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New Jersey early vote reveals a Jack Ciattarelli surge — and an Election Night toss-up
New York Post ^ | Oct. 30, 2025 | Jeanette Hoffman

Posted on 10/31/2025 2:34:57 PM PDT by MinorityRepublican

Early voting in New Jersey’s hotly contested governor’s race between Republican Jack Ciattarelli and Democrat Mikie Sherrill has given her a healthy head start in banked ballots.

But Republicans are easily outperforming their early 2021 turnout in the last gubernatorial election — when Ciattarrelli narrowly lost to Democrat Phil Murphy by just 84,000 votes.

If GOP voters keep up the pace, Election Night will be a nail-biter.

In the first five days of early voting, 825,382 New Jerseyans cast mail-in and in-person ballots in the marquee race: 449,190 Democrats, 230,907 Republicans and 145,285 independents.

That means Republicans must close a gap of over 219,000 votes from now until Election Day if they are to seize the State House from Democratic control.

But in New Jersey politics this isn’t surprising, and it’s far from an insurmountable lead.

In fact, Sherrill may actually be underperforming in the early vote. Here’s why.

Traditionally in the Garden State, Democrats amass a huge lead in mail-in ballots, while Republicans prefer to vote in person at the polls. That’s true again this year.

But in 2021, Murphy carried a substantial 47% vote-by-mail advantage over Ciattarelli into Election Day — but today Sherrill, with a 41% edge, isn’t doing nearly as well.

(Excerpt) Read more at nypost.com ...


TOPICS: Politics/Elections; US: New Jersey
KEYWORDS: election; newjersey

1 posted on 10/31/2025 2:34:57 PM PDT by MinorityRepublican
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To: MinorityRepublican

Don’t forget that pesky cheat margin


2 posted on 10/31/2025 2:37:19 PM PDT by JZelle
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To: JZelle

Don’t forget old-reliable... the cemetary vote.


3 posted on 10/31/2025 2:42:12 PM PDT by bobcat62
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To: MinorityRepublican

JUST OVER 6 MILLION REGISTERED VOTERS:

WHY SO MANY DAYS OF “EARLY VOTING”??????

TOO MUCH ROOM FOR SQUIRRELY RESULTS


4 posted on 10/31/2025 2:51:34 PM PDT by ridesthemiles (not giving up on TRUMP---EVER)
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To: ridesthemiles

I can’t speak to anyone else but for me, my wife tossed my sample ballot (she always does, it irritates me) so I need to go in person to figure out my precinct and all. I’ll be there on election day proper.


5 posted on 10/31/2025 2:55:04 PM PDT by pepsi_junkie ("We want no Gestapo or Secret Police. F. B. I. is tending in that direction." - Harry S Truman)
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To: ridesthemiles

We have to beat them at their own game. Scott Pressler is on the job and has vowed to win NJ “for Charlie.” He’s also been working on beating the incumbents in the PA Supreme Court retention election. If anyone can do it, he can. Gay as a parade. Goofy looking. But he’s a warrior for us and he’s my hero


6 posted on 10/31/2025 3:08:39 PM PDT by j.havenfarm (24 years on Free Republic, 12/10/24! More than 10,500 replies and still not shutting up!)
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To: firebrand

NJ ping.


7 posted on 10/31/2025 3:12:30 PM PDT by lightman (Beat the Philly fraud machine the Amish did onest, ja? Nein, zweimal they did already!)
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To: All

Democrats organized a cemetery walk-thru w/ note-takers
.........after hearing Republican Citarelli was surging.


8 posted on 10/31/2025 3:42:54 PM PDT by Liz (To make a conservative mad, lie to him. To make a leftist mad, tell him the truth.)
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To: MinorityRepublican

if it’s a “toss-up” RATS win.


9 posted on 10/31/2025 3:43:27 PM PDT by IllumiNaughtyByNature (Polls are designed to sell more ads & polls only. If it's not a horse race the money dries up.)
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To: All

BREAKING X POST: New Jersey governor candidate Jack Ciattarelli promises to ABOLISH sanctuary cities and end CASHLESS BAIL if elected on Tuesday

“Executive order number one on day one? No town in this state will be a sanctuary city and we will not be a sanctuary state.”

“Many of the things that Gov Murphy has done are by “executive order.....not codified by the legislature,” which means I can reverse them on day one.”

“But having sanctuary cities and us being a sanctuary state encourages illegal immigration and it handcuffs our local police in certain ways. We’re not doing that.”

“I’m gonna reverse that on day one. If a local police chief and mayor wanna work together to preserve safety of your community by partnering with a federal agency, I’m not gonna get in the way. We’re not doing that. But the other thing we’re gonna do is get rid of cashless bail.”

“Cashless bail has created a professional criminal who’s learned how to game the system. Talk to your local cops and they’ll tell you about this dynamic known as arrest, release, repeat. It’s demoralizing for cops.”


10 posted on 10/31/2025 3:48:55 PM PDT by Liz (To make a conservative mad, lie to him. To make a leftist mad, tell him the truth.)
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To: MinorityRepublican

ICE should make a showing around voting centers on election day to discourage the illegal vote.


11 posted on 10/31/2025 3:51:15 PM PDT by kenmcg (ti hi o)
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To: MinorityRepublican

he lost by 13%


12 posted on 11/06/2025 6:44:04 PM PST by Coleus (250K attend the March for Life, no violence, break-ins, stealing of podiums/laptops, etc., peaceful)
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To: Coleus

no bueno


13 posted on 11/06/2025 6:46:44 PM PST by MinorityRepublican
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To: MinorityRepublican

New Jersey saw 500,000+ more votes than any other year in history, and nearly all of them went to Democrats? 🤔 https://t.co/6TSZPSWXHJ— Chief Nerd (@TheChiefNerd) November 6, 2025


14 posted on 11/06/2025 6:49:26 PM PST by Jane Long (Jesus is Lord!)
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