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Currency Change Frustrates European Consumers (Euro = Opportunity for Across-the-Board Price Hikes!)
The New York Times ^ | December 1, 2001 | Edmund L Andrews

Posted on 12/01/2001 1:31:34 PM PST by Timesink



December 1, 2001

Currency Change Frustrates European Consumers

By EDMUND L. ANDREWS

FRANKFURT, Germany, Nov. 30 — One month before euros become the new common currency in 12 European countries, the great price shuffle is in full swing, and consumers are not amused.

Back in June, the price for a pair of disposable contact lenses at the Apollo Optik outlet in Cologne was 21.90 marks. After the store developed a new price list in euros, which will start replacing marks on Jan. 1, the price jumped almost 15 percent.

At 12.69 euros, the price looks lower at first glance but translates to an increase of three marks (about $1.35). "Our suppliers have raised their prices to us, so we had to raise our prices as well," said Ditta Zeisberger, who manages one of the Cologne outlets.

Price increases for everything from groceries and cosmetics to carwashes and dry cleaning appear tied to the euro changeover. The increases are too scattered to push up overall inflation, but they have heightened mistrust about the euro at precisely the moment European leaders are begging their sometimes reluctant people to embrace the new currency.

"We don't believe it is a real problem for inflation," said Anne Millot, who monitors euro issues for Union Fédérale des Consommateurs, a national association of French consumer groups. "But when consumers see higher prices for the bottle of water they buy every day, or the bread they buy, they become very angry. And that could make them very unhappy with the euro itself."

The euro is supposed to be a great benefit to consumers, encouraging greater competition by making it easier to compare prices between different countries and fostering even easier commerce. But at least in the short term it has made it easier for companies to raise prices.

Lego's Life on Mars, which sold for 64.95 marks at toy stores here in April, was repriced a month later at 34.99 euros — also an increase of more than three marks. Shampoo that once sold for 8.49 marks was repriced at 4.49 euros, about 3.4 percent higher.

"The trend has been quite continuous," said Rainer Wezel, director of the Institute for Consumer Research, a research group in Cologne that has been monitoring prices for about 1,000 goods and services. "We found that toy prices went up in the summer, perhaps when they would not attract much attention, and now we are seeing increases in services like carwashes and restaurants."

Many if not most of the increases are tied to "rounding up," the attempt by retailers to set euro prices that end in customer-enticing numbers like 95 or 99. But consumers are annoyed rather than lured.

"We mark down exactly what we spend every week on groceries, and it is about 5 percent higher than it used to be," said Rolf Münch, a civil servant who was shopping with his wife, Monica, at the Real supermarket in a suburb outside Frankfurt. "Milk used to be 1.09 or 1.19 marks, and now it is 1.20 or 1.30. Light bulbs are more expensive too."

Retailers in Germany and many other European countries have promised at least to round down as much as they round up. But consumer groups and some economists say companies began raising prices pre- emptively as early as last spring.

In France, where retailers pledged to refrain from any price increases between Nov. 1 and the end of next March, consumer groups reported widespread increases for grocery goods in September and October.

In Germany, the Institute for Consumer Research spotted price increases on about 10 percent of the products it monitored between April and July. Of those, it concluded that the vast majority were at least related to the euro, because the new prices in marks no longer ended in the usual 95 or 99 beloved of retailers.

A sudden jump of almost 5 percent in the price of chocolate milk drew the attention of Germany's Federal Statistics Office, which weighed in with a bafflingly thorough analysis that concluded that euro pricing accounted for only 11 percent of the price increase.

In Belgium, the Economic Inspection Authority has monitored thousands of products and concluded that people used europricing "to implement price increases they might have been planning for later on," said Fernand van Gansbeke, the authority's director.

Store owners and small retailers protest their innocence, arguing that they do not have the power to push through hidden price increases.

"A bakery works with pennies, and if we raised the price of something by a full mark we would lose the customers," said Giorgios Kouvatas, who manages the Backstube corner bakery outlet in downtown Frankfurt.

Mr. Kouvatas said most prices had shifted 5 to 10 pfennigs (2 to 4.5 cents) since he introduced euro prices in September. But changes have gone both ways, he said: cheese rolls jumped to 2.15 marks from 2.10 marks, but croissants dropped to 1.56 marks from 1.65.

