Tracking the Early Vote in New York, New Jersey and Virginia

The New York Times ^ | Oct. 31, 2025 | Francesca Paris and William P. Davis

[MinorityRepublican]

We are tracking who is casting ballots ahead of Election Day for the mayor’s race in New York City and governors’ races in New Jersey and Virginia.

Here, we are comparing voters who have cast ballots so far with the makeup of the early and overall electorate in the 2024 presidential election.

One of the most closely watched metrics in New York this year is age.

Since the city’s mayoral elections are held in off years (without a presidential election on the ballot), the electorate tends to be much smaller. And it skews older than in presidential elections, since older voters are often more politically engaged. On top of that, voters who cast their ballots early tend to be older than those who vote on Election Day.

So it’s no surprise that the people who have already voted this year have skewed older. What is surprising is that they aren’t as old as we might expect in a typical mayoral election — and they’re not that far off from a presidential year. Notably, people under 30 make up approximately the same share of early votes so far as they did for the entirety of the early vote period in 2024.

That means the age breakdown could be better news for Zohran Mamdani than it might seem at first glance. His supporters tend to be younger; many polls have presumed an older electorate.

Former Gov. Andrew M. Cuomo has more support among older voters, though it’s also worth noting that both candidates have a significant share of support in older age brackets. In a New York Times/Siena poll in September, Mr. Mamdani led Mr. Cuomo, 73 percent to 10 percent, with likely voters under 30. Among voters 65 and older, they were tied.

[Governor Dinwiddie]

Ugh. Paywalled. I guess maybe one half of one percent of freepers have a NYT account.

[SaveFerris]

Hopefully New Jersey wakes up about DEMOCRAT Mikie Sherrill

2 days to go

[LGBTQ+ is a SATANIC cult.]

[DEMOCRAT Gov Candidate Mikie Sherrill Says She’d MANDATE LGBTQ Content In NJ Classrooms; Sherrill made clear PARENTS DO NOT HAVE A RIGHT TO OPT-OUT OF LGBT content]

TELL EVERYONE IN NEW JERSEY

NEW JERSEY - DON’T PUT CHILD-GROOMING DEMOCRAT MIKIE SHERRILL INTO OFFICE

[Of course Son of Satan CHILD-GROOMING
Barack Hussein Obama
supports Rep. Mikie Sherrill (D)]

NEW JERSEY DEMOCRAT Mikie Sherrill

Is NEW JERSEY DEMOCRAT Mikie Sherrill helping
Homosexuals to Groom CHILDREN for LGBTQ+????



Is NEW JERSEY DEMOCRAT Mikie Sherrill helping
Homosexuals to Groom CHILDREN for LGBTQ+????



Is NEW JERSEY DEMOCRAT Mikie Sherrill helping
Homosexuals to Groom CHILDREN for LGBTQ+????



Is NEW JERSEY DEMOCRAT Mikie Sherrill helping
Homosexuals to Groom CHILDREN for LGBTQ+????

[SaveFerris]

NEW JERSEY DEMOCRAT Mikie Sherrill
will FORCE K-12 CHILDREN to take
MANDATORY ===> LGBTQ+ <=== courses
WITHOUT PARENTAL CONSENT in SCHOOLS

https://www.facebook.com/story.php?story_fbid=1333602698775530&id=100063774379226

https://www.facebook.com/OCPoliceBlotter/posts/watch-mikie-sherrill-says-she-will-force-k-12-students-to-take-lgbtq-courses-wit/1333602698775530/

[WashingtonSource]

Sounds like they’re reading the polling tea leaves to make it look better for Democrats than it is.

[MinorityRepublican]

I think Jack Ciattarelli wins in NJ while Abigail Spanberger will win in VA.

Regarding VA, I think it'll be 51-46 similar to what Trump got in 2024 but it should be 55-45.

[FlingWingFlyer]

Sounds like those who weren’t alive on 9/11/2001 are going with their muzzie terrorist idols. Real numb nuts. They’re hoping for free camel rides.

[SaveFerris]

(DEMOCRAT Abigail Spanberger)

DEMOCRAT Abigail Spanberger is Endorsed by
CHILD-GROOMING Son of Satan Barack Hussein Obama

[ducttape45]

Demonic is the only thing that comes to mind when I read and see all this. This nation will very likely be punished in such a way as to make what happened to Sodom and Gomorrah look like a Sunday picnic, and we all know what happened to them.

[CFW]

You can read the article here - no paywall:

https://archive.ph/Kjuv4

[redfreedom]

I’ve often made the same comparison. Let’s face it, history does repeat itself.

[XRdsRev]

I hope you are right and I am wrong but I think Sherrill will pull it out. Her support among women even in the more Republican counties is pretty formidable. I see lots of signs for her in front yards in places I normally would not expect to see them.

[MinorityRepublican]

Her support among women even in the more Republican counties is pretty formidable.

Good point plus Trump is not on the ballot.

[cloudmountain]

[LGBTQ+ is a SATANIC cult.]

My first reaction to you was: Nah, they are just idiots.
However, it's how they say they FEEL.
And they ALL know that it's wrong, sinful...and evil.

That DOES sound like Lucifer-turned-Satan. You are correct!

[cloudmountain]

I’ve often made the same comparison. Let’s face it, history does repeat itself.

You mean...you mean that we humans NEVER learn?
Yup.

[ducttape45]

Yes it does, sadly enough.

[SaveFerris]

Yeah that’s actually a quote from
another FReeper on a different thread 🧵

But yes, spot-on accurate 👍👍

[SaveFerris]

You may well be correct

There is actual danger associated
with this open-air LGBTQ+ rebellion
against an Almighty God 🛐🛐🙏🙏✝️✝️

[Tired of Taxes]

I voted early straight R, but I am worried, too.

[KC_Conspirator]

VA early voting is strong. Some weeks ago the GOP had reduced the lead, but not sure how its going now. Spamberger, has ads everywhere in DC, but mediocre enthusiasm.