Posted on 10/30/2001 2:53:53 AM PST by American_Patriot_For_Democracy
The Bush administration is concerned that the al Qaida network of accused terrorist mastermind Osama bin Laden might try to use a small nuclear weapon in a super-spectacular strike to decapitate the U.S. political leadership, according to a half dozen serving and former U.S. government and intelligence officials.
"They believe it's a real possibility," said one former senior U.S. government official, adding that secret plans for protecting the U.S. president and his successors in the event of a nuclear attack were in place.
The Bush administration believes that bin Laden -- the prime suspect in the Sept. 11 terror attacks -- may be in possession of one or more small, portable nuclear weapons, according to one former senior U.S. intelligence official. Other experts agree that the danger is real. "We're not at all discounting that possibility," agreed Rose Gottemoeller, senior associate and Russian weapons expert at the Washington-based Carnegie Endowment for International Peace.
Bin Laden's efforts to get hold of nuclear material are no secret. Peter Probst, an anti-terrorism analyst formerly with the Pentagon's Office of Special Operations Low-Intensity Conflict says the Saudi fugitive "has been obsessed with nuclear weapons."
During his trial for involvement in the 1998 bombing of two U.S. Embassies in East Africa, Jamal Ahmad al-Fadl, an al Qaida operative, outlined bin Laden's efforts to spend $1.5 million to obtain a cylinder of enriched uranium. Plans were made, said al-Fadl, to test uranium samples to see if they could be made into a bomb. The project fell through, he said, according to court documents.
But Monday, the Times of London cited unnamed Western intelligence sources as saying bin Laden had obtained nuclear materials from Pakistan.
And there have also been several reports -- variously citing unnamed intelligence sources from Israel, Russia and Arab nations -- about bin Laden's attempts to purchase a small nuclear device from the arsenal of a former Soviet republic, through terrorist or mafia groups in Chechnya or Central Asia.
According to Probst, what the U.S. intelligence community fears is that tactical nuclear weapons of one kind or another have been sold to terrorists via corrupt Russian military officers or the Russian or Chechen mafias with whom bin Laden is known to have had contact.
Probst explained that portable nuclear weapons were developed by the Soviets in the 1960s. They were designed for use by their Spetznatz special operations forces against NATO command and control sites.
Until recently, the best information the United States had about these weapons described them as "suitcase bombs," although former CIA counter-terrorism expert, Vince Cannistraro, says that they are the size of a footlocker and Gottemoeller adds that they actually come in two sections, "both rather cumbersome."
Cannistraro denounces reports that bin Laden has obtained such weapons as "total crap."
But a former senior U.S. intelligence and Eastern Bloc specialist cautioned that "the Soviets were able to build weapons of such smallness and lightness that they could be carried by one person," pointing out that one U.S. nuclear warhead weighs less than 60 lbs.
While much has been written about suitcase bombs, until now, nothing has appeared in any public report about these smaller "backpack" nuclear weapons, according to several U.S. government sources.
One U.S. government expert said that the United States gained new knowledge of the backpack weapons in the 1990s through Russian double agents run by the CIA. One U.S. source familiar with the program said: "We had defectors who trained on backpack weapons and who bluntly told the agency that everything they knew about the devices was wrong. We didn't understand how they were assembled or how they were to be used."
In 1998, this new information was put into a CIA "blue border" report, meaning it "contains material from a foreign source of the greatest sensitivity," a former senior U.S. intelligence official said. The report was presented to then President Bill Clinton and his National Security Advisor Sandy Berger. The report was so secret, the two men were only allowed to initial the document before it was returned to the agency's custody, U.S. government officials said.
Berger's assistant told United Press International that he declined to comment because, "It's an intelligence matter."
But the Federation of American Scientists says, "nuclear weapons that can fit in a very heavy, normal-sized suitcase are a real possibility."
"The possibility that these devices have been stolen and sold to terrorist groups is nearly anyone's worst nightmare," said Carey Sublette of the Federation of American Scientists.
General Aleksandr Lebed, the former Russian security czar, said in 1997 that several nuclear suitcase bombs and tactical nukes had disappeared from the Russian arsenal.
In testimony before the Congressional Military Research and Development Subcommittee in October 1997, Lebed said there were bombs made to look like suitcases that could be detonated by one person with less than 30-minute preparation.
Lebed also said that nuclear bombs only 24 x 16 x 8 inches were distributed among Soviet military intelligence units. He made no mention of nuclear backpack bombs.
Probst told UPI he believes that Lebed is accurate about missing Soviet tactical nuclear weapons. "I firmly believe that some were sold to groups by corrupt Russian military, probably in the Central Asian republics," he said. On Oct. 28, 1999, Rep. Curt Weldon (R-Pa.) said that he believed that some 48 Russian nuclear devices remained unaccounted for.
"We simply don't know what was floating around out there when the Soviet Union dissolved," especially in the Central Asian republics, an administration official said. "That's one of the questions we need to ask: what are the threats?"
I guess that tells us all we need to know about why we have to worry about this matter today.
It seems to me, President Bush simply positions our fighters and/or subs with nuclear weapons tipped missiles/bombs to fly near Iraq and Afghanistan - near Pakistan - and we let both countries know that should any nuclear device go off in this country, Iraq and Pakistan will be attacked with nuclear weapons. We let India know the same because they may want to help destroy Pakistan before Pakistan can nuke India.
We should notify our allies - and our enemies - that we will not hesitate to do so and that we have methods in the works to do just that as necessary.
If necessary, we can so advise Saudi Arabia, Syria, Iran, North Korea of same. And we should be ready to send a massive assault on Cuba as well...not necessarily nuclear.
Such actions could trigger Communist China and Russia to let loose their nukes - but we should have in place the command structure and communication structure to notify these nations that we will not be in any way attempting to harm them unless they should join the efforts to attack our country.
Outside of paying millions to hit squads to slit the throats of every terrorist kingpin in the world - I don't know how else we can proceed.
Of course, prayer is the answer - but we are also dealing with very real danger to this nation and if nuclear devices are used against us.....these nations who have harbored terrorists MUST KNOW THEY WILL RECEIVE SAME!
I'm hoping that what experts say is true and that is that even these small, tactical devices takes alot more effort to detonate and that you just don't "pull a pin" or "push a button". It's a tough "bluff" to call, I wouldn't take the chance when we can devastate from the air.
It is prudent to be watchful and patient. Likely the Taliban would like to see a concentrated batallion of American soldiers for a reason.
If the Taliban are hiding in civilian Kabul homes, it's time to warn the civilians as best we can, and bomb the homes.
We keep hearing about the terrible Afghan winters...but we also heard about how wonderful the Northern Alliance was.
I was under the impression the "backpack nukes" were fission devices, not fusion. Everything I have read said that. Do you have a link for anything different?
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