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Who Will Lead Japan?
Foundation for Economic Education ^ | Monday, September 29, 2025 | Sascha Hannig

Posted on 09/29/2025 10:33:57 AM PDT by E. Pluribus Unum

Japan’s next Prime Minister could shape the region’s future.

On October 4, 2025, Japan will choose its fourth prime minister in five years, since Shigeru Ishiba resigned after only a year in office due to internal pressures within the Liberal Democratic Party (LDP). Although leadership changes in a parliamentary system are common, the process comes at a time of economic uncertainty and social transformations in Japanese society, which are paired with increasing geopolitical tensions around the Asia–Pacific region.

As a Latin-American who lived in Japan during COVID-19, I find myself pondering on the implications of Shinzo Abe’s assassination, the rise of lobbying accusations, and the unveiling of a power-connected cult, all against the backdrop of a permanent state of elections. In parallel, the dominant LDP faces a changing political landscape, which might challenge its dominance in the future—as newly formed parties gain momentum.

All of these issues raise the question of how the next prime minister will steer domestic and foreign policy into a new era. Two leading candidates with very particular profiles are already shaping expectations as they navigate a complex Asia–Pacific region. Japan is becoming a stronger player in international politics, with a renewed security policy, increasing military activity, and cooperation. The world should keep an eye on this process, understanding its logic, background, and possible consequences.

The Fourth Minister and the Two Candidates

Shinzo Abe resigned in 2020 for health reasons as the country was dealing with the undermining pressures of COVID-19’s uncertainty. Abe’s administration, which took place in two periods—a one-year appointment from 2006 to 2007 and his longer tenure from 2012 to 2020—gave stability to a country still dealing with the consequences of “the lost decades,” the Tohoku 2011 earthquake, and the global crisis of 2008. Before Abe, Japan had also faced an era of revolving prime...

(Excerpt) Read more at fee.org ...


TOPICS: Foreign Affairs; Japan
KEYWORDS: japan; sanaetakaichi

1 posted on 09/29/2025 10:33:57 AM PDT by E. Pluribus Unum
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To: E. Pluribus Unum

A Japanese ,LOL


2 posted on 09/29/2025 10:35:58 AM PDT by butlerweave (Fateh)
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To: butlerweave; E. Pluribus Unum

The weekend before the Tuesday he died, Charlie Kirk gave speeches in South Korea and Japan. I watched the one from South Korea and was incredibly impacted:

https://youtu.be/cQCofPV-CcI?feature=shared


3 posted on 09/29/2025 10:40:36 AM PDT by CondoleezzaProtege
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To: E. Pluribus Unum

Japan goes through one government after another, for decades, but nothing really changes. Japan is due for a revolution, but I am not betting on the outcome; we may not like it.


4 posted on 09/29/2025 10:49:39 AM PDT by Wuli (uire)
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To: E. Pluribus Unum

Sanae Takaichi will win, because the LDP know they sold out to globalist money and Rahm Emmanuel and have been talking about increased immigration, which is why Japan has turned to Sanseito and Kokumin. Koizumi is popular because of his dad, but it’s not a GOOD popularity.

They need Takaichi to pull women voters to the LDP, but I think the horse is out to pasture and Kokumin and Sanseito’s power will grow until there’s a Sanseito or Kokumin PM, probably Tamaiki, because he’ll get a lot of Rikken votes.


5 posted on 09/29/2025 10:51:59 AM PDT by struggle
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To: struggle

Which candidate supports Japan being able to defend itself militarily?


6 posted on 09/29/2025 11:48:32 AM PDT by ansel12 ((NATO warrior under Reagan, and RA under Nixon, bemoaning the pro-Russians from Vietnam to Ukraine.))
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To: struggle

Which all means they will end up with what?


7 posted on 09/29/2025 11:58:44 AM PDT by gibsonguy ( )
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To: struggle

Which all means they will end up with what?


8 posted on 09/29/2025 11:58:48 AM PDT by gibsonguy ( )
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To: ansel12

>Which candidate supports Japan being able to defend itself militarily?

I don’t know if Sanae is that far right, but the Sanseito Party has definitely said they’re interested with China nextdoor. If America shows less support for Japan and Taiwan, you might see that change.


9 posted on 09/29/2025 11:59:01 AM PDT by struggle
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To: struggle

We know that Japan is in its biggest military buildup since WWII and that the Pacific and NATO are slowly seeing the China threats as a common threat.

Does any party there oppose that?


10 posted on 09/29/2025 12:06:24 PM PDT by ansel12 ((NATO warrior under Reagan, and RA under Nixon, bemoaning the pro-Russians from Vietnam to Ukraine.))
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To: ansel12

Well, Japanese were very non political until very recently and that’s because of the recent 10% consumption tax, foreigners using their medical system for nothing, and all the immigration. China isn’t on most Japanese minds currently, unless it’s the crime committed by chinese living in Japan.


