Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article

Skip to comments.

Iran: We Got a Mighty Oil Convoy, Stuck Here Overnight
Hotair ^ | 09/17/2026 | Ed Morrrisey

Posted on 09/17/2026 10:13:38 PM PDT by SeekAndFind

Two days ago, the global media rushed to declare that the Iranians had outplayed Donald Trump and his blockade of Iran in the Strait of Hormuz. The IRGC's proxies in Yemen seized strategic turf in the Bab-el-Mandeb strait, damaging Saudi Arabia's pipeline and sending oil prices higher. The Telegraph reported that the IRGC was "hitting [Trump] where it hurts," while insisting that the Red Sea action effectively countered – or at least paralleled – the US Navy's total blockade of Iranian sea traffic:

Iran's leaders were never going to passively submit to slow strangulation. Facing Donald Trump's blockade of their ports and the near-total loss of their oil exports, the regime is now striking back across the Middle East, aiming to inflict enough damage to force America to relent.

In the last seven days, the Houthi rebels in Yemen have broken out of their highland strongholds and advanced down the coastal plain, seizing key positions alongside the Bab el-Mandeb strait, where the Red Sea meets the Indian Ocean. ...

Iran is now doing everything possible to wreck this alternative, which is why the Houthis have strengthened their hold on the choke point, where they have positioned Iranian-supplied anti-ship missiles.

Much further into the story, though, the Telegraph conceded that this was still both asymmetrical and likely very temporary:

So this is how Iran is trying to break Trump's stranglehold. And there is plenty more that the Islamic Republic's leaders might do. They could, for example, resume firing ballistic missiles at the other Gulf states with the twin goals of forcing the oil price still higher and inducing more US allies to implore Trump to reach a new peace agreement.

That option would, of course, risk heavy American retaliation. But, in their own terms, Iran's actions are logical and effective.

It does not follow, though, that they will necessarily succeed. Some Gulf states, instead of trying to restrain America, might do the opposite and urge Trump to strike even harder at their common enemy. Mohammed bin Salman, the Crown Prince and de facto ruler of Saudi Arabia, has already asked Trump to bomb the Houthis. The United Arab Emirates is officially co-operating with the US campaign to asphyxiate Iran's economy, known as Operation Economic Outcast.

This is not a "stranglehold," at least not by the Iranians or the Houthis. Significant amounts of oil are being shipped through the Strait of Hormuz. Scott Bessent claims that the US Navy now has about 65% capacity restored through its safe-passage corridor through the Strait; other sources estimate it somewhat lower, but everyone now acknowledges that the US has restored a significant level of commerce.

The Saudi-UAE pipeline backstopped that until this week, bringing total exports to nearly pre-war levels. That interruption has spiked oil prices, but it's temporary, and the Saudis now have more reason to go fully into offensive operations to put an end to the partial Houthi occupation of Yemen.

The only 'stranglehold' that exists is the one on the IRGC. Even the Telegraph pointed this out, noting that oil shipments from every other Gulf state are increasing through the Strait of Hormuz, but not a single drop has come from Iran:

One certainty is that none of the tankers now passing through the Strait of Hormuz is carrying Iranian oil. By ruthlessly blockading the country's ports, America is suffocating the regime's financial lifeline.

The IRGC has countered this by attempting to bolster its trade routes by highway and rail, and across the Caspian Sea with neighboring trade partners. The regime has insisted that Iranians could sustain themselves through these distribution channels, both for exports and imports. Attempts to move oil by rail got stymied by US attacks on rail lines during the July clashes, but the highways were mainly open, and the IRGC propaganda organs painted them as a negation of the American blockade.

How's that going? The Wall Street Journal reports today that even the open roads have turned into a disaster. Even without any other considerations, the capacity on those channels falls far short of what Iran is losing in the Hormuz blockade. However, the IRGC regime's corruption and incompetence have made the situation at the crossings much worse, and similar problems in Pakistan aren't helping either:

Hundreds of Iranian truck drivers are currently stuck at Iran’s border with Pakistan, unable to send their goods into Tehran’s neighbor. They say they are facing worsening bureaucratic hurdles and costs, many caused by their own government. The same thing is happening at Iran’s land borders with Turkey, Turkmenistan and Afghanistan, dealing Tehran a self-inflicted blow and throttling trade through its few remaining economic release valves.

Tons of stranded apricots have been spoiled because of the delays. Lucrative cargoes of iron ore, cement and bottled gas are stuck at entry points to the Pakistani and Afghan borders, truckers say.

“Neither Iran is taking responsibility for the situation, nor is Pakistan allowing us to unload our cargo,” one driver says in a video posted by the Union of Truckers and Drivers Organizations Across Iran over the weekend. 

