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Has Bush outfoxed bin Laden?
New Australian ^ | Thursday 27 September 2001 | James Henry

Posted on 09/27/2001 6:56:04 AM PDT by Tai_Chung

The terrorist atrocities inflicted on the US have give rise to a new rumor mill that grinds out stories that range from the banal to the bizarre. But a story out of the Middle East has more credibility than most, particularly in certain quarters. Some cooler and more intelligent heads in the Arab world have concluded that Bush has outfoxed the fanatical bin Laden.

Like all fanatics bin Laden is narrowly on his mission while being disconnected from the real world. Far from being the educated man he is said to be he, like his suicide-bombers, is remarkable ignorant of the West, specially the US. Although some of his followers have been educated at Western Universities their education has been confined to technical subjects like engineering. Those, for example, who attended US universities learnt nothing of US history or cultural values, confusing topless bars, which some of them enjoyed, with moral decay and lack of will. The sad fact is that what little they knew of US history and policies came entirely from the country’s anti-American left, which has painted a grossly dishonest picture of America that neatly fitted in with these terrorists’ anti-American dogma thus blinding them further to the political and military consequences of their actions.

As our editor pointed out at a recent seminar in Australia, being narrowly focused to the exclusion of all else is part of the terrorists’ Achilles heel. And so it is with bin Laden. Believing himself to be the hand of God and a follower of the one true faith, or his fanatical version of it, means he operates with an open loop. Therefore there is no negative feedback mechanism to correct his distorted picture of the world. There are no advisers to council restraint or retreat because like Hitler, Stalin, Mao, etc., he literally believes himself to be the only one capable of interpreting events and predicting their consequences.

Now we have bin Laden’s fundamental weakness. Being truly ignorant of American history and knowing nothing of the country’s political system he has made the mistake of drawing the wrong lesson from a narrow range of fairly recent events by interpreting it in terms of his world view: the refusal of George Bush senior’s to finish off Saddam Hussein, the hasty retreat from Somalia, the successful bombing of US embassies and military bases in Saudi Arabia, the attack on the Cole and Clinton’s self-serving pinprick responses to terrorism.

In bin Laden’s fantasy America would either respond in a Clintonesque way and so demonstrate to the world its cowardly nature or it would blindly strike out, killing hundreds if not thousands of innocents and so inflame the whole of the Islamic world. (Notice how closely his apocalyptic vision resembles the extreme left’s one of a world-wide revolution against capitalism).

He got neither. Instead of grabbing the initiative he made a terrible blunder. His actions pulled the US together, awakening in it a steely resolve that can have only one outcome. Instead of retreating or immediately striking out, President Bush set about building up a mighty military force not only to destroy bin Laden but to demonstrate to the rest of the world the consequences of attacking America. Afghanistan has been isolated, it’s borders sealed.

Battle lines have been drawn and are being supported with varying degrees of enthusiasm. Russia, Tajikstan. Uzbekistan, Turkmenistan, even Iran, Pakistan and China are cooperating. British special forces (SAS) are already operating in the country while American special forces are moving in. A coordinated plan consisting of concentrated air attacks on terrorist camps and Taliban installations, special forces assault teams, and the cooperation of the Northern Alliance is being put into action. None of this, so the story goes, is supposed to be happening.

Moreover, there are rumors that the scale of the forces that bin Laden has unleashed has caused subterranean cracks to appear within the Taliban’s ranks, with some of them wondering why they should have to take the fall for bin Laden. The smarter ones know they are not popular among the mass of Afghans, and that if properly equipped and supported by Western powers the Northern Alliance would drive them back to their mountain villages — that is if the locals don’t hang them from cranes and artillery barrels first.

Afghan refugees are relating tales of an increasing number of Taliban acts of banditry and rape as order collapses in the towns and cities. The wholesale kidnapping of non-Pashtun males aged between 15 and 30 for ‘military’ service smells of panic because the Taliban knows these males belong to hostile ethnic minorities. These are not the actions of men who believe in their own invincibility.

So to some Arab observers Bush has already won. But surely if bin Laden is killed other bin Laden’s will arise. There is only one bin Laden, thank God. This latter-day Mahdi is just another religious millenarian who promises paradise by driving out the infidel, the cause of the faithful’s misery. Such people have been a curse throughout history.

I’m not saying that terrorism will end with bin Laden, only that his head must be the first to roll if victory is to be achieved. Once this is done, the invisible war against terrorism will accelerate, from the freezing of bank accounts to the assassination of terrorist organizers and the smashing of their networks.

