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How Redistricting Wars Could Give the G.O.P. Up to 7 Seats
https://www.nytimes.com/2025/08/22/us/redistricting-gerrymandering-texas-california-stakes.html ^ | Aug. 22, 2025 | David W. Chen and Ashley Cai

Posted on 08/23/2025 2:22:48 PM PDT by E. Pluribus Unum

As Republicans in Texas and Democrats in California strong-arm their way toward redrawing congressional maps, it can be dizzying to keep up.

One way to understand what’s happening is to ask a simple question: Which party will come out ahead?

Republicans currently hold a 219-212 edge over Democrats in the House of Representatives, with four vacancies (three seats that had been held by Democrats who died and one by a Republican who resigned.)

But with President Trump fretting that Democrats could gain control of the House after next year’s elections, Republican state legislators are frantically trying to gerrymander the maps to give themselves more of a cushion. And Democrats are scrambling to respond.

The result? If everything goes according to plan — a big if — Republicans could gain six or seven seats, putting the House farther out of reach for Democrats. Here’s how:

In Progress

Texas

A new congressional map advanced in the Texas Senate on Thursday, and Gov. Greg Abbott, a Republican, is expected to sign it on Monday. Republicans — who now hold 25 seats, versus 12 for the Democrats (expected to be 13, once a vacant seat in Houston is filled in November) — want to add five seats.

The targeted districts are:

Sam Wang, a professor at Princeton University who leads the school’s Gerrymandering Project, wrote in a blog post Friday...

(Excerpt) Read more at nytimes.com ...


TOPICS: Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS:

1 posted on 08/23/2025 2:22:48 PM PDT by E. Pluribus Unum
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To: E. Pluribus Unum

I contend that the Democrats are all gerrymandered out. Republicans are finally learning to play by their rules.


2 posted on 08/23/2025 2:29:24 PM PDT by fwdude (Why is there a "far/radical right," but damned if they'll admit that there is a far/radical left?)
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To: E. Pluribus Unum

Dems been doing it for a long time, Reps are just getting started and have much more potential to gain.


3 posted on 08/23/2025 2:43:49 PM PDT by bigbob (If thou doth eff around, thou wilt findeth out)
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To: E. Pluribus Unum
You just know that every Rat politician...Governor,state legisator,etc...is gonna want to do the same thing. It will be interesting to see where things stand when all the dust has settled.
4 posted on 08/23/2025 2:44:50 PM PDT by Gay State Conservative (Import The Third World,Become The Third World)
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To: Gay State Conservative

They won’t all do the same thing. Just look at how the Wisconsin GOP went wobbly over another issue I can’t recall. 2026 is preseason for the attack animals on both sides. The real fight will be over the 2030 census and the gerrymander fights afterwards. It appears that if we play hardball we’ll have a lot to look forward to. The rats have been playing hardball all along. We have 4 years to deal with our own.

Gonna be awesome.


5 posted on 08/23/2025 3:06:11 PM PDT by DIRTYSECRET
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To: E. Pluribus Unum

This will eventually turn out to be a battle over “meager scraps”...

The dropping of migrant invaders from the census will mean high double-digit losses for the communists...

For example, CA will have major changes, once the 12-15 million vile migrant invaders in CA are erased from the rolls...


6 posted on 08/23/2025 3:06:52 PM PDT by SuperLuminal (Where is rabble-rising Sam Adams now that we need him? Is his name Trump, now?)
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To: E. Pluribus Unum

don’t forget that even if CA is able to pull off redistricting (doubtful), the 5 new TX reps will likely be much more conservative than 5 CA repubs that lose their seats. It’s a win either way.


7 posted on 08/23/2025 3:33:01 PM PDT by imabadboy99
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To: E. Pluribus Unum

The current majority is basically because of Florida and they plan on adding at least 2 more GOP seats. America needs the kind of leadership Florida has.


8 posted on 08/23/2025 3:43:05 PM PDT by TBP (Decent people cannot fathom the amoral cruelty of the Democrat cult.)
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To: SuperLuminal

The democrat coalition will get hammered after redistricting in 2030.

They’re grasping at straws, right now.


9 posted on 08/23/2025 3:50:15 PM PDT by unclebankster (Globalism is the last refuge of a scoundrel. )
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To: E. Pluribus Unum

According to Alex Degrasse & Steve Bannon the number might be more like 15. Even more if Kentucky gets into the game.


10 posted on 08/23/2025 4:53:26 PM PDT by Robert DeLong
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To: Robert DeLong

Kentucky cannot participate. The governor is a democrat.


11 posted on 08/23/2025 6:08:26 PM PDT by napscoordinator (DeSantis is a beast! Florida is the freest state in the country! )
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To: napscoordinator

Redistricting is a function of the legislature, not the governor. Last time I looked the Republican Party controls both chambers of the Kentucky General Assembly, the state legislature.


12 posted on 08/24/2025 6:58:49 PM PDT by Robert DeLong
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To: Robert DeLong

The governor doesn’t have to sign? That would be a surprise.


13 posted on 08/24/2025 7:00:42 PM PDT by napscoordinator (DeSantis is a beast! Florida is the freest state in the country! )
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To: Robert DeLong

https://redistricting.lls.edu/state/kentucky/?cycle=2020&level=Congress&startdate=2022-01-20

A little process on redistricting in Kentucky.


14 posted on 08/24/2025 7:03:41 PM PDT by napscoordinator (DeSantis is a beast! Florida is the freest state in the country! )
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To: Gay State Conservative

Dems already shot their load.


15 posted on 08/24/2025 7:09:19 PM PDT by central_va ( I won't be reconstructed and I do not give a damn...)
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To: napscoordinator
Yeah, the governor has the power of veto, however, the Kentucky state legislature has a veto-proof supermajority. 😁👍

If the courts strike it down, tell them to go pound sand like the Democrats repeatedly do. If need be, fight it all the way to the top, and in the meantime get the appeals court to overrule the lower courts ruling.

We must fight the Democrats in the same manner they have been fighting us. No holds barred smash-mouth rumble tumble.

No more excuses now. Fight, fight, fight, and with positivity. 😁👍

16 posted on 08/24/2025 7:27:32 PM PDT by Robert DeLong
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To: Robert DeLong

I agree! Republicans are always sloppy in everything they do and constantly have to catch up.


17 posted on 08/24/2025 8:15:06 PM PDT by napscoordinator (DeSantis is a beast! Florida is the freest state in the country! )
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To: napscoordinator

The establishment Republicans do not want to change the corruption, for they too like the easy money & the power. They care not for this nation or her citizens. That’s why they always support the Democrats, because they are in essence, Democrats themselves.


18 posted on 08/25/2025 6:11:46 AM PDT by Robert DeLong
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