Some of these problems predate the war, the WSJ notes. The customs stations had been understaffed before, but now that traffic has nearly tripled during the blockade, processing on both sides of these borders has all but collapsed. That's true even with Turkey, where one might expect a little more competence; at the moment, 3,700 trucks are sitting on the side of the road, unable to cross over and deliver their cargoes. 

The backlog is lower on the Pakistan border – 700 trucks are sidelined – but the conditions are much worse:

Iranian truckers trying to get into Pakistan say they can be stuck for several days without access to water, food or sanitation as temperatures rise to 122 degrees Fahrenheit, according to footage, published by the Truckers’ Union on its social-media account. The union said some bottled-gas tankers are crossing into Pakistan. But the Pakistani authorities asked Iranian drivers for the equivalent of more than $10,000 each to cross, an unprecedented amount, it said. A spokesman for Pakistan’s Foreign Ministry said he wasn’t aware of any new charges or restrictions at Pakistan’s border with Iran.

Meanwhile, at the border with Turkmenistan, the gateway to China, transporters complain of constraints tied to a lack of warehouses and of a proper registration process to bring goods by rail to China. One businessman complained it was increasingly difficult to bring in automotive spare parts from the Asian powerhouse.

At some point, Iran will run out of truckers, and may run out of refined diesel and gasoline even before that happens. Iranians are reportedly sleeping in their cars at gas stations in order to avoid losing their place in line for heavily-rationed fuel. Having thousands of trucks sitting idle for days and weeks on end not only reduces capacity to get goods to consumers, it also strands the drivers. It adds more costs per unit delivered in the end, both in real costs and opportunity costs. The added costs, both official and graft, are also adding to Iran's hyperinflation crisis, the issue that touched off the revolt in January. Iran's officially acknowledged inflation rate in August was a staggering 128% on food, thanks to the added costs and delays of using overland routes. 

That is not sustainable for an authoritarian regime, theological or otherwise. The US and its allies have options for getting goods to market; the IRGC is rapidly running out of options. If Trump keeps the blockade in place rather than attempt to cut a deal for an "October surprise" to boost Republicans' election efforts in the midterms, he has a real chance to break the regime and force real change in Iran. 

So much for convoys, eh? Maybe Ahmad Vahidi was too much a fan of C.W. McCall. Pig Pen, this here's Trumpy Duck, and he's about to put the hammer down ... we hope. 10-4?


TOPICS: Foreign Affairs; Iran; News/Current Events
KEYWORDS: blockade; hormuz; oil; trucks
Message from Jim Robinson:

Dear FRiends,

We need your continuing support to keep FR funded. Your donations are our sole source of funding. No sugar daddies, no advertisers, no paid memberships, no commercial sales, no gimmicks, no tax subsidies. No spam, no pop-ups, no ad trackers.

If you enjoy using FR and agree it's a worthwhile endeavor, please consider making a contribution today:

Click here: to donate by Credit Card

Or here: to donate by PayPal

Or by mail to: Free Republic, LLC - PO Box 9771 - Fresno, CA 93794

Thank you very much and God bless you,

Jim


Watch Video HERE
1 posted on 09/17/2026 10:13:38 PM PDT by SeekAndFind
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | View Replies]

To: SeekAndFind

Iran has become an economic outcast.


2 posted on 09/17/2026 10:20:39 PM PDT by reasonisfaith (What are the personal implications if the Resurrection of Christ is a true event in history?)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: SeekAndFind

TDS Freepers have the sads.


3 posted on 09/17/2026 10:28:50 PM PDT by Jeff Chandler (The issue is never the issue. The issue is always the revolution.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: SeekAndFind

🎶”…By the time we hit that Sharia-town,
Them morality cops were a-gettin’ smart
They called in reinforcements
From the Iranian Republican Guard…”🎶


4 posted on 09/17/2026 10:31:15 PM PDT by BradyLS (DO NOT FEED THE BEARS!)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Jeff Chandler

RE: TDS Freepers have the sads.

What are they doing in this site and why aren’t they banned when FReepers who supported Giuliani when he was running for President were banned years ago?


5 posted on 09/17/2026 10:33:38 PM PDT by SeekAndFind
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 3 | View Replies]

To: SeekAndFind

Interesting. Did you click on the video of drivers outside the ministry of industry or something like that protesting the impoundment of their trucks? Surprised they are not shot.


6 posted on 09/17/2026 10:34:10 PM PDT by Sequoyah101 (Opinions and belly buttons, everybody has one and they get to show them if they want to.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: SeekAndFind

Oh no, George, not the apricots !
(Oh Brother, Where Art Thou...)


