[KQQL]

I disagree with you.
The hispanic turnout will not be that great..
African American turnout will be excellent
Morales screwed Tony and maybe Sharp too.

I think Dewhurst might pull it off, because of the normal
or below normal hispanic turnout.
You are right the race is 50-50....
But I gave Dewhurst 50.5% chance of winning at this time.

[KQQL]

P.S:
Dallas News polls sucked during the primary and Blum & Weprin Associates Inc. of New York have approx 3%-4% RAt bias from what I can tell through the years.

At this stage the undecided have 50% chance of voting.

[KQQL]

P.S:
Dallas News polls sucked during the primary and Blum & Weprin Associates Inc. of New York have approx 3%-4% RAt bias from what I can tell through the years.

At this stage the undecided have 50% chance of voting.

[Tex_GOP_Cruz]

Morales screwed Tony and maybe Sharp too.
I agree with your turnout assessment, but I'm not sure the whole Morales thing will have much effect, though I wish it did. I think Dewhurst may win b/c lots of people vote straight ticket, at least in the urban counties. Early voting has already started here in Harris Co, so Dewhurst better have an ad blitz to counter potential crossovers, i.e., the Nolan Ryan effect.