Store owners are indeed under pressure, not only because customers suspect hidden price increases, but from the sheer practical headaches of the weeks that will follow "E-day" on Jan. 1.

"Studies show that customers are really worried about not knowing how to calculate the prices," said Michel Paillard, a spokesman for Auchan, the French supermarket chain. "The second worry was that they were going to get cheated, and the third worry was that they are not going to be able to check their change."

Auchan and most other retailers are girding for major stress and confusion as people unload their remaining marks or francs or lira at stores rather than banks.

Stores are required to accept the old currencies until the end of February, but are expected to give change only in euros. Millions of cash registers and millions upon millions of coin-deposit grocery carts must be reprogrammed or replaced.

Auchan is putting its 16,000 store employees through a 10-hour course to teach them how to handle the two currencies, to spot counterfeit euros and to soothe customers who discover they that cannot pay with checks denominated in French francs.

By most accounts, the logistical preparations seem on track.

But the transition to euro prices is more difficult. In Belgium, a survey in September by Test-Achats, a consumer research organization, found that about one-quarter of all products and services did not have euro prices. Of those that did, 13 percent had been miscalculated.

"As we get ready for the euro, we want to create a climate of confidence for consumers, but this is not helping confidence at all," said Ivo Mechles, a spokesman for Test- Achats.

Test-Achats found the biggest euro-related price increases at movie theaters, swimming pools and small hotels and calculated an average 2 percent for increases it found.

But businesses are not the only ones changing prices. The German government recently set new euro prices for issuing documents like birth or marriage certificates. The new prices take hold on Jan. 1, and some will be 17 percent higher than the old ones.



TOPICS: Business/Economy; Extended News; News/Current Events
KEYWORDS:
Ah, I love it when the socialists end up reaping what they sow.
1 posted on 12/01/2001 1:31:35 PM PST by Timesink
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To: Timesink
Price increases for everything from groceries and cosmetics to carwashes and dry cleaning appear tied to the euro changeover. The increases are too scattered to push up overall inflation

Either prices are rising or they are not. If they are not rising enough to push up inlfation, then it can hardly be said that everyone's bread and water is facing a price hike. Or for every product that prices are rising, there are some where prices are falling. Either way, whoever wrote the above statement is an idiot.

2 posted on 12/01/2001 1:39:59 PM PST by Rodney King
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To: Timesink
Ah, I love it when the socialists end up reaping what they sow.

The Euro is a capitalist idea, like NAFTA or the WTO.

3 posted on 12/01/2001 1:47:02 PM PST by codeword
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To: codeword
The Euro is a capitalist idea, like NAFTA or the WTO.

No. It is a socialist, statist, social engineer's dream. It is part of an assault on national sovereignty, and is simply a mechanism to enable unelected bureaucrats in Brussels to regulate the European economy by fiat.

I'm guessing that you think capitalism is a bad thing. If so, know that you cannot be FOR people and AGAINST capitalism. There are only two kinds of people who are against capitalism -- those who want to control others, and those who want to abdicate responsibility for their own lives.

If you think the EU the euro are about capitalism, you are VERY confused.

4 posted on 12/01/2001 2:01:19 PM PST by Maceman
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To: Maceman
I'm guessing that you think capitalism is a bad thing. If so, know that you cannot be FOR people and AGAINST capitalism....

Never mind me, let's talk about the idea, okay?

The EU, the Euro, the WTO and NAFTA are schemes put together by the biggest corporate interests in Europe and America to make it easier and more efficient to make profits. These schemes have been instituted by governments at the behest of the corporations who financed their election to power.

5 posted on 12/01/2001 2:14:05 PM PST by codeword
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To: Rodney King
"whoever wrote the above story is an idiot"

I agree! Only the New York Times would believe that Europeans who ordinarily work with three or more national currencies in the course of a single day would have trouble dealing with the new Euro.

The people at the New York Times believe a lot of strange things you know. Some of them may well be true, but who knows if it's printed in the Times.

6 posted on 12/01/2001 2:29:27 PM PST by muawiyah
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To: Maceman
Right you are, Maceman, and well said.

Those of us capitalists who trade forex and currency futures have known for some time the nature and intent of the Euro conversion. Wim the Dim (Duisenberg, head of ECB), Trichet, Issing, and that Finnish idiot are going to get more than they planned for on this deal. Instant price inflation, notwithstanding that curious demurrer a couple of posts above, was **always** going to occur (take a look at what happened to prices when the Fifth Republic re-did the Franc).