11 posted on 09/29/2025 12:56:21 PM PDT by struggle
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To: E. Pluribus Unum

This article is pretty thin gruel.


12 posted on 09/29/2025 12:56:24 PM PDT by VanShuyten ("...that all the donkeys were dead. I know nothing as to the fate of the less valuable animals.”)
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To: VanShuyten

Yeah, “I’m a writer from chile, who lived in Japan.”

Wow, do you speak the language? No. Do you speak to Japanese about it? No. Do you know much about Japanese politics? No. But thanks to AI you can still get a summative statement!


13 posted on 09/29/2025 12:57:56 PM PDT by struggle
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To: VanShuyten

Yeah, “I’m a writer from chile, who lived in Japan.”

Wow, do you speak the language? No. Do you speak to Japanese about it? No. Do you know much about Japanese politics? No. But thanks to AI you can still get a summative statement!


14 posted on 09/29/2025 12:57:57 PM PDT by struggle
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To: VanShuyten

Yeah, “I’m a writer from chile, who lived in Japan.”

Wow, do you speak the language? No. Do you speak to Japanese about it? No. Do you know much about Japanese politics? No. But thanks to AI you can still get a summative statement!


15 posted on 09/29/2025 12:58:00 PM PDT by struggle
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To: struggle

That can’t be true, politics and the China threat has unleashed massive amounts of national wealth into the largest military buildup since WWII for Japan.

Japan has also just sent fighter jets to Europe for the first time, in support of NATO while NATO is starting to operate in the Pacific.


16 posted on 09/29/2025 1:27:09 PM PDT by ansel12 ((NATO warrior under Reagan, and RA under Nixon, bemoaning the pro-Russians from Vietnam to Ukraine.))
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To: struggle; Candor7; sushiman; Bikkuri; Liz; GOPJ
Agree.  The writer's analysis is sophomoric.  Indeed, her bio mentions she's still going to school.  But it was a good effort.

The emergence of the Sanseito party is stirring up the politics in Japan.  And living in Japan (as resident alien) for the last 3 years ( wife is a Japan national), I am struggling to understand what's going on.

Actually the week before Charlie Kirk died, he visited South Korea and Japan.  And he even met with Souhei Kamiya, the leader of Sanseito, whose unofficial motto is "Make Japan Great Again".

The Japanese people are highly conservative and patriotic already.  Their manufacturing and commercial intelligence is among the best in the world.

The country is highly law-abiding and safe to live in.  Yet the Japanese are struggling to control their future amid the tremendous social and national turmoil shaking the foundations of life in Europe and America.

A key issue is dominance of the news media by a group of newspaper giants.  I often see NHK News on TV and my hunch is the reporting on events in Trump's America are colored by the local media's bond with U.S. mainstream Fake News.  For example, we sometimes see the face of ABC's David Muir when it's time to comment on American developments.   Likewise, I notice Tokyo Disneyland seems to get a lot of free publicity on NHK.

Fortunately Sanseito's leader gave a one hour press conference to the Foreign Correspondent's Club of Japan which provided English voice translation.  Shortly I plan to transcribe parts of the one hour interview and post on FR.


17 posted on 09/29/2025 3:27:09 PM PDT by poconopundit (Kash Patel, his portrait's in Webster's next to the word "gangbusters". Go Kash go! Love ya man!)
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To: struggle


"foreigners using their medical system for nothing"


?!
I had the National Insurance, and I had to pay 30% of the bill, just like the Japanese did.
Has that changed?
18 posted on 09/29/2025 4:47:00 PM PDT by Bikkuri (We are all Charlie now. I am Charlie!)
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To: poconopundit

I celebrated my 40th year in Japan the day before yesterday . I support Sanseito 100% . Want to support any pro-Japan gatherings here in Kumamoto but can’t find any info on any or even know if such gatherings are being planned .


19 posted on 09/29/2025 6:50:43 PM PDT by sushiman
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To: sushiman
Glad to hear you're behind the Sanseito shake up, sushiman.

Trump is showing the world how to protect a nation's high tech workers.  See today's FR post: US to overhaul H1B visa process before 2026: US commerce secy.

Got a feeling this is exactly what Sanseito is talking about.  There's a big difference between welcoming elder care workers from Indonesia -- a good thing, versus hiring Indian techies to fill highly skilled jobs where there are plenty of Japanese workers who qualify.

Japan can gain a lot by simply following many of the Trump teams' great ideas.  If that's how Sanseito plans to roll, their going to gain more influence.

P.S. I missed your friend's Beatles-style band playing in Kumomoto.  If you have the Youtube link, please send it my way... どうもありがとうございます。


20 posted on 09/30/2025 1:24:35 AM PDT by poconopundit (Kash Patel, his portrait's in Webster's next to the word "gangbusters". Go Kash go! Love ya man!)
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