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The Trump Economy Stumbles
Wall Street Journal ^ | August 1, 2025 | WSJ Editorial Board

Posted on 08/03/2025 4:07:13 AM PDT by karpov

President Trump has now imposed his new tariff regime on the world, and the triumphalism is palpable in MAGA land. But maybe hold the euphoria, as this week’s reports on jobs and the economy suggest the new golden age may take a while to appear.

Friday’s labor report arrived with a particular jolt, with a mere 73,000 net new jobs in July. Even more bearish were the downward revisions of 258,000 jobs in May and June. Job gains over the last three months are barely more than 100,000.

The details in the report provide little solace. The jobless rate ticked up only to 4.25% from 4.1%, but that was in part because the labor force continued to shrink. The labor participation rate fell again to 62.2% and is now down half a percentage point in a year.

Employers aren’t laying off workers, but they have all but stopped new hiring. Notably, most of the new jobs are in healthcare and social assistance, which rely heavily on government spending. This continues the Biden-era trend that Trumponomics was supposed to change. Not so far.

The much-advertised rebirth of U.S. manufacturing also hasn’t arrived. The economy shed 11,000 manufacturing jobs in July, following a loss of 26,000 in May and June. The ISM Manufacturing Index fell again in July to 48, the fifth straight month below 50.

(Excerpt) Read more at wsj.com ...


TOPICS: Business/Economy; China; Editorial; European Union; Foreign Affairs; France; Germany; Political Humor/Cartoons
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1 posted on 08/03/2025 4:07:13 AM PDT by karpov
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Comment #2 Removed by Moderator

To: karpov

Well, we here remember at the start of this that the media screamed about having another 1930s Depression as that’s what Smoot-Hawley allegedly caused (more Democrat history mythology). Also, most of us here were aware that there were going to be some initial bumps or turbulence involved with the corrective actions Trump introduced (this seems to be what is taking place) but in the long run very beneficial to both supply management and jobs.


3 posted on 08/03/2025 4:11:52 AM PDT by OttawaFreeper ("The Gardens was founded by men-sportsmen-who fought for their country" Conn Smythe, 1966 )
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To: karpov

All individuals with shortcomings can blame their miserable lives on Trump. Yep, that’ll soothe them.


4 posted on 08/03/2025 4:11:58 AM PDT by PGalt (Past Peak Civilization?)
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To: Diogenesis

Thanks for posting. BUMP!


5 posted on 08/03/2025 4:13:28 AM PDT by PGalt (Past Peak Civilization?)
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To: karpov
Even if this wasn’t pure socialist propaganda, imagine an American newspaper giddy about a troubled American economy and Americans out of work.

Matt Taibbi needs to adjust his recent headline…

”The New York Times AND The Wall Street Journal Can’t Stop Sucking.”

6 posted on 08/03/2025 4:14:23 AM PDT by Frank Drebin (And don't ever let me catch you guys in America!)
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To: karpov
Given how allegedly off the figures were, how do we even know the current figures are accurate?

Are they going to come back a month from now and say, "Oops, hiring really was much higher in the 1st Q."

I trust nothing coming out of the mouth of a bureaucrat. Not even under President Trump's term. Especially in fact. Too many leftist termites deep in the woodwork.

7 posted on 08/03/2025 4:15:15 AM PDT by Sirius Lee ("Never argue with a fool, onlookers may not be able to tell the difference.”)
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To: karpov

The WSJ can rot in hell. They are urinalists, propagandists, agenda-driven would-be kingmakers and kindslayers, no better than NYT or WaPo. A pox on them.


8 posted on 08/03/2025 4:16:36 AM PDT by Nervous Tick (Hope, as a righteous product of properly aligned Faith, IS in fact a strategy.)
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To: karpov

Or, more appropriately, The Wall Street Journal stumbles...again.


9 posted on 08/03/2025 4:17:48 AM PDT by RoosterRedux ("There's nothing so inert as a closed mind" )
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To: karpov
...the Biden-era trend...

They used to call that - Brandonomics.

10 posted on 08/03/2025 4:18:51 AM PDT by Libloather (Why do climate change hoax deniers live in mansions on the beach?)
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To: Diogenesis

You really should tell people that’s a fake news site


11 posted on 08/03/2025 4:24:56 AM PDT by digger48 (Mp)
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To: Sirius Lee

why WSJ would use Friday’s jobs report as a jumping off point is bizarre. for over a year the revisions from BLS have raised eyebrows, leaving us all - including the WH - wondering what the real state of the employment market is. while revisions are normal, that size of BLS’s is not. it is also important to realize that there are still millions of workers not tracked by unemployment rate - still on the sidelines since Covid, so another flawed data point. hopefully the WH quickly brings numbers in line with reality. judging by the drop in Tsy yields on Friday, the bond market sees softness in labor market. hello, Jerome???


12 posted on 08/03/2025 4:25:38 AM PDT by avital2
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To: Sirius Lee

She subverted the process. The economy needed a rate cut. Here false figures gave Powell another reason not to reduce the fed rate.


13 posted on 08/03/2025 4:25:39 AM PDT by nikos1121
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To: Nervous Tick

The Wall Street was once a great newspaper.

Now, it’s owned by anti-Trump Rupert Murdoch.

It’s sole purpose is to undermine President Trump, his Administration, and the entire MAGA movement.

Globalist, anti-freedom scum.


14 posted on 08/03/2025 4:26:23 AM PDT by july4thfreedomfoundation (Russia? China? Democrats and RINOs are the biggest threat to the survival of America.)
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To: karpov

The Deep State is deep. I don’t trust Powell or the head (now fired) of BLS.

Tell me who amongst us would get to keep our jobs if we had to constantly “revise” our numbers in the manner and to the degree that BLS does? I remember the roaring Biden economy that was adding jobs like crazy one month only to have that “revised downward” the very next.

I know, “both sides of the aisle respect the head of BLS because she is “an economic expert.” Uh huh. Once upon a time I remember that both sides of aisle also professed their deep respect for another Deep Stater who was an “infectious disease” expert.

ANYONE who is “respected by both sides of the aisle” and a longtime DC figure is opposed to anything not status quo. That person will lie, cheat or steal to preserve it. The WSJ is the mouthpiece for that system.

They can take their editorial and shove it.


15 posted on 08/03/2025 4:27:14 AM PDT by FlipWilson
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To: karpov

One labor report does not a trend make.


16 posted on 08/03/2025 4:31:06 AM PDT by frogjerk
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To: karpov

Every chance they get, just put the most negative spin on Trump that they can muster.

As in the past, reality will turn out so different from their false prophecies that feel free to call it fake news.


17 posted on 08/03/2025 4:35:39 AM PDT by Titus-Maximus (Tthe trouble with socialism is that you soon run out of other people's zoo animals to eat.)
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To: karpov

Oh I see a trend developing here...


18 posted on 08/03/2025 4:37:00 AM PDT by dpetty121263
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To: Sirius Lee

Agreed. I guess my post was taking the numbers at face value and I may have been that little bit naïve, lol. They might have to indeed go back and revise the numbers upward as you say.


19 posted on 08/03/2025 4:43:12 AM PDT by OttawaFreeper ("The Gardens was founded by men-sportsmen-who fought for their country" Conn Smythe, 1966 )
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To: OttawaFreeper

As long as everything is good by summer 2026, we should be in good shape by November:


20 posted on 08/03/2025 4:43:22 AM PDT by napscoordinator (DeSantis is a beast! Florida is the freest state in the country! )
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