Posted on 11/04/2001 7:01:11 PM PST by Ironword
Wayne I. Boucher Essay
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No, no, no . . . that's Castro's action, he infects pigeons and sends them north, didn't you know :-)
Now, is it possible that Saddam's insurance policy includes something even nastier than anthrax, such as smallpox, or some kind of bioengineered bug? Of course, it is possible. Do we have any evidence of that? There doesn't appear to be any public indication of such, although we cannot be privy to any threats that have been communicated directly to the US government. My own bet is that anthrax is probably the worst they've got. I think it's a lot worse of a threat than most people realize, but I also think that, if we stall a few months and can keep the dominoes from falling in the Mid-East (Pakistan, Saudi Arabia), it's possible that we may be able to put in place measures that can contain the risk well enough that we can risk a confrontation with Saddam. However, there's a lot of ifs, ands, and buts in that line of reasoning, and I certainly don't envy Dick Cheney's job right now, figuring out what to do about this.
and this:
"And while the Americans are busy with their foolish missile defense system....."
The U.S. Special Forces action on the ground in Afghanistan on October 19 resulted in the capture of many useful documents. But the principal discovery was an audio tape which has just been found to contain a briefing by Osama bin Laden to his key subordinates. (Voice verification was done by the CIA.) Bin Ladens purpose in this briefing was to assess developments to date and to inspire anew his "blessed group of vanguard Muslims" in their commitment to the jihad against "the infidels," especially "the great Satan." Internal evidence suggests that this tape must have been made on the 17th or 18th.
So... Let me get this straight... We raided Omar's residence on the 19th, and found a "briefing" recorded no more than two days previously. Let's keep in mind that Omar's residence was NO LONGER IN USE, because it was such an obvious bombing target.
So are we to believe that after bin Laden made a "briefing tape" somewhere out in the boonies, he made sure that a copy of it was hurriedly carried forth and delivered to a building that wasn't being used, within 48 hours?
Poppycock.
The translation here was made hurriedly on the 26th, and it is informal. Citations for quotations from the Koran are by the translator, and it may be confirmed that, remarkably, all the quotations are exact.
Ah, here the hoaxers have really stepped in it.
This is as specious and "what were these people smoking" as the ludicrous "NASA has found a missing day" urban legend.
There is no "exact" English "quotation" from the Qu'ran. Period. There are a big batch of English-translation Qy'ran's in publication, and just like *any* translation from an original language into another, there's no "correct" or "exact" translation. Every translation, of any source material, is always an approximation, and bear the unique and personal stamp of the translator. That's why there are many English versions of the Bible in existence.
So to say, "gasp, the quotations were exact" makes absolutely, positively, no kind of sense. It's the sort of "booga booga" stuff that people like to put into hoaxes to "prove" their authenticity when they have no real idea of what they're talking about.
If, in fact, this "translation" that is floating around in email happens to *exactly* match a particular English-language translation edition of the Qu'ran, all it proves beyond a shadow of a doubt is that it was WRITTEN IN ENGLISH ORIGINALLY AND IS NO TRANSLATION AT ALL, because the hoaxers played cut-and-paste with an English copy of the Qu'ran when they were constructing their fake in order to make it seem "exactly authentic".
Nice try.
A more literal translation of this speech is in progress at the CIA, along with a response analysis, but (consistent with the National Security Advisers position) officials there apparently plan not to release this text publicly, given its extremely inflammatory and chilling content. The President and Vice President have not yet seen this document.
And again:
Yeah, right -- the contents were so inflammatory and chilling that someone broke secrecy laws and released it to the public, but no one has yet gotten around to bothering to mention it to Bush and Cheney? Just how stupid do the hoaxers think we are?
But a source in the Pentagon (who wishes to remain anonymous) has now made this version available, his belief being that Bin Ladens speech is too important to be denied the American public and, indeed, the world at this critical time.
