GOP leading in top two races - Texas Senate and Governor Races

The Dallas Morning News ^ | October 20, 2002 | By WAYNE SLATER / The Dallas Morning News

[Holden Magroin]

Once Sanchez and Kirk start playing the race card, things will change.

[ForGod'sSake]

If the undecided voters cast their ballots overwhelmingly for Democrats, the margins would narrow for Mr. Sanchez and Mr. Kirk.

This sounds like wishful thinking on the reporter's part. Never happen! Most everything I've read indicates pre-election undecideds typically trend conservative when they do finally make up their minds.

"This poll, like most public polls, is wrong," said Sanchez spokesman Mark Sanders. He said pollsters are underrepresenting minorities and voter enthusiasm.

"We show this a very, very, very close race," he said.

I bet. Yo mr. Sanchez, can you say denial???

FGS

[Princeliberty]

No, one the reasons Sanchez and Kirk are losing
is the fact they have run racist campaigns esp.
that loathsome Sanchez who has more business
being in a jail cell than being in the
Governor's mansion.

[KQQL]

I disagree with you.
The hispanic turnout will not be that great..
African American turnout will be excellent
Morales screwed Tony and maybe Sharp too.

I think Dewhurst might pull it off, because of the normal
or below normal hispanic turnout.
You are right the race is 50-50....
But I gave Dewhurst 50.5% chance of winning at this time.

[KQQL]

P.S:
Dallas News polls sucked during the primary and Blum & Weprin Associates Inc. of New York have approx 3%-4% RAt bias from what I can tell through the years.

At this stage the undecided have 50% chance of voting.

[KQQL]

P.S:
Dallas News polls sucked during the primary and Blum & Weprin Associates Inc. of New York have approx 3%-4% RAt bias from what I can tell through the years.

At this stage the undecided have 50% chance of voting.

[Tex_GOP_Cruz]

Morales screwed Tony and maybe Sharp too.
I agree with your turnout assessment, but I'm not sure the whole Morales thing will have much effect, though I wish it did. I think Dewhurst may win b/c lots of people vote straight ticket, at least in the urban counties. Early voting has already started here in Harris Co, so Dewhurst better have an ad blitz to counter potential crossovers, i.e., the Nolan Ryan effect.

[KQQL]

NOLAn is Super RHINo...
Screw him..and let him eat his advil...
Most people will vote down party line,
that;s why Dewhurst might get lucky

[MeekOneGOP]

Once Sanchez and Kirk start playing the race card, things will change.

Well, I haven't seen it from Sanchen yet. But kirk has already....

Ron Kirk, Texas Race-Baiter

At Hip-Hop Summit, Kirk pleads for generation to
vote - John Wiley Price attends Kirk campaign event

[Illbay]

This article downplays the importance of the Lt. Governor's race. In Texas, the Lt. Gov. is rightly called "the most powerful office in the state." He sets the legislative agenda and sees to it that the legislation he favors moves forward, and that which he does not, stalls.

The GOP has possibly blundered in nominating Dewhurst, who has ethical baggage and is not very likeable.

[Illbay]

You haven't been paying attention. That's ALL they've been doing for at least two weeks now.

[KQQL]

http://www.nbc5i.com/politics/1721236/detail.html

This poll mirrors NBC5 poll PArt2...

[LaGrone]

My wife and I plan on voting Monday in Georgetown, Tx; for all Republicans of course. I haven't voted for a Demonrat since 1976.

[Yankereb]

I've met David Dewrhurst. He is our land commissioner. He is very conservative and has done an excellent job as land commissioner. He has done a lot for the veterans of our state. He has opened 4 new vet's nursing homes, 4 new vet's cemetaries, and is in the process of opening 2 more nursing homes for Vet's. He has cut the pork out of this office. He will make an excellent Lt. Governor. Sharp is a liberal who when he was in office tried to enact a state income tax under another name. I wouldn't vote for Sharp on a bet.
Dewhurst is running a great campaign and will beat Sharp. Dewhurst is a conservative in the true sense of the word.
All you Texans out there-- get out and vote for him.

[Alissa]

I just voted a straight Rep ballot this morning!

[Yankereb]

Please don't insult Bob Bullock. He was an honorable man, and a conservative Democrat. He was nothing like John Sharp in anyway, shape or form. Sharp is a Liberal in every sense of the word. The two men have nothing in common except that they called themselves Democrats. Bob Bullock was a great supporter of George W. Bush, and his wife spoke at the Republican Convention supporting the nomination of G.W. Bob Bullock would have done it himself, but he died of cancer.

[Yankereb]

I respectfully disagree with your assessment of David Dewhurst, & Sharp. David Dewhurst grew up poor, on a farm. His dad died when he was about 3 and he was raised by his Mom. He is not a "rich" city boy. His is the American dream come true. He made his own way in this life. Sharp maybe a "good old boy" but he is still a Liberal whose only idea is to raise taxes, and spend it on more social programs which fail. Dewhurst is a true conservative, and has proved it as Texas Land Commissioner. I suggest you research who David Dewhurst is. You will like him.

[Tex_GOP_Cruz]

I think you misunderstood me. I do like Dewhurst and I will be voting for him enthusiastically. I was only pointing out the perception that comes across to voters who, unlike you and me, do not know who the candidates are. Remember, so much of politics is perception and media bites, unfortunately. Thanks for allowing me to make this clarification. :-)

[No dems 2002]

"This poll, like most public polls, is wrong," said Sanchez spokesman Mark Sanders. He said pollsters are underrepresenting minorities and voter enthusiasm.

"We show this a very, very, very close race," he said.

Hmmm. Interesting to note that the Blum and Weprin poll in April had Kirk leading Cornyn 43% to 39%. Now Kirk only gets 37%. Someone told me that one of the recent polls that gave Cornyn 54% had minority turnout quite large. Sanchez and Kirk know they're going to lose. Sanchez has made the big mistake of inadvertently projecting himself as a Hispanic running for office to oust the big bad white man, which, of course, alienates and scares off white voters. Kirk has made the big mistake of assuming that Hispanic voters who turn out for Sanchez will automatically vote for him. I used to live in California, and I know that Hispanics and blacks aren't exactly the best chummies, to say the least. So Kirk is whistling dixie if he thinks that all the Latinos are going to support him. In the last TX Senate race (Nov. 2000), the Republican Kay Bailey Hutchison took between 49 and 52% of the state's Latino vote, even outperforming President Bush. Republican Orlando Sanchez took the overwhelming majority of the Houston Hispanic vote in last year's mayoral race against incumbent dem Lee Brown, and the trend is there, especially in some of the the heavily Hispanic TX counties.

But just one message to TX Republicans: Don't be overconfident. At the beginning of this campaign, that what I thought was the big thing that could kill them, and it's still probably the only thing that could help Kirk and Sanchez. To be honest, the reason the "dream team" hasn't worked is because the GOP took their threat seriously.

[No dems 2002]

Congratulations!

Every time you skip voting for a democrat, you've done a good deed!