Perry leads by 25 points in poll
Posted on 05/20/2002 2:29:42 AM PDT by MeekOneGOP
Perry leads by 25 points in poll
Results reveal ethnic divide; Sanchez says deficit is 12 points
05/20/2002
AUSTIN - Gov. Rick Perry enjoys a commanding 25-point lead over Democratic challenger Tony Sanchez in a matchup sharply divided along racial lines, according to a new poll of likely voters.
With the election five months away, Mr. Perry is ahead in every part of the state, including Mr. Sanchez's purported stronghold along the border and in South Texas.
Those surveyed also had a higher favorable impression of Mr. Perry than Mr. Sanchez, a Laredo banker and oilman in his first run for office.
Jeff Montgomery of Austin, a Democratic consultant and pollster whose firm conducted the survey, said the findings bode badly for Mr. Sanchez, who spent $20 million in the March primary.
"It surprised me because he [Mr. Sanchez] spent a great deal of money running in the Democratic primary, but he had a moderate-to-conservative message, which should be something the general election voters are attracted to," said Mr. Montgomery, who is not working for either campaign.
Sanchez spokesman Mark Sanders disputed the findings.
"Our numbers show a dramatic difference. We've never been further than 12 points behind the governor. We feel real good about where we are," he said.
Ray Sullivan, a Perry spokesman, said: "It is consistent with what we are seeing in our internal polling. I think it makes it clear why Mr. Sanchez has launched four negative attack ads in the past four days."
In the survey, Mr. Perry was the favorite of 59 percent, and 34 percent favored Mr. Sanchez. The rest were undecided.
The poll of 1,066 Texans who voted in at least one of the last two general elections was conducted May 7-13 and has a margin of error of plus or minus 3 percentage points, meaning the result could vary that much in either direction.
The poll shows a strong split along ethnic lines.
Mr. Sanchez was the heavy favorite of Hispanics and blacks, while whites backed Mr. Perry 3 to 1.
Mr. Montgomery said the numbers indicated that Mr. Sanchez might have overplayed the ethnic issue in the primary.
"Sanchez made speaking Spanish and being Hispanic and Mexican-American and roots in that culture a pretty big part of his message, and it may be that was a little bit too strong," he said.
During the primary, Mr. Sanchez said that he was proud to be bilingual and bicultural and that diversity makes Texas great.
E-mail: gkuempel@dallasnews.com
Double oops. I try to forget Ms Bosely Braun. Let me give it one more try.
I have to say that I would believe massive lying to pollsters before I would believe that Texas will be the first state of the old Confederacy to elect a black liberal Democrat United States Senator.
I told you I try to forget her. It is Mosely Braun.
Also Mr. Sanchez also 'didn't see anything unusual about people bringing 10's of million's of dollars in case across the border and putting it in his S&L'. Some of his employees were charged, but he was not touched.
Now since we really have no choice, I hope Perry wins, but he is not a favorite with me.
He signed the 'hate crimes' bill, which is just assinine. This was done after someone painted a swastika on Mayor Kirk's church in Dallas. I never heard who did this.
He signed the bill that stole all the underground water from the citizens of this state.
He signed the bill that states only a licensed, master plumber can do plumbing in this state. This essentially puts any small plumber, who can't afford the license, out of business and makes the son-in-law who fixes grannie's leaky faucet a lawbreaker.
I have no idea what else as I really don't pay that much attention to state politics, just when something jumps at me. I no longer read the Dallas Morning News since I was bombarded with 'poor Arabs' for days on end and on the editorial page once I counted 4 editorials about the harsh treatment the Arabs were receiving at the hands of racist Americans.
That same blood was smeared on the Republican Houston mayoral candidate, Orlando Sanchez in the last election.
Terry McAwful (King 'Rat) came down to Houston to personally help the encumbant democrat retain the non-partisan office. Scampaign tricks included a vigorous "knock-and-drag" campaign (coming by the same houses 3 times on election day, hard to resist that kind of pressure) and charges of racism (odd as they were cast at what would have been Houston's first Hispanic mayor; I guess that wasn't racism because the dems were just trying to keep the first time Hispanic voters on the plantation voting for demorats, not Republicans). There was also some proven fraud in the vote.
I'd expect all of the same from the McAwful Group in this election, except on a larger scale. As this poll considered likely voters to be those who voted in one of the last 2 cycles, it omits a lot of potential first time voters. I don't want this to be a sucker punch to assure the Republicans that there will be enough voters "who agree". The only way to reduce the impact of fraudulent tactics is to be sure to go and vote. Vote early if you don't know if you'll be able to find your precinct on election day.
I'd expect some delays on election day (at least here in Houston) as it will be the first time that many voters see the new electronic ballot boxes.
Thus, the sample probably underrepresents Hispanic and black turnout.
Given that the last election was a Presidential one, I would doubt it.
Full Analysis (Subscribers Only) p> Have you seen this poll?
Full Analysis (Subscribers Only)
Have you seen this poll?
I don't know about California but I would assume you have proof of that in regards to Texas?
Phil Gramm will be one unpopular fella if this seat goes Dem.
at the end Cornyn should pull it ..................I would have been more worried if this poll still showed Cornyn behind Kirk.........Kirk is stuck between 42-44% range and Coryn has moved from 39% to over 45% range..
The point I find interesting is the large discrepancy between Pubbie Perry's 25-point lead and Pubbie Cornyn's dead heats. Maybe some TX FReepers can say if there's some real problems for Cornyn or what.
He hates Tony the Tiger...He didn't hire him.....but likes Kirk.............
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