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GOP Leading In Latest USA Today/Gallup Poll
USA Today ^ | 7/2/02 | usa today

Posted on 07/02/2002 7:29:46 AM PDT by GoMonster

Edited on 04/13/2004 1:39:42 AM PDT by Jim Robinson. [history]

Below are the results of a USA TODAY/CNN/Gallup Poll released Monday that asked Americans their opinions on politics, the economy and terrorism.

1. Question: If the elections for Congress were being held today, which party's candidate would you vote for in your Congressional district -- 1) The Democratic Party's candidate or 2) The Republican Party's candidate?


(Excerpt) Read more at usatoday.com ...


TOPICS: Breaking News
KEYWORDS: polls
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Republicans are leading 49 to 44 in latest poll. how come no big news and is hidden at bottom of page. When Dems were ahead was big headlines. Hmmmm! Anyway good news at least.
1 posted on 07/02/2002 7:29:46 AM PDT by GoMonster
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To: GoMonster
We have to keep our good news bumped to the top because the leftist media wants to pretend otherwise.

More Gore rantings can only help us in the mid term elections. He shows everyone why the dems are not fit to serve.

2 posted on 07/02/2002 7:32:22 AM PDT by OldFriend
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To: GoMonster
Nationwide polls are relatively meaningless in local elections.

Of course, you're still right that the media would be trumpeting these meaningless results if they went the other way.

3 posted on 07/02/2002 7:32:28 AM PDT by dead
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To: GoMonster
Thanks for posting!

Am firmly convinced without FR, we would never know a lot of this information.


4 posted on 07/02/2002 7:33:22 AM PDT by PhiKapMom
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To: PhiKapMom
Agreed. I just wish JC was still going to be in the mix. We need folks like him to serve at least 20 or 30 years in Congress.

The reason I oppose term limits is so we can have a JC Watts, a Henry Hyde, or even a Ron Paul serve 20 or 30 years, get the seniority, and set the agenda.
5 posted on 07/02/2002 7:37:19 AM PDT by hchutch
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To: GoMonster
Also note, this is a 5% lead among registered voters. Extrapolating to "likely voters" generally gives the 'pubbies another 3-4%.

This poll is almost too good. It may be a bit of an outlier, but if it's near true, this could be a rout for the Democrats. "Rout" as in, loss of 15-20 House seats and 3-4 Senate seats.

It's kind of sad that there are so many non-competitive districts out there, but when the Republicans have a majority in both houses, then the power of incumbancy is a good thing, no?

6 posted on 07/02/2002 7:37:38 AM PDT by DJtex
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To: dead
Exactly right. The only real polls that matter for purposes of the house, would be polls in the 30 districts out of 435 that will be competitive.
7 posted on 07/02/2002 7:40:55 AM PDT by frmrda
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To: GoMonster
"How come no big news, hidden at the bottom of the page?"

USA Today

You answered your own question.
8 posted on 07/02/2002 7:52:16 AM PDT by Redbob
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To: GoMonster

USA TODAY/CNN/Gallup Poll results

Below are the results of a USA TODAY/CNN/Gallup Poll released Monday that asked Americans their opinions on politics, the economy and terrorism.

1. Question: If the elections for Congress were being held today, which party's candidate would you vote for in your Congressional district -- 1) The Democratic Party's candidate or 2) The Republican Party's candidate?

2. Question: Do you approve or disapprove of the way George W. Bush is handling his job as president?

3. Question: Do you approve or disapprove of the way George W. Bush is handling:

A. The economy

B. Foreign affairs

C. The situation in the Middle East

4. Question: How would you rate economic conditions in this country today - as very good, somewhat good, somewhat poor, or very poor?

5. Question: Now thinking about a year from now, do you expect economic conditions in this country will be -- very good, somewhat good, somewhat poor, or very poor?

6. Question: How likely is it that your own personal financial situation will get worse in the next twelve months - it is certain to get worse, it is very likely to get worse, it is somewhat likely to get worse, it is not very likely to get worse, (or) there is no chance it will get worse?

7. Question: Do you think the economy is now in a recession, or not?

8. Question: Thinking ahead to a year from now, do you think the stock market will be: much higher, somewhat higher, about the same, somewhat lower, (or) much lower than it is today?

9. Question: In general, do you think there is too much, too little or about the right amount of government regulation of business and industry?

