This Just In: Bush Defeats Clinton

Congressman Billybob's Weekly Report (3 days early) ^ | 8 November 2002 | John Armor (aka, Congressman Billybob)

[Congressman Billybob]

I thought this one, too, would be of immediate interest to FReepers.

[ppaul]

BUMP

[anniegetyourgun]

But, of course, the Lout (NJ) is simply a placeholder anyway. I give him until first quarter/03. No doubt, however, the D's will replace him with one just as liberal.

[FryingPan101]

I enjoyed reading this. Thanks for the post. I have a concern that I seem not to be able to articulate without appearing to be anti-Libertarian Party. The Libertarian vote, as small as it is, continues to play a part in keeping Republicans out of office. Specific races like South Dakota and Oregon trouble me. I'm piggybacking this post because I don't know where to go for the answer. What is the future for Libertarians? Their policies in the past have mirrored Republicans. What changed to make them as vicious (verbally) as Anarchist?

[Alberta's Child]

This Just In: Bush Defeats Clinton

One of the more interesting untold stories of the 2000 election campaign was this: polls taken in the months leading up to the presidential election seemed to indicate that Clinton would have lost to George W. Bush if they had faced off in 2000. Even more remarkable was that the same polls indicated that Clinton would have lost to George H.W. Bush as well!

[Pookie Me]

According to CNN on Friday morning, four House seats are undecided.

AS USUAL, CNN IS WRONG! It appears there will be a run-off election for the House Seat of American Samoa, between Incumbent Eni Faleomavaega and Daniel Landkilde.

See you in December, Billybob!

Pookie & ME

[Savage Beast]

Tell Jimmy Carter to notify Gunnar Berge.

[Batrachian]

"...the Democrats will fire McAuliffe for incompetence"

I disagree with this piece of conventional wisdom. McAuliffe is Clinton's man, and firing him would be an admission of failure by Clinton. I don't know if that's possible for him. Also, Clinton needs for one of his minions to run the DNC. Controlling the funds is his main method for controlling the party. If not McAuliffe, then who? Yes, I'm sure the party want's to ditch McAuliffe, but it's not up to them.

[cdefreese]

That was a great read. Thanks.

[Alberta's Child]

Historically, Presidents take losses in their Party in the midterm elections of their first term – sometimes substantial losses.

There is a reason why this pattern did not hold during this election, and it was not just because Republican candidates did better than expected. Most new Presidents have been elected with a number of new members of Congress as well, and these new Congressmen are vulnerable in their first re-election test two years later.

Bush did not sweep into office in 2000 with a large number of fellow Republicans (in fact, his coattails were "negative"), so in the 2002 there was very little "low-hanging fruit" for the Democrats to target.

The Senate is a different story altogether -- there is no way the Democrats should have lost control of the Senate, given the substantial difference between the number of Republican and Democratic senate seats that were being contested this year.

[Libertarianize the GOP]

You might appreciate this one also.

Harmon: Strickland rolls snake eyes in political numbers game
http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/news/784600/posts

[Alberta's Child]

The critical image from that event was Clinton (him) yukking it up with Mondale and his wife. That showed not just Minnesota but the whole nation the true face of these Democrat “candidates.” It was an ugly face, a power-hungry face, a face with no apparent sense of decency or humanity.

Kudos to the writer who described the "memorial" by comparing it to the cantina scene from Star Wars.

[beckett]

Very entertaining read, and a sound analysis too. I especially like the little inside baseball asides --- and the "unclean" bit is a gem.

[Aeronaut]

"...the Democrats will fire McAuliffe for incompetence"

Oh I hope not. He's the best thing (besides W) to happen to the Republican success.

[My2Cents]

But if The Lout is replaced in 2003, or even 2004, won't there have to be a "special election" to confirm the appointment? The seat could be in play during a Presidential election year, which potentially could see President Bush swamp the Democrats again.

[Leto]

So, the Republicans gained three seats, rather than the two I predicted. CNN and others say a gain of two, but they are still listing South Dakota as a win for Democrat Senator Tim Johnson by 527 votes over Republican Rep. John Thune. I’ve read many of the facts on the vote frauds in four counties of that state, on and off the Indian Reservations. I believe the vote totals will be corrected to remove the fraud, and that will give Thune the win.

A three-seat Republican gain changes the chemistry for the remaining Senate race, the runoff in Louisiana between incumbent Democrat Mary Landrieu and Republican Suzie Terrell, Commissioner of Elections. Before November 7th, I predicted that Landrieu would be forced into a runoff, but would win on 7 December. I now change that prediction to a loss for her.

From your mouth to God's ear.

I disagree about McAweful however, tha rapist has indicated he will fully support keeping Terry as the head of the DNC.

It will be interesting to see if Clinton now helps to destroy the party, Trying to following his view of the world: he feels HE is the reason they won and they can't/shouldn't ein eithout him. This could be fun.

How do you think Ford will do against Pelosi, I think he would be a much more formidible opponent. Do you think the goal is for him to be majority whip inexchange for delivering the CBC to Pelosi? It seems to me he is being groomed to become the first Black Demrcrat Presidental Nominee in 2012 or 2016, depending on what happens in 2008.

[Jaxter]

I'vr always wondered why nobody ever asked Slick how he felt about Dubya still getting more than 3 million votes more than he did...

1996 William J. Clinton, Democrat 47,401,185
Robert Dole, Republican 39,197,469
H. Ross Perot, Reform . . . 8,085,294

2000 George W. Bush, Republican 50,456,169
Al Gore, Democrat 50,996,116
Ralph Nader, Green . . . 2,695,696

[Congressman Billybob]

I didn't even look at the races for "Congressman" from Guam, Samoa, Puerto Rico, and such. Per the Constitution, only Representatives elected from "states" have voting rights in the House. The others are there as observers. Also, they don't get to vote for whomever will be Speaker of the House.

CNN has several flat-out mistakes on its website as of this morning concerning the Senate, House, and Gubernatorial races. I did some serious homework to get the stories all straight after starting with CNN's charts and then checking everything.

Congressman Billybob

Click for preview: "to Restore Trust in America" which predicted in August the theme of President Bush' press conference, yesterday.

[SamAdams76]

In Colorado 07, the Republican has a lead of a few hundred. Being both conservative and charitable, give the Democrats that seat for now.

Well I'm not that charitable so I'm putting this in the (R) column where it belongs.

I do think the author is too optimistic on South Dakota. We shall see but I can't see this race being overturned unless voter fraud is documented and people go to jail for it. For some reason, voter fraud is rarely taken very seriously in this country. Maybe it's a can of worms that the powers-that-be do not want opened.

I like the run-off system that Louisiana uses. This ensures that the winning candidate gets more than 50% of the vote and all that nonsense about "not having a mandate" for winning candidates that poll under 50% will finally go away. I would like to see it applied nationally.

Imagine, the last three presidential elections would have runoffs. Clinton - who never achieved the 50% threshold - likely never would have been president. (I personally think Gore would have fared less well in a run-off situation as well.)

[Congressman Billybob]

Every time I write, even something as serious as a Supreme Court brief, I try to put in at least one laugh line to let the reader know that I'm a real human, not just a policy wonk.

The "Unclean" line was my wife's favorite line, also. And she's the best editor I've ever had. As I've said to her, "You're a good house but a tough audience."

Billybob