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Next generation will inherit our huge war debt
The Atlanta Journal-Constitution ^ | 01/15/03 | RONALD BROWNSTEIN

Posted on 01/15/2003 8:25:54 PM PST by optimistically_conservative

Old question: What did you do in the war, daddy?

New answer: I pocketed a large tax cut, honey.

Pause.

And then I passed the bill for the war onto you.

That, essentially, is the generational transaction established by the sweeping tax cut President Bush proposed last week. The proposal commits Bush to a goal unprecedented in U.S. history: cutting taxes in wartime.

Forget guns and butter: Bush is now offering bombs and caviar.

That's an odd combination, as Bush demonstrated in the speech last week when he announced his plan. First he emphasized the threat that international terrorism poses to U.S. security and somberly declared that this is a "time of war."

Then he proposed a good-time economic plan that would shower Americans with $674 billion in tax breaks over the next decade -- at a time when the federal budget has fallen back into deficit and faces irresistible demands for more spending on defense and homeland security. The unavoidable result will be bigger federal deficits and a larger national debt, which amounts to shifting the cost of defending the nation onto our children.

With this push to slash taxes during wartime, Bush broke from 140 years of history under presidents of both parties. In every major conflict the United States has fought since the Civil War (and some minor ones), Washington has raised taxes to pay for war.

Americans are never particularly happy about paying higher taxes. But we have always accepted heavier burdens as the price those at home pay to support those under fire on the front. As one economist wrote during World War I: "Patriotism can often be translated into dollars and cents -- in fact, the material side of patriotism is often quite as important as the spiritual side."

The income tax and the inheritance tax (which Bush is trying to eliminate) were signed into law by Abraham Lincoln, the first Republican president, to help pay for the Civil War. As journalist Steven R. Weisman recounts in his engaging recent book, "The Great Tax Wars," by the time the war ended, Congress had imposed a top income tax rate of 10 percent on all incomes over $5,000. The inheritance tax, he writes, "passed Congress with little debate because of the widespread demand in the North for sacrifice, especially from the wealthy."

After the war, both taxes were eventually allowed to lapse. But to pay for the Spanish-American War, President McKinley -- also a Republican -- signed into law an excise tax on petroleum and sugar companies and reinstated the inheritance tax. To fund the country's entry into World War I, President Wilson -- a Democrat -- massively increased the number of Americans subject to the income tax and raised the top rate from 7 percent to 77 percent.

Congress cut taxes during the 1920s. But when the nation fought World War II, Americans reached into their pockets again. Once more, the number of Americans subject to the income tax soared (from 4 million to nearly 43 million) and the top rate rose to 91 percent.

Taxes increased again to fund the Korean War; even in Vietnam, President Johnson belatedly imposed a war surtax on incomes.

The war against terrorism or a possible return match against Iraq won't demand nearly as many resources as World Wars I or II, or even Vietnam and Korea. But these tests will still impose significant burdens on the government.

By 2005, Bush wants to spend at least $100 billion a year more on defense than President Clinton proposed in his final budget; a war in Iraq would add to that bill. At the same time, Bush has proposed to spend $38 billion on homeland security this year. And even those commitments, the administration concluded in a homeland security plan last summer, "must be viewed as down payments to cover the most immediate security vulnerabilities."

As Weisman writes, when Wilson urged higher taxes in World War I, he stressed the nation's obligation not to burden future generations with the war's cost through excessive borrowing: "The industry of this generation should pay the bills of this generation," he said. Bush seems to be ignoring that lesson.

By proposing large new tax cuts when Washington is already in deficit and facing growing costs for defense, Bush is threatening an explosive growth in the national debt. When Bush took office, the nonpartisan Congressional Budget Office said Washington would eliminate the publicly held national debt by 2008 -- so long as the government fulfilled the pledge Bush and Al Gore each made in the 2000 presidential campaign to apply the surplus temporarily accumulating in Social Security toward paying down that debt.

But Bush abandoned that promise under the pressure of recession, the war on terrorism and the cost of his $1.35 trillion tax cut of 2001. Even before Bush's new proposals, the CBO had estimated that Washington would need to divert more than $2 trillion from the Social Security surplus to operate the rest of government through 2012. With that money no longer available for debt reduction, CBO projected that the debt would rise to $3.8 trillion by 2008.

The further tax cuts Bush proposed last week will only deepen that hole. Because the operating side of the federal budget is already deeply in deficit, every penny of Bush's new tax cut would have to come from taxes raised for Social Security or by increasing the national debt. The Democratic staff on the Senate Budget Committee has estimated that if the new Bush tax cut plan passes, as well as the prescription-drug plan for senior citizens he has endorsed, the national debt will balloon to $4.8 trillion in 2008 -- the year the CBO initially projected the debt could be eliminated.

More debt means higher interest costs for the government, which means higher taxes on future generations. It all amounts to Americans voting themselves a tax cut and letting their children pay for defending the country through a larger national debt. Surely Woodrow Wilson better captured the nation's spirit when he said, as the bullets flew in World War I, that Americans "know the war must be paid for and that it is they who must pay for it, and if the burden is justly distributed they will carry it cheerfully and with a sort of solemn pride."

Ronald Brownstein is a Los Angeles Times national political correspondent.


