Jim Talent v. Widow Carnahan: Talent is gaining ground (and leading), ZOGBY poll shows

St. Louis Post-Dispatch ^ | 08/23/2002 10:41 PM | Jo Mannies

[rface]

Republican nominee Jim Talent enters the final, 10-week stretch of the U.S. Senate campaign in a stronger position than the incumbent, Sen. Jean Carnahan, D-Mo., a new poll of Missouri voters shows.

Of 801 likely voters polled statewide, 47.1 percent supported Talent, compared to 46 percent for Carnahan. The margin of error is 3.5 percentage points, which makes the matchup "too close to call," said pollster John Zogby.

[rface]

Zogby International polled 801 registered voters statewide in Missouri for the poll, which was done Aug. 19-22. The margin of error is plus or minus 3.5 percentage points.

Overall opinion - Jim Talent

Very favorable 29.4%
Somewhat favorable 27.5%
Somewhat unfavorable 10.3%
Very unfavorable 14.1%
Not familiar16.8%
Not sure 1.9%
Total 100.0

.

Overall opinion - Jean Carnahan

Very favorable 34.7%
Somewhat favorable 21.2%
Somewhat unfavorable 15.4%
Very unfavorable 22.5%
Not familiar 4.9%
Not sure 1.3%
Total 100.0

.

If the election for the U.S. Senate were held today and the candidates were Democrat Jean Carnahan, Republican Jim Talent and Libertarian Tamara Millay, for whom would you vote?

Carnahan 46.0%
Talent 47.1%
Millay 2.2%
Other .5%
Not sure 4.1%
Total 100.0

.

Who are you leaning toward right now?

Carnahan .4%
Talent 1.3%
Not sure 2.4%
Total 4.1%
No response or not sure 95.9%
Total 100.0

.

Importance in determining your vote for Senate - Health care costs

Very important 70.5%
Somewhat important 22.4%
Not important 6.0%
Not sure 1.1%
Total 100.0

.

Importance in determining your vote for Senate - The nation's security

Very important 79.7%
Somewhat important 17.8%
Not important 2.2%
Not sure .3%
Total 100.0

.

Importance in determining your vote for Senate - The economy

Very important 80.5%
Somewhat important 18.1%
Not important 1.0%
Not sure .4%
Total 100.0

.

Importance in determining your vote for Senate - Security of your pension or 401K

Very important 66.8%
Somewhat important 19.7%
Not important 10.9%
Not sure 2.5%
Total 100.0

.

Importance in determining your vote for Senate - Prescription drug costs

Very important 65.6%
Somewhat important 23.8%
Not important 10.0%
Not sure .6%
Total 100.0

.

18. Importance in determining your vote for Senate - U.S. foreign policy

Very important 62.7%
Somewhat important 28.4%
Not important 5.0%
Not sure 3.9%
Total 100.0

.

Importance in determining your vote for Senate - ConcerNot sure about Social Security

Very important 66.7%
Somewhat important 24.9%
Not important 8.3%
Not sure .2%
Total 100.0

.

Importance in determining your vote for Senate - Environmental issues

Very important 46.6%
Somewhat important 41.8%
Not important 11.0%
Not sure .7%
Total 100.0

.

Importance in determining your vote for Senate - Abortion

Very important 47.7%
Somewhat important 30.5%
Not important 19.1%
Not sure 2.7%
Total 100.0

.

Importance in determining your vote for Senate - Experience

Very important 49.3%
Somewhat important 38.9%
Not important 9.9%
Not sure 1.9%
Total 100.0

.

Some damn good news!..Lets just keep it that way.

Ashland, Missouri

[Oldeconomybuyer]

Do not forget that Missouri is the "if you elect republicans more black churches will burn" state, and with the US Senate up for grabs the NAACP and other fringe democrat groups will pull out all the stops to keep the incompetent widow Carnahan in office.

[BlackRazor]

Flag

[bluesagewoman]

Thanks for the info. It is starting to look up a little!

[lawgirl]

A "down with the Widow Carnahan" BUMP!!! OOHH I can't wait to vote!

[rface]

did you take the Missouri Bar Test?

[jackbill]

For Carnahan backers, the top issues were the economy, health care and prescription drugs. Those also were the top issues among the women polled.

Why am I not surprised? Gimme, gimme, gimme.

I want someone else to pay for my health care and my prescription drugs.

[MassMinuteman]

"What makes this particularly stunning is that we're capturing a Democratic-leaning mood in the rest of the country," Zogby said.

Zogby is always in a demoncrat-leaning mood.

--Cary, NC

[lawgirl]

Yep- I took the Bar on July 30- results out Sept. 20. Wish me luck!

[BlackRazor]

You just beat me to it! :)

[RightOnline]

Ya know what? This all just goes to prove how incredibly stupid voters can be.

