[crasher]

I would also add Michigan, Washington, and Maine as probable Bush targets in 2004. He should practically ignore the 11 other states, plus the D.C.

[GraniteStateConservative]

A place with such a strong urban presence as Michigan makes it a long-shot. Bush could be competitive in ME and WA if the Dems nominate someone who doesn't get environment-voters all excited-- Bob Graham for example.

[Clemenza]

Maine will be very difficult, with the yuppies in Portland and French Canadian-descended labor socialists. If the election were held today, the only New England state that GWB would win would be New Hampshire.