Hurricane Lili: Major Hurricane to threaten NW Gulf Coast.

NHC | NHC

[dennis1x]

Heads up in western La., northeastern Tx. This one could be much more serious than Isidore.

[blam]

Hurricane watch bump.

[Quilla]

Bottom line is that we should have a major hurricane nearing the Gulf coastline in three days time.

Doesn't sound too good.

[mhking]

Didn't we do this again a week and a half ago?
Didn't we do this again a week and a half ago?

[Severa]

Here's the latest strike probability map on Lili from www.wunderground.com

[dennis1x]

yep...and the Yucatan saved us a severe blow....might not be that lucky this time.

[alnick]

Here we go again. (sigh)

[ex-Texan]

Track Hurricane Lili:

Hurricane Java Plotter

[fone]

Don't laugh! I know a broad (yes, broad) named Lili. Trust me, if the storm is anything like it's namesake it will be a bi#ch (apologies to any other Lili's out there).

[who knows what evil?]

People along the Gulf Coast are really going to grow to HATE Thursdays...

[mhking]

Current track projection (from WWL-TV/New Orleans):

[who knows what evil?]

If the center passes to the WEST of New Orleans, the counter-clockwise circulation could drive a NASTY storm surge right up the Mississippi River/Delta region. The already-saturated ground isn't going to help, either.

[dennis1x]

current forecast has it about 100 miles south of new orleans at its closest point which would minimize effects.

[CedarDave]

Followed your comments on Isidore -- you were right on the money about it not strengthening in the Gulf. This one appears to be much more dangerous.

Admin moderator -- it would be a good thing to keep this thread near the top of the breaking news list for the next several days; lots of folks will be checking in to see the latest information.

[SoDak]

This thing has me NERVOUS. I'm flying to FLA on Wednesday for 4 days of fishing off the Florida keys. I was under the mistaken impression that if I scheduled in October I would get around hurricane season.

[dennis1x]

Common misconception is that Hurricane season ends in August/September. Peak season is Sep 10th. More likely to have a hurricane during the 1st week of October than the first week of August.

That said, assuming your arent flying out of Houston or New Orleans, you should be fine in the Keys in 4 days.

[Dog Gone]

I wish I knew what he meant by MAJOR hurricane. A Category 1 isn't a major hurricane, in my opinion. It will ruin your day if it's a direct hit on your home, but it's not a killer.

If they expect it to get bigger than that, I'm going to get mighty nervous.

[who knows what evil?]

...current forecast has it about 100 miles south of new orleans at its closest point which would minimize effects.

"Current forecast" being the operative words here...

[dennis1x]

Major hurricane is defined as Cat3 or higher.

[NautiNurse]

Some friends cancelled a trip to Key West last week when Isidore scooted by there. The hotel would not give them a break four days before their scheduled arrival--even though they only planned to delay the trip.

You can keep an eye on marine conditions here:

Florida Keys Marine Forecast

Looks the like worst for Key West waters will be through Wednesday.