Zohran Mamdani could be heading for a shock defeat

The Telegraph ^ | 31 October 2025 4:55pm GMT | David Christopher Kaufman

[E. Pluribus Unum]

Surging early voting points to high turnout in the mayoral election. It’s a bad sign for the Democratic Socialist’s campaign

Back in 2016, I suggested that Donald Trump was heading for victory, writing in the New York Post in June of that year: “As much as Trump might alienate and appal, his iconoclastic campaign aligns with what many across America are already thinking.” In The Telegraph nearly eight years later in December 2023, I correctly assessed that Kamala Harris, the vice-president at the time, was angling to oust her elderly boss, President Joe Biden.

Now I have a new prediction. Despite the ubiquitous polls placing Democratic Socialist Zohran Mamdani well ahead of his chief challenger, Andrew Cuomo, in the New York City mayoral race, the result next week will be far closer than many currently think. Mamdani could even lose.

I’m not delusional – most race-watchers don’t share my views. But I do have a bit of extra insight into this race. I’ve covered Mamdani closely since he wowed New York with his come-from-behind primary win in the summer. I also spent a few months working as a communications adviser for current mayor Eric Adams who, despite what I believed was his clear superiority over both Cuomo and Mamdani, dropped out of the race in late September.

One thing I gleaned from both positions is that Mamdani is a weak man and even weaker candidate. The mainstream media and a large part of New York’s herd-like electorate might have been blinded by his youthful verve and nifty social media wins. But that fundamental fact about Mamdani remains true.

My time with the Adams campaign also made clear that a record-breaking turnout is likely to hurt Mamdani. He has done well thus far by mobilising...

[MinorityRepublican]

BREAKING: Mamdani now 20x more likely to win in NYC Mayoral Election than Cuomo.

If Cuomo pulls off an upset, traders betting on him can see a 2,000% ROI. pic.twitter.com/90BLTUAi7P— Polymarket (@Polymarket) October 31, 2025

[E. Pluribus Unum]

BREAKING: Mamdani now 20x more likely to win in NYC Mayoral Election than Cuomo.

If Cuomo pulls off an upset, traders betting on him can see a 2,000% ROI. pic.twitter.com/90BLTUAi7P— Polymarket (@Polymarket) October 31, 2025

[laplata]

I agree that Cuomo might win.

[TexasGator]

“I also spent a few months working as a communications adviser for current mayor Eric Adams”

Either you, Kaufman, gave bad advice or he didn’t listen to your advice.

[MinorityRepublican]

So you’re predicting a Sliwa victory on Tuesday night?

[E. Pluribus Unum]

So you’re predicting a Sliwa victory on Tuesday night?

I'm not predicting anything. I was just demonstrating how reliable election predictions are.

I presumed people would be intelligent enough to recognize that, but evidently not.

[CondoleezzaProtege]

P R A Y

for a

M I R A C L E

!

[SunkenCiv]

• Explosive report claims a network of charities connected to George Soros funneled $40M to support Zohran Mamdani's political rise in tax-dodging scheme [10/31/2025]
• Cuomo: Democratic Party Is In A "Civil War," The Party's Strategy Is Just Hoping Trump Makes A Mistake [10/31/2025]
• We underestimate Mamdani and the 'eat-the-rich' movement at our peril. [10/31/2025]
• Planned Parenthood of Greater New York Votes PAC Endorses Zohran Mamdani for Mayor of New York City [10/31/2025]
• Ahead of NY elections.. "free stuff" Islamo-Marxist Mamdani: 70% are non-White, 10% are Muslim. [10/31/2025]
• Cuomo dominates Jewish vote in final Quinnipiac poll before election. [10/30/2025]
• Andrew Cuomo Warns the Radical Left Will Destroy the Democratic Party [10/30/2025]
• Resurfaced clip of Mamdani's father comparing Abraham Lincoln to Hitler sparks viral outrage: 'What a joke' (Islamofascist claimed Lincoln "inspired" Hitler) [10/30/2025]
• New York City May Now Have More Muslims Than Jews [10/26/2025]
• Zohran Mamdani Got CRUSHED (Cuomo speaks the truth about Mamdani to his face in debate - video short) [10/24/2025]
• Eric Adams endorses Andrew Cuomo for City Hall -- slams front-runner Zohran Mamdani as 'snake oil salesman' [10/23/2025]
• In Defense of Curtis Sliwa: Don't Ask Republicans to Bail out Democrats [10/22/2025]
• Curtis Sliwa quits radio gig in on-air shouting match after boss Catsimatidis told him to drop NYC mayoral bid [10/22/2025]
• Andrew Cuomo raises $400K in just 2 days following Eric Adams dropping out of NYC mayoral race [10/03/2025]

[JerseyDvl]

This last gasp to drum up support for Cuomo reminds me of the Anne Seltzer poll in Iowa.
The socialist is running away with this.

[Fury]

High turnout is good for Cuomo.

[ClearCase_guy]

[MinorityRepublican]

I'll remind you on Tuesday at 9 pm.

[doc maverick]

That’s the best option.
Anyone voting for an Islamist from Uganda, and a Hamas defender, in NYC needs to see a psychiatrist.

[E. Pluribus Unum]

I am not predicting anything. The fact that you are pretending that I am says a lot more about you than it does about me.

[Veto!]

From your lips to God’s ears.

I hate the idea of losing one of the greatest cities in the world to this festering sore Mamdammit.

[MinorityRepublican]

Okay. Why did you post that picture in reply #3 showing that Hillary had a 95% chance of winning and now you are refusing to make a prediction?

I am genuinely curious.

[rrrod]

Mambany will secure the vast Jewish vote...bet on it.

[ChildOfThe60s]

Gonna be interesting. My gut says Mamdani is in. No thoughts on the margin.

Partly because I have no regard for the average democrat in NY and partly because of 800k foreigners who are highly motivated by promises of free $hit.

Also because Cuomo is such a disgusting human. A better candidate could draw more, I think.

I wonder for which candidate is the fraud machine going to be working? Could be a decisive factor?

[CondoleezzaProtege]

🌃🕊️🌇