There's another kicker the Eurodolts couldn't quite figure, although traders didn't have any problem with it. Europeans, particularly the French and Italians, are famed mattress-stuffers. Combine this with the huge gray/black market which the EU can't quite seem (heehee) to eliminate, and you've got this great huge pile of USD and Swiss banknotes stashed. Question: even with amnesty (for violation of currency laws, now being offered by at least 3 EU member nations), will this stash be converted to shiny new Euros?

Answer: based on the evidence to date, not a chance in h*ll. The stashers know their own tax critters FAR too well for that. Chalk up another negative for the Euro, esp. when the thoroughly socialist EC whips up the next tax hike. I'm betting between Feb and Apr next year, btw.

Suggest writing 30- to 45-day IMM EuroFX calls, 250-350 pips out of the money, on any 300+ pip rally in front month or spot. This should be profitable net through about 2003, bar only repeated terrorist incidents in the US (if the Tango Adam Hotels want to play their little games in Euroland, don't bother with the calls; just sell the Euro outright). Also, when Film Star Tony calls the referendum on UK joining the Euro (if he does, finally, call for it), buy the Euro/Sterling cross-rate contract on NYBOT/FINEX with both hands. Euro is so undervalued that it MUST rise relative to GBP in order for Britain to meet the Maastricht Treaty entry standards.

7 posted on 12/01/2001 2:29:30 PM PST by SAJ
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To: codeword
Is the DUh server down?
8 posted on 12/01/2001 2:45:32 PM PST by NicR
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To: Timesink
The Euro transition is nothing more than a major step in the estblishment of the Fifth Reich. The theiving European bureaucrats, in exchange for bribes, kickbacks, payoffs, and high paying jobs requiring little work or skill, agreed to fudge numbers to put 11 countries in the same currency grouping. How long can Portugal and Germany have common enough economic interests to make this last? As things get out of whack, compensatory adjustments will be made. When unemployment in Spain reaches 17% while in Holland it improves to 3%, something will have to give. There will be supsidies, "constants," and allowances made until the EU flies apart. Then, the reconstituted New Deutshe Marc, a hard currency, will replace the Euro.

Different question: What is the best strategy for getting value out of a jar of misc. European currency that will go bad unless exchanged by January? Maybe, $100 worth in various currencies?

9 posted on 12/01/2001 3:03:28 PM PST by Tacis
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To: codeword
The Euro is a capitalist idea, like NAFTA or the WTO.

Oh, buy a clue, will ya?

10 posted on 12/01/2001 3:21:44 PM PST by M. Thatcher
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To: codeword
I'm guessing that you think capitalism is a bad thing. If so, know that you cannot be FOR people and AGAINST capitalism....

The EU, the Euro, the WTO and NAFTA are schemes put together by the biggest corporate interests in Europe and America to make it easier and more efficient to make profits. These schemes have been instituted by governments at the behest of the corporations who financed their election to power.

Dirty little secret: many large corporations are anti-capitalist and like government regulations. If a government regulation which costs a large company 20% of raw profits also has the effect of elimating smaller companies which formerly held half the market, the net effect will be to substantially increase the large company's profits.

While Hitler and Stalin are commonly said to have been on opposite ends of the political spectrum, the truth is that they were more alike than different. The major difference between them was that the former thought Hitler should control everything, while the latter thought Stalin should control everything.

11 posted on 12/01/2001 4:27:45 PM PST by supercat
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To: supercat
Dirty little secret: many large corporations are anti-capitalist and like government regulations. If a government regulation which costs a large company 20% of raw profits also has the effect of elimating smaller companies which formerly held half the market, the net effect will be to substantially increase the large company's profits.

Thanks for making sense, which the previous replies to my post have not. I think your remarks are close to the truth, except that it isn't "anti-capitalist" for the biggest capitalists to use every means at their disposal, including the government, to further their accumulation of capital. Maybe this isn't free enterprise, but it's capitalism.

12 posted on 12/01/2001 9:19:33 PM PST by codeword
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To: Timesink
The euro comes from Supply Side economic theory. Robert Mundell won the Nobel in 1999 for his work justifying it
13 posted on 12/02/2001 12:17:34 AM PST by arielb
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To: Timesink
morning bump
14 posted on 12/02/2001 3:15:26 AM PST by Timesink
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