What exactly are the Widow Carnahan's qualifications for the godd**ned United States Senate????

"Well, gee golly, I......um........washed my husband's drawers for decades, so I SURELY know how to help govern the most powerful nation on earth, donchaknow."

Bloody twits.

[o_zarkman44]

The one question the poll did not mention is how important the 2nd Amendment is to voters. For this voter, support will go 100% to Talent because his record on firearms rights is very positive. And because Gebhardt supports Carnahan, and Gebhardt is given a "F" grade by the National rifle Assn, we don't need birds of a feather flocking in St Louis.

[alfa6]

PING

Regards

alfa6 ;>}

[07055]

Will they keep the inner city St. Louis polls open until midnight again to help faciliate fraud?

[Oldeconomybuyer]

Senator Jean Carnahan (D)
Missouri
Democrat, Years of Service: 1

 

ACU Ratings for Senator Carnahan:
Year 2001	28
Year 2000
Lifetime	28

2001 Congressional Vote Breakdown:

• Ashcroft Nomination (Roll Call Vote No. 8 )
  2001-02-01
  Confirmation of President Bush's nomination of John Ashcroft of Missouri to be attorney general. ACU supported this nomination, and considers it a critical test of whether conservatives could be confirmed for executive nominations by the Senate and, ther
  ACU supported this bill.

  This bill was: supported
  The vote was: 58-45
  
  This Senator voted: Negative
  

• Capital Gains Tax Rate Reduction HR 1836 (Roll Call Vote No. 115 )
  2001-05-21
  Gregg (R-NH) motion to allow consideration of his amendment to the tax cut bill. His amendment would provide for a temporary reduction in the maximum capital gains rate from 20 percent to 15 percent, to stimulate the economy.
  ACU supported this bill.

  This bill was: defeated
  The vote was: 47-51
  
  This Senator voted: Negative
  

• School Vouchers S. 1 (Roll Call Vote No. 179 )
  2001-06-12
  Gregg (R-NH) amendment to the Elementary and Secondary Education Reauthorization bill that would create a demonstration program in 10 school districts to allow public school children to use federal funds in the form of vouchers to transfer to another publ
  ACU supported this bill.

  This bill was: defeated
  The vote was: 41-58
  
  This Senator voted: Negative
  
  

• Allow Limited Oil and Gas Development HR 2217 (Roll Call Vote No. 231 )
  2001-07-12
  Landrieu (D-LA) motion to permit oil and gas development in certain areas in the Gulf of Mexico.
  ACU supported this bill.

This bill was: adopted
The vote was: 67-33

This Senator voted: Negative

[LS]

A caller to Rush yesterday from Georgia said with GREAT confidence that Chambliss would beat Cleland.

I have said for a MONTH that to get ANYTHING done in the Senate, we need to win a NET of four seats. If we only have a one-vote majority . . . again . . . either Chaffee or McCain will bolt and we'll be back to square one. BUT, if we win by 3-4, the margin actually becomes 5-7 because Breaux and Miller will suddenly vote with the majority (and in line with most of their ideology, anyway).

As of now: Toricelli trails; Wellstone trails; Carnahan trails; and Johnson trails. Hutchison leads; Dole leads. The key races will be in New Hampshire and Georgia. If we break even on those two, it will make the "working" 4-6 vote majority we need.

[Pining_4_TX]

The poll shows that Carnahan's support from women is solid - almost 64 percent viewed her favorably, slightly above her approval rating among women in the earlier poll.

Among those supporters is Ruthann Hartzell of Imperial. Her reasons touched on the continued emotional power of the personal loss that landed Carnahan in the Senate.

"Senator Carnahan's husband and her son were killed in a plane accident, and my brother and dad were killed in a plane accident a few years before that," Hartzell said. "I feel like I have kind of a connection with her."

Why did we ever let women vote? (For the record, I'm female, but I'd gladly give up my vote to keep morons like Ruthann from voting.)

[stlrocket]

I used to live in that dismal state and that backwater city of St. Louis. The perpetual voter fraud and outright criminal behaviour was sickening!

I actually had Talent to my home for a fund rasier when he was in Congress. He is truly a decent man with the morals and ideals that are not only good for America - but essential if we are to stop this headlong rush into mediocrity!

This cartoon typifies voting in Missouri - a state that I will never miss!

WEEKEND AT BERNIES - ER -MELS!

[staytrue]

"We have a $2.1 million cash-on-hand advantage over him

We know how Talent got his money, up front Bush fundraisers. How did Carnahan get hers ? Apparently over 2.1 million and more than likely in the neighborhood of 5 million over a very short period of time (about 19 months or about 300 k per month).

[Helms]

"Zogby is always in a demoncrat-leaning mood."

And his brother, a mouthpiece for thge ongoing infiltration of ill meaning Arabs to this country.

Raleigh( North), NC