CHART 1: Field Poll A new poll suggests that if Richard Riordan had defeated Bill Simon in the GOP primary, Governor Gray Davis would be in serious trouble. Davis vs. Simon Davis: 38% Simon: 31% . Davis vs. Riordan Riordan: 49% Davis: 34% . CHART 2: Field Poll / Race for governor -- Positive or negative votes for a candidate Among Davis voters, Davis support is more a vote: For Davis 56% Against Simon 37% No opinion 7% . CHART 3: Among Simon voters, Simon support is more a vote: For Simon 32% Against Davis 63% No opinion 5% . CHART 4: -- Preferences for governor if the Republican nominee were former Los Angeles mayor Richard Riordan instead of Bill Simon Among likely voters Riordan 49% Davis 34% Undecided 10% Other 7% . CHART 5: -- Preferences for governor if the Republican nominee were Calif. Secretary of State Bill Jones instead of Bill Simon Among likely voters Davis 37% Jones 36% Undecided 20% Other 7% Results based on a statewide telephone survey of 765 Californians considered likely to vote in the Nov. 2002 statewide election. It was conducted Aug. 23 to Sept. 3 by telephone in English and Spanish. The margin of error is 3.6 percentage points for the first two questions and 5.2 percentage points for the second set of questions (about nominees).
Source: The Field Institute, Chronicle Graphic
And for that he gets 38% in the polls! Bwahahahahahahahaha!
Simon still has time to improve his standing with voters, though time is indeed running out. Davis has no such luxury. He's well known, and he's incredibly disliked. These "voters" polled here will not be flocking to pull the lever for him. Simon just needs to be close in the polls to win.
Oh, wait! Despite all the whining, in spite of all the hysteria of his pending and overwhelming defeat, SIMON IS CLOSE IN THE POLLS. And it's a Field Poll at that. With margin of error factored in, this poll actually shows a dead heat. (Though I do believe Davis is leading, but not by much.) It should also be noted that the Field Poll was the only poll over the summer to show Davis leading, while 7-8 other polls showed Simon leading.
A few weeks ago, wasn't Davis leading by 11 points, then it was 9 points. Now, it's 7 points.
Good trend.
If he really had any character, Simon would lead this write-in campaign for Riordan.
I think this is my vote.