TOPICS: Editorial; Government; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: budget; debt; iraq; liarsgotohell; nozerosumgain; repentbrownstein; taxcut; war
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1 posted on 01/15/2003 8:25:54 PM PST by optimistically_conservative
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To: optimistically_conservative
Didn't we finally bury this old pony on 9/11? sigh..
2 posted on 01/15/2003 8:27:01 PM PST by Monty22
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3 posted on 01/15/2003 8:27:12 PM PST by Support Free Republic (Your support keeps Free Republic going strong!)
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To: optimistically_conservative
Better to have a debt than to have no Country.
4 posted on 01/15/2003 8:28:02 PM PST by Uncle George
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To: optimistically_conservative
There's an easy way to solve this problem. Stop pouring my money into BS like the Department of Education.
5 posted on 01/15/2003 8:29:26 PM PST by Hobsonphile (Human nature can't be wished away by utopian dreams.)
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To: Uncle George
Funny, the Atlanta Urinal wasn't all that worried about what kind of debt I would inheret from Welfare, Social Security, Medicare, etc. etc...

L

6 posted on 01/15/2003 8:30:15 PM PST by Lurker
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To: optimistically_conservative
Where's the f**kin BARF ALERT?
7 posted on 01/15/2003 8:31:22 PM PST by SunStar (Democrats Piss Me Off !!)
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To: optimistically_conservative
We are 34 trillion dollars in debt, when is this bright day coming when we are not in debt? When we owe more dollars than there are stars in our solar system, 200 billion, what difference does it make what a war on terror costs?
8 posted on 01/15/2003 8:32:26 PM PST by MissAmericanPie
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To: optimistically_conservative

I enjoyed crushing our enemies, and seeing them driven before us, but I tire of the lamentations of their women.


9 posted on 01/15/2003 8:33:39 PM PST by Nick Danger (High taxes and dead people -- a Democrat future for all)
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To: optimistically_conservative
War debt, eh?

Take the oil. Sell the stuff. Pay off the debt, plus shipping, handling, tax, title, dealer prep, gratuity, and handling charges.

Simple!

10 posted on 01/15/2003 8:33:51 PM PST by neutrino
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To: Lurker
Lurker. well said and true. What is most ironic about this article is that Social Security was emptied to hide the debt LBJ was running up on the Vietnam war
11 posted on 01/15/2003 8:33:57 PM PST by South Dakota
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To: neutrino
Don't forget the extended warranty program.

Muy importante mi amigo

12 posted on 01/15/2003 8:39:52 PM PST by PokeyJoe (Save an Iraqi, eat a pig.)
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To: Uncle George
Right, at least this way, there might actually be a next generation.
13 posted on 01/15/2003 8:47:56 PM PST by Let's Roll (Whether we bring our enemies to justice, or bring justice to our enemies, justice will be done.)
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To: optimistically_conservative
Funny, I don't remember anybody moaning about how much Vietnam cost. I have a good way to defray costs. Quit pissing it away on things like Social Security, Medicare, the Department of Education, the EPA, the IRS, and giving huge multi-million dollar grants to liberal artsy-fartsy "non-profit" organizations.
14 posted on 01/15/2003 8:48:18 PM PST by Excuse_My_Bellicosity
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To: optimistically_conservative
And the point is . . . ? Did not the baby boomers inherit the debt from the "greatest generation?" And the late baby boomers from the "Korean Police Action?" And my own son from Johnson' "Guns and Butter?" Wake up out there, there is always going to be some sort of big deficit.
15 posted on 01/15/2003 8:51:29 PM PST by SandRat
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To: optimistically_conservative
In every major conflict the United States has fought since the Civil War (and some minor ones), Washington has raised taxes to pay for war.

Right . . . like you Bush Sr. voted to raise taxes and he was hounded by the media and the Democrats for doing it and along came Ross Perot to split the Republican vote.

The liberal media has been in high-gear ever since November 5, 2002, and shows no sign of slowing down.

16 posted on 01/15/2003 8:52:45 PM PST by LdSentinal
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To: optimistically_conservative
Tax cuts cost nothing, only government spending costs.
17 posted on 01/15/2003 8:55:59 PM PST by Brett66
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To: optimistically_conservative
Oil locked at $20/bbl for the next 20 years will easily pay THAT debt:)

The world is about to change very radically.

Once Iraq and any follow-on battles are won.....once this war is won, the world will be forced to accept that we are the ONLY military, economic and diplomatic power in the world.

Through the imposition of political stability and a low price/stable rate of energy production, our beneficiaries will pay our debt.

Our era, whether right or wrong, is the pinnacle of war as business by other means.

Sure, there are security and moral issues at play......but their combined weight is not enough to cause us to war against Cuba, China and Pakistan rather than Iraq and some other Arab countries sure to follow.

The US intends to "control" the bulk of the worlds marketed oil.......and I say better us than anyone else.

18 posted on 01/15/2003 9:03:23 PM PST by Mariner
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To: optimistically_conservative
}optimistically_conservative signed up 2002-12-17.

That's nothing. You should see the war debt WE inherited for saving Europe from itself!

19 posted on 01/15/2003 9:03:23 PM PST by DensaMensa
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To: optimistically_conservative
Hey, wait a minute:

I bought a house a long time ago and financed $80,000 to do it. Today I'm sittin' on a quarter mil after retiring that old debt and paying taxes and the real estate guy. I will pass this on to my children. So, like, their real pissed-off about that.

Static analysis......how conVENEient.

20 posted on 01/15/2003 9:09:01 PM PST by dasboot
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