, an international agreement to halt the spread of nuclear weapons and eventually eliminate them, and appears on the brink of activating a nuclear facility that could generate enough material to make about a nuclear bomb a month, experts say.
North Korea says its nuclear program is defensive and designed to forestall U.S. attack.
The Bush administration has sought to deal with the crisis through diplomacy, worried that a spark might ignite a war that could kill hundreds of thousands, and perhaps a million, people within days. However, the U.S. government has refused to negotiate one-on-one with North Korea, as Pyongyang has demanded, and instead has said the talks must include other East Asian countries.
Bolton said U.S. officials hope that a decisive toppling of Saddam may give pause to other nations with secret weapons programs and "that some of these states will back off."
Bolton's remarks are the second alert on Iran from the administration in two weeks.
At a hearing March 19, John S. Wolf, the assistant secretary of state for nonproliferation, told a Senate panel that Iran's nuclear program is a "bad-and-getting-worse" problem that "would be a profound danger to us."
Iran, which sits above huge deposits of oil and natural gas, announced in September that it intends to develop 6,000 megawatts of nuclear capacity in the next 20 years.
It says its nuclear programs are only for peaceful purposes.
As a result of revelations by Iranian exile groups, however, Iran has acknowledged that it has a sophisticated gas centrifuge enrichment plant in Natanz, 200 miles south of Tehran, and a heavy water plant in the nearby town of Arak.
Bolton also named Libya and Syria as nations with active efforts to obtain weapons of mass destruction. He said Libya is seeking "to obtain facilities critical for a complete nuclear fuel cycle" that would give it material for bombs. Syria, he added, has extensive stockpiles of sarin and VX nerve agent, and is also pursuing biological weapons.
My feelings exactly.
A_R
Because most Iranian Moslems are either (a) observant only in the breach, or (b) are observant only when a mullah or a mullah's bully-boy is watching them.
Even if they put in a secular government, you will still have 5% or so of the population that takes their duty to Jihad and to hate Jews and Christians seriously. Isn't that still a major worry?
It's probably less than that--most of those folks got killed off in the 1980s Iran-Iraq war.
The regime had to import Muslim fundamentalist bully-boys from elsewhere to beef up their secret police since 2001 or so.
(Is there an Iranian Ross Perot complaining about "that giant sucking sound" of fundamentalist head-bashing jobs being outsourced? :o)
This is a good idea. But why would anyone announce this before we wrap things up in Iraq? Consider if you were sitting in Iran and North Korea and you believe this report. Will you wait for the U.S. to finish up in Iraq and then come for you, or do you join Iraq now. I have to wonder about the motives of anyone who makes public that we are going after Iran when we are done in Iraq. It is placing our troops at risk.
I can testify, it's not just a sound, but it really does suck.
Perhaps it is intended for the NKs to believe this report...and be unpleasantly surprised.
If the North moves south tommorrow, who would we send to stop them?Regardless, it would be better to face these threats one at a time, not simultaneously. We are limited on our airlift capability and other air support assets.
We have a finite number of cruise missiles , as well.
Would we need to "send" anybody? This isn't 1950; the ROK Army is not the pathetic force in place in 1950; the 2nd Infantry Division is not Task Force Smith; the NKPA is most assuredly not even a good shadow of the rompin', stompin' horde of Kim Il-Sung; and China is starting to get extremely pi$$ed off by Kim Jong-Il, and will shed no real tears over his demise.
Assuming we did, we could send the 3rd MarDiv, the 25th Light Infantry Division, and what's left of the 1st Cavalry Division.
We'd send in the boys from Bangor
24 empty silos, a couple of keys turned ... it's Miller Time.
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