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I think there's gonna be a runoff. There's just too many people who are frothing at the mouth to vote against Landrieu. Combined with the bad weather I don't see a lot of Landrieu support coming in. I think Terrell may take it but it'll be close against Cooksey with Perkins making a decent but failed effort.

But still vote for whatever Republican you want. Numbers count in this election and every vote against Landrieu makes a difference.

According to the past couple decades of results, bad weather in the Deep South typically helps black & democrat candidates while fair weather helps white & republican candidates. Just an FYI for what it's worth. Florida & Texas don't apply.

Unless the Greens break, it will be a runoff. This could be the election you see all the DNC lawyers flock to steal. Pubbies will win it in a runoff.

I'm curious as to why so little attention is being paid to this race.

I predict corruption and some sort of voting problems. I realize I'm going out on a limb here.....

49.7% for Landroooo

It will be a runoff. Landrieu wins if the senate is decided. If not, I think she'll lose because the race will become nationalized.

First point: I posted this on the Louisiana page, but I want to repeat it here. I'm tired of Mrs. Terrell's supporters saying that they are supporting her "because she can win." President Bush won this state 53 to 47, and any of our good conservative candidates could win in the runoff. I also think that stating your support this way looks bad for Mrs. Terrell. There are many good reasons to vote for her, and the "winnability" issue is low on the list. Try some of these:

She has served in a somewhat legislative capacity on the New Orleans city council, so she has relevant experience. As head of a bureaucratic office, she cut her own budget, fired bad government workers, and found a way to eliminate the office. It doesn't get any better than that with a bureaucratic office. While I understand that some may think she is less the completely pro-life, she is plenty pro-life for where our country is today and where it needs to be for most of our tomorrows. She will be a voice for the unborn. Her website speaks of her support for the Second Amendment as part of an overall part of homeland security. That's a very good perspective on the Second Amendment, and I think she'll use it well. While she sometimes dismisses her own intellectual strength, she has earned a law degree. I'm not all that impressed with lawyers, but a law degree is still a substantial academic achievement. Many of answers in the debate showed that she has an excellent grasp of the issues and principles that are important. Finally, I've met her in person, and she seems very nice and very "real." She will be a very good senator if we send her to Washington, so stop emphasizing this "winnability" nonsense.

Having said all of that, I am still supporting Tony Perkins. I don't agree with him on every issue, but I think he's a guy who will stand for what he believes even if he must stand alone. He has shown that trait in opposing higher taxes even when imposed by a Republican governor. I think he'll work with the president and the rest of the Republicans in Washington, but I think he has an independent streak that we need. People may hate Bob Smith for being such an independent cuss, but I think some folks like him are good balance for the party. I think Tony Perkins can provide some of that balance but do it in a way that will be much more palatable to non-conservatives. He has significant legislative experience at the state level, and that experience is relevant. While I'm rarely decided by one's military service, I think his service in the Marines is a good thing. His work with the State Department in counter-terrorism is also good to have right now. While most will see him as a religious conservative, I think he'll be a strong voice for the small-government conservative movement.

Okay, the prediction (remember I'm always wrong)

Landrieu - 44%
Terrell - 21% - up from a prediction that I made a few days ago
Perkins - 18% - a strong, unexpected religious conservative turnout and good debate performance makes him the surprise and keeps Mary, Mary under 50%.
Cooksey - 17% - a great guy whose campaign just never gained momentum

Liberal Senator Landrieu
Louisiana GOP Senate Candidate Forum
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