This reads like any number of (badly done) urban legends that have been breathelessly spread over the internet. Not only does it not pass the smell test, but it's depressingly unoriginal. The "scare intro" seems lifted almost verbatim from some sort of "urban legend 'secret document release' form letter".
For pete's sake, if you're going to go through the trouble of putting together a couple of pages of hoax, at least make your cover story a bit less of a cliche.
I think this line says it all:
"And while the Americans are busy with their foolish missile defense system and putting steel bars on pilots doors..."
Of course, apparently the administration cannot get over their star wars/pork barrel obsession, to the degree that it interferes with our new relationship with Russia, or at least gives them a bargaining chip to exact more concessions, as seen with the recent haggling over the ABM treaty rather than the focus on the long-term and real problems. Remember what Gen Eisenhower said about the military-industrial complex!
Please, Illbay! Save your energy. Do not even bother on skepticism.
This is pure unadulterated bullshit
Nice. You get taken by a hoax, then you extend your own jackassery by checking folks Member Since date rather than debating.
Strategic Futures International
A research director, policy analyst, consultant, and educator, Mr. Boucher has worked with public and private organizations in the U. S. and abroad for more than thirty years, principally on assignments requiring the use of advanced approaches to strategic forecasting and policy analysis. Mr. Boucher's affiliations before forming Strategic Futures International in 1995 with Trevor A. Hunwicks, SFI's Managing Partner in the UK, were as follows:
President and Chief Operating Officer of the Electronic Funds Transfer Association (1994-1995), a multi-industry trade group, where he led educational and government relations activities on electronic banking, point-of-sale, electronic benefits transfer, and other member concerns.
President of The Arkansas Institute (1993-1994), a start-up public policy organization, where he led research on issues of statewide significance, including state R&D policy, youth crime, the need for a state office in D.C., and the emerging mismatch between workers' skills and employers' job requirements. The Institute was honored by winning the Governmental Research Association's 1994 national award for Most Distinguished Research, following a 50-state competition.
Executive Vice President of Benton International (1984-1993), where he led the company's futures research studies for clients in North and South America, Europe, and Japan to support strategic planning, consumer and competitive analysis, new product and market evaluation, and other topics that often combined technical, economic, and business policy aspects of EFT.
Senior Research Associate at the Center for Futures Research in the Graduate School of Business Administration at the University of Southern California (1978-1984), where he developed and led a unique program dedicated to applying the tools of futures research to define policy-relevant strategic environments for financial service providers, including the consumer finance, property/casualty insurance, and life and health insurance industries.
Deputy Director and Director of Research of the presidentially appointed National Commission on Electronic Fund Transfers (1976-1978), where he led a program of studies and hearings that established the policy-analytic basis for NCEFT recommendations adopted in subsequent legislation which shaped the future of EFT in the U.S.
Co-founder and Vice President of The Futures Group (1971-1976), where he led many projects, including studies of the market for new electronic products, Congress' needs for forecasts, strategic futures for several corporations, and research needs in futures research. He also introduced the Interview Delphi and the FPE (Focused Planning Effort) process.
Research Associate at the Institute for the Future (1969-1971), where he participated in the earliest applications of futures research, including policy research on such questions as the future of telephony, socio-political futures for Canada, federal-state science policy formulation, and future time and money budgets of consumers.
Assistant to the President of The RAND Corporation (1963-1969), where he was concerned with military and non-military applications of systems analysis, program budgeting (PPBS), and long-range forecasting.
Mr. Boucher's 450 presentations and publications include five books as author, co-author, or editor, among them Systems Analysis and Policy Planning (American Elsevier); Futures Research and the Strategic Planning Process (ASHE-ERIC); Applying Methods and Techniques of Futures Research (Jossey-Bass); and The Study of the Future (National Science Foundation). Mr. Boucher, who began his career as a teacher of English at the University of Missouri (1958-1963), has been an adjunct professor in schools of business (University of Connecticut), public administration (USC), and arts and sciences (UCLA). He is listed in Who's Who in America (1986 -) and other directories.
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