7 posted on 09/17/2026 10:35:45 PM PDT by Repeal The 17th ( I am obsessed with not being obsessed with anything.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: SeekAndFind

...is that you, Hasan Piker? ROFL


8 posted on 09/17/2026 10:42:22 PM PDT by Nervous Tick (Hope, as a righteous product of properly aligned Faith, IS in fact a strategy.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: SeekAndFind

“the Union of Truckers and Drivers Organizations Across Iran”
-
Iran has a truckers union?
Who knew?


9 posted on 09/17/2026 10:43:04 PM PDT by Repeal The 17th ( I am obsessed with not being obsessed with anything.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: SeekAndFind; Chris Robinson

>> What are [TDS “Freepers”] doing in this site and why aren’t they banned when FReepers who supported Giuliani when he was running for President were banned years ago?

That’s a damn good question SeekAndFind, and in my opinion it’s the proximal reason why FR can’t raise the funds it needs. JimRob’s righteous instincts regarding who is Christian Conservative and who is not, who is contributing to American exceptionalism and who is not, have given way to “any libtard, any groyper, any TDS griper, is A-OK”. That is not a recipe for success on this Christian Conservative Patriot website!!!


10 posted on 09/17/2026 10:48:03 PM PDT by Nervous Tick (Hope, as a righteous product of properly aligned Faith, IS in fact a strategy.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 5 | View Replies]

“Mohammed bin Salman, the Crown Prince and de facto ruler of Saudi Arabia, has already asked Trump to bomb the Houthis.”

Note that they always ask us. Never France or the UK. Either they rhink we’re the suckers, or that France and the rest are too weak or cowards.


11 posted on 09/17/2026 10:50:44 PM PDT by rxh4n1
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: SeekAndFind
"One certainty is that none of the tankers now passing through the Strait of Hormuz is carrying Iranian oil. By ruthlessly blockading the country's ports, America is suffocating the regime's financial lifeline."

I haven't read anything about Iran not pumping oil damages their wells in quite a while. I wonder what became of that?
12 posted on 09/17/2026 11:57:16 PM PDT by clearcarbon (Fraudulent elections have consequences.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Nervous Tick
Why? Is Donald Trump genuinely doing a good job? Is it okay to criticize a politician if he is on your side, but his results aren't good?

There are so many problems now and it is going to get worse. You can count on that. The AI bubble is about to burst, prices are increasing, debt is at a record high and the bond market seems to be going wonky. Everyone is angry at everyone else and America is more divided than ever.

13 posted on 09/18/2026 12:16:52 AM PDT by Dat
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 10 | View Replies]

To: Dat

“but his results aren’t good?”


Well, how are things up in Canada. You have “such great” (sarcasm) leadership in prime minister is Mark Carney.

He is a globalist puke puppet, and is all wind with his policies.

The UK is really weak on leadership since their embrace of the ME Islamist “aliens”.


14 posted on 09/18/2026 1:08:04 AM PDT by Texas Fossil (Texas is not about where you were born, but a Free State of Heart, Mind and Attitude.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 13 | View Replies]

To: Dat

There was a no coexistence with leftists.


15 posted on 09/18/2026 2:19:02 AM PDT by cowboyusa (YESHUA IS KING OF AMERICA!)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 13 | View Replies]

To: SeekAndFind
The only 'stranglehold' that exists is the one on the IRGC. Even the Telegraph pointed this out, noting that oil shipments from every other Gulf state are increasing through the Strait of Hormuz, but not a single drop has come from Iran

Iran choking on it's own oil. Lovely.

16 posted on 09/18/2026 3:30:54 AM PDT by Kudsman (Killing and raping infidels, it's a cultural thing. )
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: SeekAndFind

This fuel price scam is democrat and globalist induced and controlled.
Power first to get control back from President Trump then of course the money rewards.
I thought that the USA was energy independent?????


17 posted on 09/18/2026 4:03:59 AM PDT by Recompennation ( Deeeeeeeeezout)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Nervous Tick

+1


18 posted on 09/18/2026 4:39:58 AM PDT by ClearCase_guy (Some people want to control their own life, others want to control the lives of others. )
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 10 | View Replies]

To: SeekAndFind
SeekAndFind, you need to employ ( target=_blank">) directly after your URL link and your title "HERE". This step will allow those clicking on your site to arrive at your site through another site, keeping the "freerepublic site open. As an example: HERE
19 posted on 09/18/2026 4:54:55 AM PDT by batazoid (Natural born citizen)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Repeal The 17th
Iran has a truckers union? Who knew?

"Breaker-breaker one-nine! 'Camel-Plougher' here comin' attchuh!"

Regards,

20 posted on 09/18/2026 4:55:58 AM PDT by alexander_busek (Extraordinary claims require extraordinary evidence.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 9 | View Replies]

Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.

Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article

FreeRepublic, LLC, PO BOX 9771, FRESNO, CA 93794
FreeRepublic.com is powered by software copyright 2000-2008 John Robinson