1. China will agree to remove the missiles opposing Taiwan, and in return Bush will delay the sale of subs to Taiwan. It will be a contingent deal based on Beijing's following through with the deal.
At the same time though Bush will reiterate his willingness to defend Taiwan should they come under attack.
2. China is the biggest proliferator of WMD technology therefore Bush will (shortly after the summit) impose fines on US corporations that have illegally transferred tech to China. The Cox Report will come to a head. The Admin will adopt a wait and see attitude as far as the new Chinese export controls are concerned.
The Tian An Men sanctions will not be lifted, or they will be replaced with a new set of rules governing tech exports to China. Quite possibly there will be an uppage of US personell in China to keep track of proliferation activities.
China may also agree to slow down, or outright stop producing missiles that threaten Taiwan.
China is wise enough to know not to pit a Chinese missile against our ability to shoot it down. There are tons of other reasons also, economic and political.
Possible that there will be a re-deployment of our Naval power in the area also...just to make sure...
That, or a verbal agreement that we won't sell Taiwan AEGIS.
Rules on bio agents set tone for Jiang's visit (Singapore paper)
"BEIJING - In a move intended to set the mood for conciliation, China has issued rules on regulating biological agents a week before President Jiang Zemin visits the United States.
It sends the message to the US that China is opposed to the proliferation of weapons of mass destruction and is serious about preventing biological weapons from getting into the wrong hands.
Professor Liang Yingming at Beijing University noted: 'The announcement is to show China is against weapons proliferation, something the US wants to hear. Of course, it's conciliatory enough to set a good mood for President Jiang's visit.' ..."
October 20
China Issues Measures on Control of Chemicals Exports (People's Daily)
"The Chinese government issued a set of measures on controlling chemicals exports on Friday via a decree co-signed by Shi Guangsheng, minister of the Ministry of Foreign Trade and Economic Cooperation, Li Rongrong, minister in charge of the State Economic and Trade Commission and Mou Xinsheng, director of the General Administration of Customs of the People's Republic of China. ... (proliferation issues discussed)..."
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People's Daily full of such articles, plus articles about American airmen in WWII, calling them martyrs and such. Also a lot of discussion about oil security.
They seem quite hopeful and positive about the trip. BTW, Singapore straits-Times is a great site for article on the Orient. Go to a story about, for example, China, and recent stories about China will come up with the article, linked via a column on the right side.