10. Question: Do you think the Republicans in Congress or the Democrats in Congress would do a better job of dealing with each of the following issues and problems? How about:

A. The economy

B. Education

C. Making sure large corporations act responsibly

D. Prescription drugs for older Americans

E. Social Security

F. Terrorism

11. Question:   Which one of the following issues will be most important to you when you vote for Congress this November: the economy, education, making sure large corporations act responsibly, prescription drugs for older Americans, Social Security, terrorism, (or) the Stock Market?

12. Question: A proposal has been made that would allow people to put a portion of their Social Security payroll taxes into personal retirement accounts that would be invested in private stocks and bonds. Do you favor or oppose this proposal?

13. Question: Do you think big business does -- or does not -- have too much influence over the decisions made by the Bush administration?

14. Question: Do you think big business does -- or does not -- have too much influence over the decisions made by:

A. The Democrats in Congress

B. The Republicans in Congress

15. Question: Which comes closer to your view about the laws that regulate corporations in the United States: the current laws are not sufficient and new laws are needed, (or) the current laws are sufficient but need to be enforced more strictly?

16. Question: Do you think the Democrats and Republicans in Congress are more interested in: protecting the interests of ordinary Americans (or are they more interested in) protecting the interests of large corporations?

A. The Democrats in Congress

B. The Republicans in Congress

17. Question: Do you think George W. Bush is more interested in: protecting the interests of ordinary Americans (or are they more interested in) protecting the interests of large corporations?

18. Question: As you may know, several large corporations such as Enron and WorldCom have admitted to misconduct regarding their companies' finances. Which of these statements do you think best describes this situation for the country as a whole: it is a crisis, it is a major problem for the country but is not a crisis, it is a minor problem for the country, (or)it is not a problem for the country at all?

19. Question: Just your best guess, how many more cases of misconduct by large corporations do you think there will be in the next year: many more cases, a few more cases, or no more cases]?

20. Question: How confident are you that George W. Bush will take effective action to make sure large corporations act responsibly? Are you - very confident, somewhat confident, not too confident, or not at all confident?

21. Question: To what extent do you think that the decrease in the government regulation of corporations is to blame for the recent scandals involving corporations - a great deal, a moderate amount, not much, or not at all?

22. Question: Do you blame the Republicans (or the) Democrats -- more for the decrease in the government regulation of corporations?

23. Question: Do the recent scandals involving large corporations make you less likely to invest in the stock market, or not?

24. Question: Next, please tell me whether the recent changes in the stock market have, or have not:

A. Made you feel less confident about the nation's economy

B. Made you feel less confident about your own financial situation

C. Made you seriously consider canceling or postponing a big purchase, vacation or other expenditure

D. Made you less likely to invest in the stock market

E. Made you less confident that you will be able to live comfortably when you retire

F. Made you less confident about your job situation

25. Question: Do you personally or jointly with a spouse, have any money invested in the stock market right now - either in an individual stock, a stock mutual fund, or in a self-directed 401-K or IRA?

26. Question: Do you think the U.S. should negotiate with the Palestinian government while Yasser Arafat is in charge, or should the U.S. only negotiate with the Palestinian government if someone else is in charge?

27. Question: Suppose that Yasser Arafat is re-elected as the leader of the Palestinian Authority in elections that are scheduled for next January. If that happens, do you think the U.S. should negotiate with the Palestinian government while Arafat is in charge, or should the U.S. only negotiate with the Palestinian government if someone else is in charge?

28. Question: As you may know, this week a federal court decided that it was unconstitutional for the Pledge of Allegiance to be said in public school classrooms. The court based its decision on the fact that the Pledge includes the words "under God." Do you agree or disagree with the court's decision in this case?

29. Question: Some people have argued that President Clinton is at least partially responsible for the current business scandals because of the climate he set while in office by his own moral failings. Do you strongly agree, moderately agree, moderately disagree, or strongly disagree with that statement?

30. Question: Some people have argued that President Bush is at least partially responsible for the current business scandals because of the climate he has set while in office by his close ties to big corporations. Do you strongly agree, moderately agree, moderately disagree, or strongly disagree with that statement?

 

Results are based on telephone interviews with 1,019 National Adults, aged 18+, conducted June 28-30, 2002. For results based on the total sample of National Adults, one can say with 95% confidence that the margin of sampling error is ±3 percentage points.

