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Latino poll could be GOP's gain
Republican Assembly of Illinois Newsletter ^ | Feb 22, 2003 | THOMAS ROESER

Posted on 02/22/2003 9:25:04 PM PST by spintreebob

If Republicans are to win future presidential elections, they must add Latino voters to their midst. In this respect, bad news and good news comes from a recent Pew Hispanic Center study. The bad news is that these voters are most likely to identify with Democrats; the good news is that their party loyalty is shallow and their political viewpoints defy easy categorization. And a question mark should be given the GOP--to ask whether its conservative base is willing to accept changes that would build Latino acceptance. The study was conducted on 4,213 adults 18 and older.

The study notes that among registered Latinos, about half call themselves Democrats, one-fifth call themselves Republicans and another fifth call themselves independents. Yet, their ambivalence is noteworthy. In a poll of registered Latinos, 45 percent say the Democratic Party is more sympathetic to their needs than the Republican Party (10 percent) but four in 10 feel there is no difference between the parties. The poll, published last October, showed respondents had more confidence in the Democrats' handling of the economy (53 percent). When President Bush was added to the equation, the Democratic margin all but evaporated, with 42 percent having more confidence in Bush and 45 percent favoring the Democrats.

Compared with bloc-voting African Americans, Latinos unquestionably are more likely to build a Republican majority.

''More than half of Latino voters think that abortion should be illegal in most (31 percent) or all (24 percent) cases,'' the study reports.

That's a conservative cultural bedrock that helps Republican presidential candidates. The intriguing point is that this is a view shared by African Americans, but black voters are so latched to the Democratic Party that the nuances of their opinions don't count for much because of their one-party solidarity. (White voters are the heaviest abortion supporters, but even here the margin is slight, with 53 percent saying it should be legal in all cases).

The cultural conservatism of Latinos on most issues makes them an easier fit for Republicans. Forty-six percent of registered, foreign-born Latinos hold that having a child without being married is unacceptable, compared with 33 percent native- born.

''At a time when the rest of the nation is almost evenly split along partisan lines, Latino voters appear to straddle some of the sharpest divides in American politics today,'' the study finds. ''Though most Latinos identify with the Democratic Party, this party affiliation comes with notable ambivalence, and on some social issues they express a conservatism that sets them apart from their white counterparts.''

Of 35 million Hispanics, who make up nearly 13 percent of the population, a far smaller number are registered to vote: about 5.9 million in the presidential election of 2000. A big job for the Republican Party would be activating those Latinos who are U.S. citizens. All told, 57 percent were registered in November 2000--the second-lowest reported registration rate of major racial-ethnic groups. But the political reward for Republicans is great.

The study shows that Latinos believe in big government and are willing to pay higher taxes to support it.

''Registered Latinos voice strong support for various immigration proposals,'' the study says.

Commenting on the study, the Washington Times finds that it shows Latinos ''overwhelmingly frown on loose morals of American popular culture and express ambivalence that their children will not share the same values as they.''

Hispanics hold a markedly optimistic view of America. Upwards of 90 percent believe that the ''opportunity to get ahead'' is greater here than in their home countries--which is tailor-made to the Republican vision of entrepreneurship. This is where the GOP should concentrate its work if it is to remain a vital force in U.S. politics. If the old stand-pat vision continues, the GOP will be a party of whites and no one else. Fortunately, George W. Bush, with a vested interest in 2004, won't let that happen.


TOPICS: Activism/Chapters; Constitution/Conservatism; Culture/Society; Editorial; Mexico; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections; US: Arizona; US: California; US: Colorado; US: Florida; US: Illinois; US: Massachusetts; US: New Mexico; US: New York; US: Texas; US: Utah; US: Washington; US: Wyoming
KEYWORDS: hispanic; minority; profamily; prolife; winelections
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Tom Roeser is highly respected conservative columnist in the Chicago SunTimes and WLS(ABC) Talk Radio.
1 posted on 02/22/2003 9:25:04 PM PST by spintreebob
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Comment #2 Removed by Moderator

To: spintreebob
The study shows that Latinos believe in big government and are willing to pay higher taxes to support it.

I read statements like that and my blood boils. I can't wait to retire and start slurping at the public trough like all piglets I've been supporting all these years with my hard labor.

3 posted on 02/22/2003 9:32:25 PM PST by Ciexyz
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To: spintreebob
And a question mark should be given the GOP--to ask whether its conservative base is willing to accept changes that would build Latino acceptance.

I've re-read the article, what changes is this author advocating? Free-for-all illegal immigration? I had the possibly mistaken impression that Latinos who migrated to this country legally (or were born here) resented those who skipped over the hurdles they had to jump over. Or, are most Latinos here because of illegal immigration, and have no desire to see any tightening of the enforcement standards?

4 posted on 02/22/2003 9:37:24 PM PST by hunter112
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To: Ciexyz
The study shows that Latinos believe in big government and are willing to pay higher taxes to support it.

A more accurate statement might be they are willing to have us pay higher taxes to support it.

