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US murders on pace for largest one-year drop on record
Axios via MSN ^ | 12 24 2025 | Julianna Bragg

Posted on 12/24/2025 9:43:24 AM PST by yesthatjallen

The U.S. is on pace for the largest one-year drop in murders the nation has ever recorded, according to an analysis by crime stats expert Jeff Asher.

The big picture: The decline in killings is part of a broader decrease in violent crime following the COVID-era spike. Mass killings in the U.S. also fell in 2025, reaching their lowest level since 2006.

The Real-Time Crime Index, which compiles data from 570 law enforcement agencies, shows a nearly a 20% decline in murders this year compared with the same period in 2024.

The database, which Asher used in his analysis, does not consider manslaughter, self-defense, negligence, or "accidental killings" for the statistics, according to its online glossary.

The database's statistics are currently available through October. The FBI will not release official 2025 violent crime data until sometime next year, though RTCI estimates have historically tracked closely with federal figures.

Other major crime categories measured by the index were also down nationwide and across locations of all population sizes, including motor vehicle thefts (23.2%), aggravated assaults (7.5%) and robbery (18.3%).

By the numbers: New York City and Memphis recorded nearly a 20% drop in murders compared with 2024, and Chicago saw them fall almost 28%.

SNIP

(Excerpt) Read more at msn.com ...


TOPICS: News/Current Events
KEYWORDS: crime; murders; trump

1 posted on 12/24/2025 9:43:24 AM PST by yesthatjallen
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To: yesthatjallen

I voted for this.


2 posted on 12/24/2025 9:44:27 AM PST by ViLaLuz (2 Chronicles 7:14)
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To: yesthatjallen

Ot seeing this. Everyday there is more front page murders.


3 posted on 12/24/2025 9:47:20 AM PST by DownInFlames (P)
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To: yesthatjallen

“The database, which Asher used in his analysis, does not consider manslaughter, self-defense, negligence, or “accidental killings” for the statistics...”

Why not manslaughter?....they’re just as dead.


4 posted on 12/24/2025 9:47:27 AM PST by V_TWIN (America........so great even the people that hate it won't leave)
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To: yesthatjallen

One suspects, however, that New York might just bounce back up again next year. (Hope not, we’ll see.)


5 posted on 12/24/2025 9:47:58 AM PST by Seaplaner (Never give in. Never give in. Never, never, never...in nothing, great or small...Winston ChurchIill)
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To: yesthatjallen
REPORT: U.S. murders on pace for largest one-year drop on record.

Making America Safe Again.

https://x.com/i/status/2003842523283030350

6 posted on 12/24/2025 9:51:59 AM PST by SmokingJoe
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To: yesthatjallen

Damned Trump and the National Guard!

Destroying the leftist nuance!


7 posted on 12/24/2025 9:54:11 AM PST by Redleg Duke (“Time to Play Cowboys and Snowflakes!”)
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To: yesthatjallen

I don’t believe this. These decreasing rates are results of liberal cities and states lying about their real and true crime statistics.


8 posted on 12/24/2025 9:54:24 AM PST by Responsibility2nd (Import the third world. Become the second world.)
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To: Redleg Duke

“Damned Trump and the National Guard!

Destroying the leftist nuance!”

Exactly what I was thinking.


9 posted on 12/24/2025 9:55:41 AM PST by Parley Baer
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To: DownInFlames

the left are desperately trying to make it seem like murders are skyrocketing across the nation under Pres Trump- even though numbers show a decline- the left know that all they have to do is scream a lie loud and often enough, and it becomes the new ‘truth’


10 posted on 12/24/2025 9:59:28 AM PST by Bob434 (Time flies like an arrow, fruit flies like a banana)
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To: Responsibility2nd

It’s hard to lie about a body, though. Drops in other crimes, not so much.


11 posted on 12/24/2025 10:17:57 AM PST by FreedomPoster (Islam delenda est)
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To: yesthatjallen

One murder, is one too many but this is wonderful news. Prayers for the law enforcement officials who keep us safe and for more hearts of troubled minds to change.


12 posted on 12/24/2025 10:34:59 AM PST by CondoleezzaProtege ( 🩰🌹)
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To: Responsibility2nd

It’s kinda hard to lie about dead bodies. Unless you think every coroner in every blue venue has been bought off to report most murders as accidents or suicides.


13 posted on 12/24/2025 10:43:29 AM PST by Valpal1 (Not even the police are safe from the police!!!)
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To: DownInFlames

What I see is the same high profile horrific murders being repeated in the media ad nauseum.

Our local news isn’t reporting local crime, only infamous crimes that happen in other states. That too, is a form of propaganda.


14 posted on 12/24/2025 10:45:50 AM PST by Valpal1 (Not even the police are safe from the police!!!)
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To: yesthatjallen

Shipping murderers home.


15 posted on 12/24/2025 11:00:53 AM PST by bray (It's not racist to be racist against races the DNC hates.)
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To: Valpal1

“part of a broader decrease in violent crime following the COVID-era spike. “

Let that sink in. Axios thinks the spike in murder in 2020 was because of Covid, not because of DEFUNDING THE POLICE and 200 riots and $2 billion in property damage.


16 posted on 12/24/2025 11:12:06 AM PST by brookwood (First the left said it was OK to steal. Next they said it was OK to kill.)
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To: brookwood

Yep, you can’t hate the media enough. Lying liars who lie.


17 posted on 12/24/2025 11:14:32 AM PST by Valpal1 (Not even the police are safe from the police!!!)
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To: ViLaLuz
I voted for this too:

The reason why is obvious. However, I expect some stooopid, bottom of the IQ barrel reasons to be floated by leftists and democrap party media people.

18 posted on 12/24/2025 11:39:01 AM PST by KC_Conspirator
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To: V_TWIN

“Why not manslaughter?....they’re just as dead.”
The problem is the classification of murder versus manslaughter is subject to some interpretation. If prosecutors routinely downgrade charges (because they are wokesters like Gascon, Krasner, Bragg) then it can appear that homicides are down. At a national level I think this is minor, one or two percent fudge factor. But for individual cities it might be more significant. DC supposedly tried to fake their crime stats to make it seem they were doing a good job, nothing to see here, please just step over the dead bodies.


19 posted on 12/24/2025 11:47:52 AM PST by brookwood (First the left said it was OK to steal. Next they said it was OK to kill.)
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