9 posted on 07/02/2002 7:55:59 AM PDT by Toidylop
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To: hchutch
I am with you!

Just found out this morning that they put some DemocRAT type districts in the 4th, but the good news is that they were overwhelmingly for Bush. I think we have an anomoly in OK where a lot of folks just haven't changed their voter registration from DemocRAT to Republican but have been voting Republican for sometime.

Maybe the Pres or VP Cheney can make a little stop here in the 4th to help us keep this seat Republican.

Also heard that the east coast RATS are going to be pouring big bucks into this campaign like they did in 1998. Translation -- carville/clinton are behind the RATS here -- the more that word is spread, the better for us! We know the clintons were behind Odom, the sleezy RAT lawyer, in 1998 when he ran his campaign.


10 posted on 07/02/2002 7:59:53 AM PDT by PhiKapMom
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To: PhiKapMom
What you described REALLY makes me wish JC was running again. Is it too late to draft the guy to run?
11 posted on 07/02/2002 8:02:23 AM PDT by hchutch
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To: PhiKapMom; Darlin'
Am firmly convinced without FR, we would never know a lot of this information

Gee I wonder why???

Darlin' .. bump for news

12 posted on 07/02/2002 8:06:54 AM PDT by Mo1
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To: OldFriend
More Gore rantings can only help us in the mid term elections. He shows everyone why the dems are not fit to serve

Gore was nothing short of scary in his rant, he looked like the wildeyed power hungry man he is, one who will do or say anything that puts him in the Whitehouse, and yet what a pass the media gave him. Just imagine the frothing at the mouth they'd have done if it was a Conservative.

13 posted on 07/02/2002 8:13:03 AM PDT by Mahone
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To: PhiKapMom
Bump
14 posted on 07/02/2002 8:20:39 AM PDT by Coop
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To: Toidylop
GWB's numbers are incredible, but the republicans in congress are not doing as good
15 posted on 07/02/2002 8:21:28 AM PDT by MJY1288
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To: MJY1288
That is why he needs to get out in the districts and States to use those numbers to ask the people to send him more Republicans -- ditto, Dick Cheney!

We need our popular Republicans out campaigning in close districts! I know J.C. has promised to spend time campaigning all over and especially here in the 4th District of OK. We will not let the RATS take it back. This district even with the new counties went overwhelmingly for Bush. We need those coattails now in this election!
16 posted on 07/02/2002 8:25:14 AM PDT by PhiKapMom
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To: GoMonster
Notice the results are for registered voters and not likely voters. The numbers for likely voters are usually skewed more towards the Pubbies. Also republicians are usually more likely to turn out in off year elections.

Zogby has said that the Rats need a 7% lead in the generic number to break even at the polls. In 94 I this the generic poll # was about even prior to the election. This sort of number if it holds in Nov would indicated Republican gains in the house and Senate.
17 posted on 07/02/2002 8:27:23 AM PDT by Leto
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To: PhiKapMom
Actually we need those coat tails after Labor Day and in particuliar in October.

The swing/moderate voters have a hard time remembering what they had for breakfast an hour later.

If GW and Cheney come out now, they will not really remember.

People like you will remember, but they don't have to worry about you and the good supporters. GW knows how to win elections, and he and Dick will do the right thing at the right time.
18 posted on 07/02/2002 8:30:03 AM PDT by Grampa Dave
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To: Grampa Dave
I sure have said after Labor Day!

Of course, he will be in Crawford in August, so he would have time to make a little swing up here to the 4th District which isn't that far from Crawford compared to other places. But then our primary isn't until near the end of August! So maybe on his way back to D.C., he could pay us a little visit to kick off the 4th District Republican race!


19 posted on 07/02/2002 8:40:18 AM PDT by PhiKapMom
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To: Toidylop
How do the pollee's reconcile their responses to questions 10-E and 12? How do they think the Dims are better on Social Security, and yet they realize we need to privatize SS?
What do they suppose are the odds of the Dims allowing them any control whatsoever over their retirement investments?

H*ll, the Dims are the people want to tell us what kind of car we can drive - they'd never trust us to do our own investing!
20 posted on 07/02/2002 8:46:48 AM PDT by Redbob
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