The strategy, as explained to me, is basically simple. Make an example of bin Laden, demonstrate overwhelming military power and the will to use it against states that harbor and train terrorists; isolate the terrorists physically and squeeze them psychologically. The ultimate aim is the elimination of state-sponsored terrorism.


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To: Trident/Delta
Oh, so it was YOU

I think I'll live through it though. You really shouldn't be so sensitive - usually I don't do that but somehow I found that picture very funny and just couldn't resist. Loosen up a little bit, have some fun. I don't get all offended by the tons of conservative cartoons (most of them are sorta funny).

121 posted on 09/27/2001 1:20:35 PM PDT by Bouncer
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To: Bouncer
Probably not much different than President Bush in response to the terrorists.

Are you kidding? Al Gore would likely have apologized to the terrorists by now and called Ariel Sharon (from a Buddhist temple that he swears to Buddha ne never knew was holding a fundraising event) to tell him how awful it is that his response to the PA caused our World Trade Center to be bombed. Do you study a candidate before you vote?

Probably a lot different with Congress in that I don't think he'd be trying to sneak any tax cuts for the wealthy,

I got a tax cut. I must be wealthy. Nope, still no spare spending money. Not poor mind you, but not wealthy. What about you, did you get a tax cut? Maybe yours wasn't as big as Bill Gates' was. Does that mean that if Bill Gates gets a $1000 gift for Christmas and you only get a $100 gift you would refuse your gift and demand that Bill give his back?

Actric drilling or missle defense sheild into the appropriations bill.

Define sneak. If you count making speeches and telling news reporters what you're doing then, you're right, Bush is trying to sneak Arctic drilling and missile defense through congress.

Gore would've found a way to sneak in childrens healthcare, environmental cleanup and education funding.

What children don't have healthcare? I haven't heard anything about children who don't have healthcare. Recently there was a news report about how the Children's Health Insurance Program (CHIP) was going to have to work harder to let people know they were there. They had a lot of money to spend and nobody applying. Environment clean-up: is there someplace that needs cleaning that I don't know about? Education funding: don't get me started. Bush has abandoned the conservatives by promoting a huge increase in educational funding.

Where do you get your news anyway? Just curious, but I don't remember children's healthcare or environmental cleanup mentioned by either side in the last election. And every idiot knows that Bush was interrupted at a school in Florida to be informed of the Attack on America because he was pushing his education agenda. (Al Gore would have been interrupted at a Buddhist Temple that ... oh wait, I used that one)

In short, same tactics, just a different agenda.

No, I think Gore would be trying to prove that everyone who disagreed with him was a lowlife scumbag like his mentor Bubba always did. Bush employs the tactics of civility and respect - along with obedience to the law. I'm not sure Gore even understands those concepts.

Shalom.

122 posted on 09/27/2001 1:23:36 PM PDT by ArGee
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To: Redleg Duke
I think that was unfair. I believe the sentiment that franksnbean (I'm sure I screwed the name up) is trying to reflect is not to underestimate the enemy. I for one (though you may also incorrectly label me as you wish) agree that this article promises much but delivers little but rosey hues of overconfidence. I'm not ascerting that we will not ulitmately crush these bugs, but to assume they have no grasp of American History?? comeone thats a big assumption. This is a feel good article. I certainly am 100% pro Bush, pro military, pro action. But I don't think cockiness or underestimating the enemy are in anyones best interests. And I doubt that any one in our military will be acting cocky or overconfident, more like steely, resolved and prepared for the worst.
123 posted on 09/27/2001 1:28:17 PM PDT by ottersnot
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To: Publius6961
It would be the height of stupidity to arm uneducated simple males who ostensibly are as likely to turn against them as not.
I guess you've never been to Texas
I understand the Taliban only represent about 10% of the ethnic/religious minority in Afghanistan. If that's a fact (and I don't know that it is), they would almost have to arm people from a different group to have any sort of army.
124 posted on 09/27/2001 1:28:51 PM PDT by Bouncer
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To: Tai_Chung, All
"and squeeze them psychologically."

This is why I thought the original name for this war should have been "Operation Anaconda". What do ya'll think?

