Click here: to donate by Credit Card
Or here: to donate by PayPal
Or by mail to: Free Republic, LLC - PO Box 9771 - Fresno, CA 93794
Thank you very much and God bless you.
Posted on 11/27/2025 12:14:13 PM PST by MinorityRepublican
Republicans are growing increasingly anxious over a once sleepy special election in Tennessee District 7 next month in a district that President Trump comfortably won by 22 points last year.
While the congressional race has historically been a GOP shoo-in, Republicans are alarmed by a recent poll and fearful that an upset could see their majority in the House slip to a zero-vote margin.
“I’m very concerned about it. Of course, it’s an off-year election. It’s right after Thanksgiving. A lot of the Republicans are out of town. And I worry about them showing up on Election Day,” Rep. Tim Burchett (R-Tenn.), who represents Tennessee’s District 2, which encompasses Knoxville, told The Post.
“It’s a razor-thin margin.”
Elevating the stakes of the Dec. 2 election is firebrand Rep. Marjorie Taylor Greene’s (R-Ga.) recent retirement announcement.
If Democrats eke out an upset victory in Tennessee District 7, then proceed to win their two vacated seats in special elections, the GOP’s House majority could eventually fall to 218 to 216.
(Excerpt) Read more at nypost.com ...
|
|
Click here: to donate by Credit Card Or here: to donate by PayPal Or by mail to: Free Republic, LLC - PO Box 9771 - Fresno, CA 93794 Thank you very much and God bless you. |
I was wrong. I thought this would be Georgia, not Tennessee.
In 24 the GOP let the rats steal 15-20 House seats. They continue to pay price for their complacency.
Well, Republicans could run on their list of accomplishments during the last two years...
I hear tell that the abortion crowd in Tennessee is substantial. If weed is legal and the abortion is easily obtainable and can both be performed in the comfort of your own home... well... then everthing is just hunkydorry among the aforementioned voting bloc.
We watch as a billion dollars flood in from communist China, Qatar, Iran, Turkey to “win” this.
There’s nothing that helps usa’s balance of trade faster than “campaign contribtions” and other bribes from hostile powers, dictatorships.
(Plus the domestic enemies, Soroznazi etcetera)
And we all know that the GOP-e will just write a little teeny weeny cheque and go play golf at the country club.
Lara did that.
GOPee’s fault.
Hope it’s safe Republican. That woman is Temu AOC.
Since Charlie died it seems like TPUSA quit sending they’re members to ballot chase and knock on doors. They made a big difference in the last election. Wish they’d send them out to Tennessee to get GOTV. They’ve certainly gotten enough donations to pay their young people to do this. These elections are do or die.
I’m afraid that is true. They did little to nothing about the 4 Stolen Senate seats either. They let the rats rape the down ballots.
The GOP is the Cracker Barrell of political parties. Their message appeals to Fox news seniors, ignoring everyone else.
Why Van Epps Is the Likely Winner
While the race is tighter than expected—echoing Democratic gains in other 2025 specials (e.g., Virginia, New Jersey)—I predict Matt Van Epps (R) will win by 4-6 points. Here's the breakdown:
Structural Edge: The district's deep-red rural counties (e.g., Montgomery, Robertson) reliably deliver for Republicans on Election Day, offsetting Nashville's Democratic lean. Historical specials in similar districts favor the majority party absent a wave.
I still haven’t wrapped my head around the fact that the current American moral/cultural zeitgeist has become so degraded that we are even talking about currrent Democrats being elected to positions of power and responsibility.
Which Freepers wrote the panic stricken an article?
Tennessee Special Election: Do Republicans Need Another Wake-up Call Already?
For those who can't be bothered with all that reading:
Conclusion:
All pertinent factors indicate a close race (within 5 points one way or the other). No factors indicate an easy GOP win. The factor which favors the Republicans to the greatest degree is the most irrelevant one of them all -- the PVI. PVIs are created based on regularly-scheduled elections with high turnout, and 2025 is not going to be one of those.
There were 323,000 votes cast in CD-7 in the presidential year of 2024; turnout was 181,000 in midterm 2022, but it was a little over 250,000 in 2018 (the last midterm in which Democrats were motivated by as much hatred as they now possess). Even with visions of 2018 dancing in Democrat heads, it's possible that turnout next week will not reach that 2022 number. As of 11/26, 84,000 votes had been cast either early or absentee. That doesn't sound like much to us, and low pre-election day turnout here -- if it stays low -- may actually favor Republicans. We'll see. There are still a few days of pre-election voting to come, and they could be busy days.
Tennessee's 7th Congressional District is now rated as R+8 (Charlie Cook says R+10 based on his limited data). A rating of R+8 means that a Republican typically wins by 16 points. This race is going to be way closer than 16 points -- or even 10 points. As in nearly all special elections, Democrat money, organization and motivation (i.e. hatred) are running very high, almost as high as Republican apathy. These factors, plus polling (such as it is) all indicate an outcome that is basically a tossup despite the overall Republican lean of the area.
Prediction: We'll say Van Epps win by 2 or 3 points. If that estimate turns out to be significantly off the mark, it will be in the wrong direction -- just like many people's estimates in New Jersey and Virginia were on November 4th.
I don’t know about Tennessee, but I can tell you in Wisconsin the idiotic state Republican Party , afraid their money gift would be exosed chased Tp Usa out which resulted in the apocalyptic was of Brad schiemel last judicial election
I can’t believe Tennesseans would elect that cupid stunt…..
Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.