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Final Zogby poll numbers VS Results of Election Night (A FR Archive thread)
Zogby VS. The Results ^ | Nov. 6, 2002 | Jern

Posted on 11/06/2002 7:04:08 PM PST by jern

ZOGBY IN RED
Actual results are in black

SD Senate- Thune (R) Over Johnson (D) 52-47
SD Senate- Johnson (D) Over Thune (R) 50-49
Pollster John Zogby: "Looks like Pryor triumphs by trouncing Hutchinson among Indpendents. Here's another case where 401k holders voted against the incumbent."

MN Senate- Mondale (D) Over Coleman (R) 51-45
MN Senate- Coleman (R) Over Mondale (D) 50-47
Pollster John Zogby: "Despite the President's best efforts, looks like Mondale holds on."

GA Senate- Cleland (D) Over Chambliss (R) 50-48
GA Senate- Chambliss (R) Over Cleland (D) 53-46
Pollster John Zogby: "A big surprise because this race was on the watch list, then off, then on again. This one is truly too close to call, but more voters think it is time for someone new than feel that Cleland deserves re-election. Here's another race where 401K-holders vote against the incumbent."

CO Senate- Strickland (D) Over Allard (R) 51-46
CO Senate- Allard (R) Over Strickland (D) 51-45
Pollster John Zogby: "Looks to me like Strickland will win this, though it has tightened again. Allard's re-elect numbers where never good and interestingly, while 401K-holders voted solidly Republican in 2000, the two candidates tied among this group - advantage Strickland."

TX Senate- Cornyn (R) Over Kirk (D) 50-46
TX Senate- Cornyn (R) Over Kirk (D) 55-43
Pollster John Zogby: "Turnout is everything here. Cornyn is also helped by President Bush's 78% favorable rating in Texas and the President's last-minute campaigning. But Kirk is a hot candidate and a big push by Hispanics and African Americans could make this even tighter."

AR Senate- Pryor (D) Over Hutchinson (R) 56-43
AR Senate- Pryor (D) Over Hutchinson (R) 54-46
Pollster John Zogby: "Looks like Pryor triumphs by trouncing Hutchinson among Indpendents. Here's another case where 401k holders voted against the incumbent."

NC Senate- Dole (R) Over Bowels (D) 53-43
NC Senate- Dole (R) Over Bowels (D) 54-45
Pollster John Zogby: "A roller-coaster ride in this campaign. At one point this became a four-point race. But it looks like Dole has run the clock out as her lead grows over the last couple days."

MO Senate- Talent (R) Over Carnahan (D) 50-43
MO Senate- Talent (R) Over Carnahan (D) 50-49
Pollster John Zogby: "Carnahan's re-elect was poor and she loses by 21 points among 401K-holders. Looks like Talent wins this one."

NJ Senate- Lautenberg (D) Over Forrester (R) 55-42
NJ Senate- Lautenberg (D) Over Forrester (R) 54-44
Pollster John Zogby: "Voters simply never found Forrester." br>

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TOPICS: Constitution/Conservatism; Front Page News; Government; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: 2002; final; final2002polls; numbers; poll; senate; zogby
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Ok. We all had questions during this election season on how accurate Zogby was in his polling... hopefully we refer to this in future elections. It seems to me that he was accurate in the blowout races, but didn't call a single "to close to call race" accurately except for Talent
1 posted on 11/06/2002 7:04:08 PM PST by jern
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To: jern
In other words, he fudged wherever he thought it might help the Dems.
2 posted on 11/06/2002 7:08:50 PM PST by Cicero
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To: jern
almost all push polls. So much for trusting zog
3 posted on 11/06/2002 7:09:24 PM PST by fooman
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To: jern
The only accurate poll are the ones we visit on election day,(Except for those in Dade County).
4 posted on 11/06/2002 7:09:25 PM PST by Lunatic Fringe
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To: jern
A very easy read-and-compare post you've come up with and it is much appreciated.
5 posted on 11/06/2002 7:10:17 PM PST by cyncooper
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To: jern
So according to Zombie, every friggin' race was decided by the sentiments of 401k holders? He really pegged this one. Everyone voted according to their 401k. Sheesh!
6 posted on 11/06/2002 7:11:45 PM PST by San Jacinto
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To: jern
When it comes to credibility. Debka >>> Zogby.


Zogby = Democratic fraud +

7 posted on 11/06/2002 7:13:53 PM PST by Diogenesis
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To: jern
Objectively, you have to cal Zogby wrong on Missouri as well: this was ohsoclose, but the Zogby numbers weren't. Being 5% wrong is huge here.

The Arkansas race could have been called by a trained chimp, so that really doesn't leave much.

8 posted on 11/06/2002 7:14:29 PM PST by alancarp
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To: jern
Bookmarked for future referance.... thanks.
9 posted on 11/06/2002 7:15:13 PM PST by Between the Lines
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To: Coop; BlackRazor
Bookmark for future reference.

Zogby did not acquit himself well last night. Either of you save the Gallup state by state polls that came out the day prior to Electin day?

10 posted on 11/06/2002 7:15:57 PM PST by frmrda
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To: jern
Bookmarked for 2004. Thanks!
11 posted on 11/06/2002 7:16:18 PM PST by TonyInOhio
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To: jern
He did put Bush up 15% over McBride on the weekend before the election. No one believed that, and he was pretty close.
12 posted on 11/06/2002 7:16:55 PM PST by July 4th
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To: Ragtime Cowgirl
enjoy
13 posted on 11/06/2002 7:18:27 PM PST by jern
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To: jern; All
Let's face it, Zogby IS, and continues to be, the best pollster ever for these times.

His is one of the few organizations that actually talks to regular people, including "minority voters".
14 posted on 11/06/2002 7:21:22 PM PST by Hail Caesar
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To: jern
What is interesting how far off SD and MO were. And those are the two states that have the highest incidents of vote fraud. Thune better have every ballot and registration scrutinized before the recount on Nov. 25. I know he can win if he can find the smoking gun.
15 posted on 11/06/2002 7:29:58 PM PST by Russell Scott
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To: Diogenesis
Is that Chris Berman?
16 posted on 11/06/2002 7:30:26 PM PST by Diddle E. Squat
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To: jern
I guess he was kinda sorta accurate in Colorado, if you replace "Allard" with "Strickland" and vice versa.

Zogby was wrong in his guesses.

17 posted on 11/06/2002 7:32:44 PM PST by William McKinley
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To: jern
Thanks for posting the REAL poll results.
18 posted on 11/06/2002 7:35:54 PM PST by patriciaruth
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To: jern
Zogby didn't release any polls on the N.H. Senate race, since he was Sununu's internal pollster, but on Monday night, he projected a Sununu victory "beyond the margin of error" on Laura Ingraham's radio show.
19 posted on 11/06/2002 7:36:51 PM PST by Ed_in_LA
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To: jern
From the Dobbs Moneyline Nov. 6, 2002..... and interview with Zogby and Faucheau {excerpt, bold mine}


20 posted on 11/06/2002 7:38:34 PM PST by deport
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