125 posted on 09/27/2001 1:35:06 PM PDT by FRlurker
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To: deport
Thanks for the flag, de. Very interesting strategy here.
126 posted on 09/27/2001 1:37:10 PM PDT by Irma
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To: ArGee
I think my point was that politicians shouldn't be using the 9-11 response appropriation bill to advance some other agenda. Perhaps my point was too subtle.
I wasn't trying to be exactly factually accurate in which agenda was being pushed, only used examples of typical conservative and liberal causes associated with the people in question to illustrate my point that BOTH would probably do the same sort of thing just from their particular perspective. Since this was a what-if scenario (we could never know how Gore would've handled it) I think I had some license to generalize.
127 posted on 09/27/2001 1:40:52 PM PDT by Bouncer
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To: Bouncer
Seriously, even us Lefties have to admit that Bush hasn't handled this so badly. I think he is progressing along reasonable lines. I could make a couple of criticisms but nothing substantial. All in all, no complaints from the Left.

Really?

You don't even mind looking like idiots after all the lies about Bush's stupidity and incompetence?

128 posted on 09/27/2001 1:53:38 PM PDT by Interesting Times
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To: Bouncer
I see JimRob removed Message #34. Apparently no sense of humor. I guess one of the cry babies that dish it out everyday couldn't take it and had to tattle.

Cry babies, did you say?

129 posted on 09/27/2001 1:57:08 PM PDT by Interesting Times
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To: Coop
This will be a long anf in many cases frustrating haul. I didn't mean you specifically I was refering to the sense I get from many who are upset and seem to have the attitude that we should bomb right away, just ot show we are 'doing something'.
130 posted on 09/27/2001 2:01:28 PM PDT by Leto
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To: Bouncer
Since this was a what-if scenario (we could never know how Gore would've handled it) I think I had some license to generalize.

I will grant you that license, but if you can not see the character differences between President Bush and Gore then I would recommend you get a new set of glasses.

If nothing else, I doubt that President Bush would ever have defended a man against a charge of rape by saying, effectively, "It doesn't really matter if he did rape her. He's done so much other good and he should be judged by that, not some 20 year old rape."

Shalom.

131 posted on 09/27/2001 2:25:22 PM PDT by ArGee
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To: Interesting Times
You don't even mind looking like idiots after all the lies about Bush's stupidity and incompetence?

Now, now, you're trying to pick a fight! Thats about the first nice thing I've ever said about W so show a little class and just accept a nice gesture for once.

132 posted on 09/27/2001 2:29:02 PM PDT by Bouncer
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To: Tai_Chung
Great read. Nice find!
133 posted on 09/27/2001 2:34:54 PM PDT by dead
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To: Tai_Chung
isolate the terrorists physically and squeeze them psychologically.

Squeeze them physically too.

134 posted on 09/27/2001 2:35:38 PM PDT by Mark17
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To: mombonn, Silly
For another interesting foreign perspective, check out the following from Ireland:

How September 11 changed the world in which we live

Nobody bumped it, but I thought it was very insightful.

135 posted on 09/27/2001 2:40:09 PM PDT by dead
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To: Tai_Chung Taliban_List
To search for other threads on the Taliban_List
(Indexed by using Taliban_List)
click here:

Taliban_List

136 posted on 09/27/2001 2:47:03 PM PDT by Ernest_at_the_Beach
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To: Tai_Chung
Excellent article! Had not heard of the Taliban dragooning other Muslims to serve in their army's!

Looks like they can be fractured fairly easy.

See some of the other articles using the link in my previous post!

137 posted on 09/27/2001 2:50:06 PM PDT by Ernest_at_the_Beach
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To: kevkrom
Don't forget the overwhelmingly leftist faculties at the U.S. universities attended by the terrorists.

I used to work at a university, the stories I can tell about those commies with tenure...PUKE!

138 posted on 09/27/2001 2:54:11 PM PDT by BornOnTheFourth
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To: Bouncer
Now, now, you're trying to pick a fight! Thats about the first nice thing I've ever said about W so show a little class and just accept a nice gesture for once.

But of course you didn't answer the question.

Are you willing to admit that the Bush-is-a-dummy party line you guys all parroted was dead wrong?

Or are you in the camp that's trying to pretend he suddenly improved?

139 posted on 09/27/2001 2:54:24 PM PDT by Interesting Times
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To: Rustynailww
I can't even believe that they are letting Jesse go over there. What is he going to do threaten to boycott their Opium fields? "Jesse Jackson is my name, extortion is my game" Or maybe he's going over there to see if he can make some more illegitimate 'chilren'.
140 posted on 09/27/2001 2:55:16 PM PDT by Eman223
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