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Posted on 01/01/2026 4:18:41 AM PST by marktwain
On June 23, 2022, the Supreme Court of the United States (SCOTUS) issued a decision in N.Y. State Rifle & Pistol Ass’n v. Bruen. Prior to the Bruen decision, Courts of Appeal in Progressive-dominated Circuits, such as the Ninth and Second circuits, had refused to honor Second Amendment precedent established in the Heller and McDonald decisions. Bruen admonished the lower courts for creating a procedure to treat the Second Amendment as a second-class right. Bruen created a simple test to determine if a statute was allowed by the Second Amendment.
The Bruen case clarified that “bear” in the “right to keep and bear arms” protected the right to be armed in public places with arms that can be carried by or on a person. The limitations to this right were stated to be the same limitations as they were understood by the public in 1791 when the Bill of Rights was ratified. Anti-Second Amendment pundits predicted more violent crime and homicides.
Chart produced with tools provided at Real Time Crime Index. Time of Bruen decision added The index does not track all crime. It tracks a sample using the numbers provided by 570 agencies. The relative proportions of the sample are said to track within 2% of the proportions of FBI numbers in the Uniform Crime Reports. Agreement to within 2% of overall proportions, in this sort of measurement, is quite good.
(Excerpt) Read more at ammoland.com ...
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Thank you!
Awesome information! Thanks for posting
Love ya, friend, but the Covid bump in murders was likely to wain, and the deportation of illegals alien criminals also dramatically reduced murder in 2025.
Bruen probably helped. But my gut tells me the other two reasons were more important. There’s no proving either one of us right.
Covid / BLM.
I agree with you. The article states multiple causes for the drop in murders.
Ping
Yup. Too bad we can’t tease out each cause and see its individual effect.
An armed society is a polite society.
The "bump" also seems to correspond to the Biden years where there was so much effort to defund the police and to install soft on crime Soros prosecuters.
Agree 100% also the book, More Guns, Less Crime by Dr Lott
I live there. Nothing good happened after Bruen. Things got worse for legal gun owners. I hate Bruen.
It’s unfortunate that there’s not been much real enforcement of the Bruen decision, though.
The commies running Colorado are still pushing more and more illegal gun control laws every year.
Several cases are working their way through the courts, post Bruen.
There are about 8-10 states where the state governments and the federal inferior courts are openly defying the Supreme Court Second Amendment precedent.
Multiple causes, no doubt. But; one fact is clear - the rate did NOT skyrocket as the gun grabbers screamed it would:
Stats at https://realtimecrimeindex.com/
One would’ve liked to have a longer sample into the past. That would’ve also supported the reality that the left screams about imminent mass death every time a State passed shall-issue, or again when they went constitutional carry, and that they’re always wrong.
Left scale is homicide rate per 100,000 population. Right scale is firearms per person in the USA.
I don't think that Bruen changed much in NYS, while in Texas not much has gotten worse.
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