Posted on 12/01/2001 1:31:34 PM PST by Timesink
Either prices are rising or they are not. If they are not rising enough to push up inlfation, then it can hardly be said that everyone's bread and water is facing a price hike. Or for every product that prices are rising, there are some where prices are falling. Either way, whoever wrote the above statement is an idiot.
The Euro is a capitalist idea, like NAFTA or the WTO.
No. It is a socialist, statist, social engineer's dream. It is part of an assault on national sovereignty, and is simply a mechanism to enable unelected bureaucrats in Brussels to regulate the European economy by fiat.
I'm guessing that you think capitalism is a bad thing. If so, know that you cannot be FOR people and AGAINST capitalism. There are only two kinds of people who are against capitalism -- those who want to control others, and those who want to abdicate responsibility for their own lives.
If you think the EU the euro are about capitalism, you are VERY confused.
Never mind me, let's talk about the idea, okay?
The EU, the Euro, the WTO and NAFTA are schemes put together by the biggest corporate interests in Europe and America to make it easier and more efficient to make profits. These schemes have been instituted by governments at the behest of the corporations who financed their election to power.
I agree! Only the New York Times would believe that Europeans who ordinarily work with three or more national currencies in the course of a single day would have trouble dealing with the new Euro.
The people at the New York Times believe a lot of strange things you know. Some of them may well be true, but who knows if it's printed in the Times.
Those of us capitalists who trade forex and currency futures have known for some time the nature and intent of the Euro conversion. Wim the Dim (Duisenberg, head of ECB), Trichet, Issing, and that Finnish idiot are going to get more than they planned for on this deal. Instant price inflation, notwithstanding that curious demurrer a couple of posts above, was **always** going to occur (take a look at what happened to prices when the Fifth Republic re-did the Franc).
There's another kicker the Eurodolts couldn't quite figure, although traders didn't have any problem with it. Europeans, particularly the French and Italians, are famed mattress-stuffers. Combine this with the huge gray/black market which the EU can't quite seem (heehee) to eliminate, and you've got this great huge pile of USD and Swiss banknotes stashed. Question: even with amnesty (for violation of currency laws, now being offered by at least 3 EU member nations), will this stash be converted to shiny new Euros?
Answer: based on the evidence to date, not a chance in h*ll. The stashers know their own tax critters FAR too well for that. Chalk up another negative for the Euro, esp. when the thoroughly socialist EC whips up the next tax hike. I'm betting between Feb and Apr next year, btw.
Suggest writing 30- to 45-day IMM EuroFX calls, 250-350 pips out of the money, on any 300+ pip rally in front month or spot. This should be profitable net through about 2003, bar only repeated terrorist incidents in the US (if the Tango Adam Hotels want to play their little games in Euroland, don't bother with the calls; just sell the Euro outright). Also, when Film Star Tony calls the referendum on UK joining the Euro (if he does, finally, call for it), buy the Euro/Sterling cross-rate contract on NYBOT/FINEX with both hands. Euro is so undervalued that it MUST rise relative to GBP in order for Britain to meet the Maastricht Treaty entry standards.
Different question: What is the best strategy for getting value out of a jar of misc. European currency that will go bad unless exchanged by January? Maybe, $100 worth in various currencies?
Oh, buy a clue, will ya?
The EU, the Euro, the WTO and NAFTA are schemes put together by the biggest corporate interests in Europe and America to make it easier and more efficient to make profits. These schemes have been instituted by governments at the behest of the corporations who financed their election to power.
Dirty little secret: many large corporations are anti-capitalist and like government regulations. If a government regulation which costs a large company 20% of raw profits also has the effect of elimating smaller companies which formerly held half the market, the net effect will be to substantially increase the large company's profits.
While Hitler and Stalin are commonly said to have been on opposite ends of the political spectrum, the truth is that they were more alike than different. The major difference between them was that the former thought Hitler should control everything, while the latter thought Stalin should control everything.
Thanks for making sense, which the previous replies to my post have not. I think your remarks are close to the truth, except that it isn't "anti-capitalist" for the biggest capitalists to use every means at their disposal, including the government, to further their accumulation of capital. Maybe this isn't free enterprise, but it's capitalism.
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