5 posted on 02/22/2003 9:38:46 PM PST by Vigilanteman
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To: NineMillimeter
Could we refrain from using the term "european american" as a means of differentiation when talking about hispanic. I am Cuban, but as my grandparents are Spanish, I am more properly classifiable as "european" than most of the people in this country. The proper term is "non-hispanic white."
6 posted on 02/22/2003 9:40:29 PM PST by The Cuban
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To: mhking; RedWing9; Chi-townChief; cfrels; BillyBoy; TheRightGuy; OneLoyalAmerican
Are Conservatives/Republicans willing to change? IMO the only change we need to do is to drop the hostility and become friendly. Drop the JimRyan-PeteWilson-Dornan-Tancredo-Buchanan hostility of attitude.

Example: I brought up the name of Linda Chavez favorably at a conservative Republican meeting. She was attacked and my conservativism was questioned.

Example: In filling a State Rep vacancy in a heavily Hispanic district clearly the most qualified person was a Hispanic and should have been appointed based solely on qualifications. But only people inside the country club's tight little clique were considered. New people not wlecome.

7 posted on 02/22/2003 9:45:57 PM PST by spintreebob
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To: spintreebob
Considering the the illinois pubbies are basically the mionor arm of the daley machine, it means the rats will keep sucking up the latino vote.
8 posted on 02/22/2003 9:46:31 PM PST by dts32041 (Do not attend a gunfight with a handgun, the caliber of which does not start with a "4".)
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To: NineMillimeter
I don't think the GOP will have to change. If we ask them, Hispanics will eventually turn to the GOP. They are culturally at odds with the Democratic Party, and as they move up the social ladder, they will find it impossible to maintain their Democratic ties. Many Hispanics vote Democratic merely because they are poor and uneducated, but Hispanics also have a culture of entrepreneurship and hard work, which means they will not be poor and uneducated forever.
9 posted on 02/22/2003 9:51:13 PM PST by Thane_Banquo
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To: Green Knight; Luis Gonzalez
Hispanic/Cuban Republican ping
10 posted on 02/22/2003 10:11:15 PM PST by Angelus Errare
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To: NineMillimeter
There are 6 European-Americans and 1 black to every Hispanic in the U.S.

A. Hispanics outnumber blacks
B. The last Preisdential election was a tie.

11 posted on 02/22/2003 10:12:00 PM PST by PRND21
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To: Thane_Banquo
I have a good friend who is a Conservative Republican, Mexican, who was born in this country. He has spent countless hours over the past 3 years educating the Democrat Mexicans, in the Border town he lives in, he has converted some to Republican. In 1998 the encombant Republican Governor got 4 votes from that town. In 2002 the non encombant Republican candidate for governor got 30% of the vote there.

My point is, they can be educated, if the right person does the educating.

12 posted on 02/22/2003 10:15:21 PM PST by c-b 1
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To: spintreebob
"If Republicans are to win future presidential elections, they must add Latino voters to their midst."

I've been saying this for years.

It's a fact of life, and THE MAIN REASON why stopping illegal immigration on the Mexican-U.S. border is political suicide.

As America Was Sleeping . .

Borders??
We Ain't Got No Steenking Borders!!

13 posted on 02/22/2003 10:15:49 PM PST by Happy2BMe (There is no jihad war on America - it's all in you head.)
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To: c-b 1
I forgot to add, my Mexican friend is much against illegal immigration as I am, and he speaks out against it.
14 posted on 02/22/2003 10:23:26 PM PST by c-b 1
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To: The Cuban
Thank you.
15 posted on 02/22/2003 10:25:49 PM PST by nickcarraway
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Comment #16 Removed by Moderator

To: Happy2BMe
Viva la Revolucion!
17 posted on 02/22/2003 10:34:29 PM PST by SwinneySwitch (Texas is way bigger than france!)
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To: NineMillimeter
This isn't RHINO thinking but a factor that affects the GOP's fate. According to Matthew Dowd, the White House pollster, if the results of the 2000 elections replay in 2004 (percentages by race), the election would go to Gore. That is the result of a shifting demographic with more latinos and a higher percentage of latinos registered and voting. The choice between "caving" into the demands of liberal latinos or doing nothing is a false one. The GOP should be able to package a set of its issues: education, social conservatism (ie: right to life, religious rights), and job creation in such a way that it appeals to the latino community. It's a matter of presentation more than altering ideology. Further, we should always add that the hispanic community's worst enemy are the Democratic Unions. More than anyone else, they seek to portray latino workers as parasites and downplay their contributions. For latinos, the enemy (GOP) of their enemy (Labor Unions) ought to be their friend.
18 posted on 02/22/2003 11:15:09 PM PST by jagrmeister
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To: SwinneySwitch
Sleep Good Tonite
Your Borders Are Belong To Us
A Public Service Announcement of The INS

19 posted on 02/22/2003 11:24:15 PM PST by Happy2BMe (There is no jihad war on America - it's all in you head.)
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To: spintreebob
Consevatives/Republicans should definitely change with regards to the two examples you give - those folks just sound ignorant. But on taxes and immigration laws, there is no reason to change simply to pander for Hispanic votes.

I don't believe "Hispanics" constitute a voting bloc any more than Americans such as myself (and you also, I believe) of German extraction - and I haven't heard Mr. Roeser or anyone else advocating that Republicans change to go after the "Teutonics."

But who knows? If we had a Teutonic agenda, maybe Herrs Gephardt and Daschle would change parties!
20 posted on 02/23/2003 5:30:12 AM PST by Chi-townChief
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