Posted on 09/17/2026 4:56:51 AM PDT by MtnClimber
The Iran war could reshape the midterms as Democrats, Iran’s regime, dissidents, and Kurdish rebels weigh the political and military stakes of the next 50 days.
Many narratives swirl around the U.S. war with Iran as the November 3 midterm elections loom.
The Left is giddy with confidence that Democrats may take control of Congress. It is therefore planning a circus of impeachments, lawfare, and investigations to neuter the last two years of the Trump administration.
High gas prices and the current unpopularity of the Iran conflict, coupled with the historical reality that the president’s party has lost seats in Congress in 39 of the last 41 midterm elections, have convinced Democrats that they could win enough seats to cut off funds for the war.
Yet the elections are still seven weeks away, and the sheer number of known unknowns ensures an uncertain outcome.
Every side is now gaming the midterms.
The Democrats believe the unpopular war can at last halt Trump’s momentum and are already declaring it all but lost.
The Iranian theocracy agrees.
It will do its best to ratchet up tensions with a series of October surprises in hopes that Trump loses control of Congress and the United States reverts to familiar Democratic policies of ending sanctions and downplaying Iran’s race toward nuclear weapons.
Its leaders also remember Barack Obama’s “hands-off” policy when a million Iranians took to the streets during the Green Revolution of 2009. Then-President Obama remained silent as thousands of protesters were jailed and killed.
As for Trump, he remains enigmatic and says only that the war will likely end shortly after the midterms.
Trump could simply mean that Iran is on the ropes and the regime cannot survive much more than two months.
(Excerpt) Read more at amgreatness.com ...
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VDH ping
Buckle up.
Yup. Already been saying this.
The difficulty that Hanson cannot address, is that one side is right, and one side is wrong.
The ‘Rats have picked their side. Perhaps closing down Congress is the only course left. Hanson will not suggest this, as he sees this as an “election” (like 2020) and business as usual.
I would expect better from Hanson.
What it means is if the left wins, Iran wins because they will have friends in U.S. leadership.
If the right holds on, Iran has only the media (which it has now) and the punishment will continue.
That's not what they are planning. Trump wouldn't be lying about this would he? That is what all of those 2000lb bombs we just sold to Israel are all about. Now Israel just has to find a way to deliver them from the air. Solution, Enter the US, right after the midterms.
.
Good reference material - 9/17/26:
The people detest it. The Kurdish minority loathes it. Conditions on the ground are dire, with terrible shortages of food, medicine, and fuel.
The resistance may sense that the Trump administration would double down on kinetic force to finish off the wounded regime if a mass popular uprising emerged and needed support from the air.
Another excellent article from the pen of Prof Hanson. Now we wait to see if the democrats can make hay from it.
FR Index of his articles: Victor Davis Hanson on FR
Town Hall: Victor Davis Hanson on Town Hall
American Greatness: Victor Davis Hanson on American Greatness
His website: Victor Davis Hanson The Sword of Perseus
One of his sponsors' website: The Daily Signal
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Win.
Drop the bridges.
Bomb the electric turbines.
Stone Age.
Democrats can’t reverse that.
Once in a lifetime opportunity.
Tent NOT big enough for Fetterman apparently. 🎪
Oh, I don't know. This is supposed to be kind of a Constitutional website.
Why not ask Congress for a Declaration of War against Iran, and obey the will of the People and the States as expressed by their representatives in Congress assembled?
The US Constitution attempts to implement a functional Federal Government.
I get, that you don’t want that.
Sorry, Doc. There’s posters that are certain that President Trump will declare a national emergency and cancel the Federal election for several months.
Agreed. Why not ask Congress for a declaration of war?
President Trump told Reuters the war with Iran will end right after
midterms; he believes Tehran is holding out to influence the US vote.
Trump’s Reasons
Hoping for a Weak Government: Trump claims Iran is desperate and “hanging out for dear life”. He believes Tehran wants Democrats to win control of Congress so they can deal with a weaker group of leaders who might let Iran build a nuclear weapon.
Running Out of Time: Trump says Iran’s economy and military are crushed under U.S. pressure.
He believes the Iranian government cannot survive or fight any longer once the election passes.
No Targets Left: Trump stated in other interviews that US strikes have hit
almost everything of value in Iran, leaving “practically nothing left to target”.
Correct. "Federal" is derived from "federated" or "federation", which is what the US is, and "republican form of government" means the People and the States choose representatives to enact their will.
For this reason, the War Power of the States, Federally United, is given to the Congress representing both the People, who have to do the fighting, and the States, who have to provide the resources.
This isn't complicated.
Because it wouldn't pass.
As it stands right now, the voters are neither for nor against the war in Hormuz.
The voters are against the high price of gasoline, higher prices for consumer products due to the increased cost of energy to make and deliver them.
Will that change between now and Nov? Much vote by mail and early voting will be decided before the impact of any October Surprise.
I think that there is too much wrong for you to understand.
It IS complicated.
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