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Hurricane Races Toward Mexico's Yucatan Peninsula
Reuters/Yahoo ^ | 9-21-2002

Posted on 09/21/2002 8:37:47 AM PDT by blam

Hurricane Races Toward Mexico's Yucatan Peninsula

Sat Sep 21, 9:23 AM ET

MIAMI (Reuters) - Hurricane Isidore raced toward Mexico's Yucatan Peninsula on Saturday with winds near 105 mph after damaging houses and crops and forcing 300,000 people to flee their homes in western Cuba.

The storm was expected to strengthen into a major hurricane with winds topping 111 mph later on Saturday, the National Hurricane Center in Miami said.

Hurricane warnings were posted along the north and east coasts of the Yucatan Peninsula, including the tourist resort island of Cozumel.

Coastal flooding as high as 4 to 8 feet above normal tide levels was expected on the north Yucatan coast, the center said.

At 8 a.m., Isidore was located about 65 miles west-northwest of Cabo San Antonio on Cuba's western tip, or at 22.0 degrees north latitude and 85.8 degrees west longitude.

Its projected path showed it skirting Yucatan's north coast over the weekend and pointing straight at Mexico's east coast.

Isidore was moving west-southwest at about 7 mph and could jog more to the west. On its present track it was no threat to the United States but forecasters said it was possible it could turn toward the U.S. Gulf Coast next week.

Meanwhile in the north Atlantic, Subtropical Storm Kylie formed about 780 miles east of Bermuda. It was heading north at a speed of 9 mph with winds near 40 mph.


TOPICS: News/Current Events
KEYWORDS: hurricane; mexico; races; yucatan
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1 posted on 09/21/2002 8:37:47 AM PDT by blam
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To: blam
7 mph is racing?
2 posted on 09/21/2002 8:38:34 AM PDT by mewzilla
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To: mewzilla
"...7 mph is racing?"

110 mph is a major hurricane??? Heck--the last storm I rode out in Baton Rouge had 90 mph winds when it passed over the city. I seem to recall it was about 130 when it came ashore.

3 posted on 09/21/2002 8:55:09 AM PDT by Wonder Warthog
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To: Wonder Warthog; blam
Since the last update, sustained winds are 100kts = 115 mph = Category 3 = major hurricane.
4 posted on 09/21/2002 9:20:24 AM PDT by NautiNurse
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To: NautiNurse
"Since the last update, sustained winds are 100kts = 115 mph = Category 3 = major hurricane."

I guess it is like "Super Jumbo", "Jumbo", and "Large" at the supermarket. Having ridden out a number of them, I don't consider anything under Category 4 as terribly hazardous to life and limb unless I were to be so unlucky (or stupid) as to be right on the coast and likely to get hit by the "storm surge" tide(s).

5 posted on 09/21/2002 10:34:27 AM PDT by Wonder Warthog
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To: Wonder Warthog
Careful now...some of us live on the coast.
6 posted on 09/21/2002 10:39:43 AM PDT by NautiNurse
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To: NautiNurse
Most of the models put it at hitting the New Orleans area in about a week.
7 posted on 09/21/2002 10:40:48 AM PDT by Dog Gone
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To: NautiNurse
This one could be a nightmare, but I hate to see the hype, especially so early, because I worry people won't give this thing the respect it deserves if it does come calling.
8 posted on 09/21/2002 10:42:36 AM PDT by mewzilla
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To: Dog Gone
Yikes! I just heard this morning what a Cat 4 would do to that area. Haven't seen the models--can you provide a link?

Can't recall the channel. A direct hit by a Category 4 into NO would submerge every one story dwelling, most of the 2 story buildings, washing the nutria (20 lb rats) and alligators into residential areas. Sewage everywhere; the estimated death toll would be 15-20,000. I am still shaking my head in amazement. Frightful!

9 posted on 09/21/2002 10:52:25 AM PDT by NautiNurse
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To: Dog Gone
Where can I find a model that predicts it that far out?
10 posted on 09/21/2002 10:53:33 AM PDT by ovrtaxt
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To: NautiNurse
"what a Cat 4 would do to that area. "
Maybe it would mess up the Saints' schedule so the Bucs could win the division this year!

GO ISSY!!

(don't lambast me, only kidding..)
11 posted on 09/21/2002 10:56:23 AM PDT by ovrtaxt
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To: mewzilla
I don't think this storm will be ignored. There will always be the folks who insist on riding it out--to the end, they say. As with the Tampa area, there hasn't been a major storm in so very long, the property damage may be beyond belief with all of the area growth.
12 posted on 09/21/2002 10:57:12 AM PDT by NautiNurse
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To: NautiNurse
model forecast tracks

As usual Dog Gone's got it wrong.

13 posted on 09/21/2002 10:57:50 AM PDT by jpsb
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To: Wonder Warthog
"....unless I were to be so unlucky (or stupid) as to be right on the coast and likely to get hit by the "storm surge" tide(s)."

Gee, I wish I were like you instead of being STUPID because I live on the coast !!!!! You're such a genius and your intellegence just oozes !

14 posted on 09/21/2002 11:08:02 AM PDT by jmax
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To: jpsb
"As usual Dog Gone's got it wrong."

Ah...be nice. These charts, depending on the time of day, can show this thing hitting anywhere. Yesterday it had the LBAR tracking right up Mobile Bay. It's to far out to get to serious about any forecast projections right now.

15 posted on 09/21/2002 11:22:10 AM PDT by blam
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To: blam
Darn! If it hits Cozumel, then the family condo might get damaged again. Darn!
16 posted on 09/21/2002 11:25:59 AM PDT by Fred Mertz
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To: Fred Mertz
It doesn't look good Fred. (I used to go to Cozumel every Christmas)
17 posted on 09/21/2002 11:27:45 AM PDT by blam
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To: blam
I go every Jan or Feb, but it's on the Yucatan peninsula coast, not Cozumel but close.
18 posted on 09/21/2002 11:29:33 AM PDT by Fred Mertz
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To: blam
The Yucatan area is going to be hit hard as it is. Best if it just goes inland there and dies. Fingers crossed but mostly praying.
19 posted on 09/21/2002 11:30:28 AM PDT by realpatriot
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To: blam
I competely agree that computer models, without strong streeing currents should not be takem too seriously. This storm could go anywhere. Personally I do not believe it is as powerful as claimed. It passed over Cuba and 83 mph was the highest gust recorded. Models has it a sustained 100 mph.

I think a turn to the north is likely, seems most huricanes turn north once in the open gulf.

Living on waters edge south of Houston, I have to take this one very seriously, not ready to board up the house yet.

20 posted on 09/21/2002 11:30:30 AM PDT by jpsb
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