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The Iran strikes that proved the influencers wrong: Why Trump’s base never blinked
American Thinker ^ | June 25, 2025 | Joseph Ford Cotto

Posted on 06/25/2025 4:13:37 PM PDT by E. Pluribus Unum

When President Donald Trump ordered precision strikes on Iran’s nuclear facilities, a familiar chorus of so-called “conservative” and “populist” influencers rushed to declare doom. The strikes, they insisted, would shatter Trump’s coalition.

Tucker Carlson raged about “forever wars.” Steve Bannon warned of national unraveling. Candace Owens fretted about betrayal. They weren’t the only ones; not by a long shot. The message was clear: Trump had gone too far, and his base would revolt.

They couldn’t have been more wrong.

Despite the media theatrics and influencer outrage, actual Republican voters—especially those in Trump’s core MAGA camp—stood firmly behind him. According to a CBS News poll conducted June 22–24, 2025, a staggering 85% of Republicans approved of the strikes. Among self-identified MAGA Republicans, that number soared to 94%. Only 6% disapproved.

The disconnect is striking. What these influencers failed to grasp—and what many continue to ignore—is that Trump’s support does not hinge on foreign policy purity tests. His base was never defined by a rigid non-interventionist ideology, nor did it elect him as a libertarian pacifist. What propels Trump’s enduring appeal is far simpler, and far more potent: economics.

That’s not speculation. It’s how I was able to accurately forecast the 2024 presidential outcome using my Five-Point Forecast, a data-driven model focused primarily on economic indicators and historically proven voter behavior patterns.

While political influencers speculated endlessly about Trump’s Iran decision and its consequences, I knew his base would hold. Why? Because, last year, I focused on the variables that consistently move votes: inflation, wages, employment perceptions, energy costs, and consumer confidence. The model didn’t rely on subjective claptrap like Allan Lichtman’s 13 Keys—it correctly predicted that Trump would defeat Kamala Harris. Not just in the overall result. My Five-Point Forecast got every single swing state right.

The model’s foundation was simple. Americans vote...

(Excerpt) Read more at americanthinker.com ...


TOPICS: Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: cuckertarlson; daddyshome; josephfordcotto; tuckercarlson
The model’s foundation was simple. Americans vote their wallets.

James "Serpenthead" Carville was right, lo those many years ago; "It's the economy, Stupid."

1 posted on 06/25/2025 4:13:37 PM PDT by E. Pluribus Unum
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To: E. Pluribus Unum

I support Trump’s bomb strikes on Iran, but it seems a little early to be polling and summarizing what the majority of MAGA think about it. Off topic, I never get any Polling Requests.


2 posted on 06/25/2025 4:19:15 PM PDT by lee martell
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To: lee martell
https://polymarket.com/ is far more accurate than polling because people have to put their money where their mouth is.
3 posted on 06/25/2025 4:25:45 PM PDT by E. Pluribus Unum (Democrats are the Party of anger, hate and violence.)
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To: E. Pluribus Unum; lee martell
“conservative” and “populist” influencers rushed to declare doom.

I am certain I would never consider anything said by someone who others or themself calls an influencer. I wonder if they go to an ivy league school and pile up $300,000 in debt for a degree in influencing?

4 posted on 06/25/2025 4:55:55 PM PDT by Retain Mike ( Sat Cong)
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To: lee martell

THE ONLY REQUESTS I GET ARE ABOUT “SELLING MY HOUSE”.

CURRENT ANSWER==”I WANT $8 MILLION—ALL CASH—180 day escrow to find new property.”

THEY HANG UP !!!


5 posted on 06/25/2025 5:06:56 PM PDT by ridesthemiles (not giving up on TRUMP---EVER)
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To: ridesthemiles

Lol! You know how to wheel and deal.
They are intimidated!


6 posted on 06/25/2025 5:08:44 PM PDT by lee martell
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To: E. Pluribus Unum

Trump’s base never blinked? Well, there was sure a lot of blinking going on here at FR.


7 posted on 06/25/2025 5:11:52 PM PDT by redfreedom (Happiness is shopping at Walmart and not hearing Spanish once!)
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To: redfreedom

LOL. True, some were almost in meltdown mode.


8 posted on 06/25/2025 5:59:31 PM PDT by rrrod (6)
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To: rrrod

Almost?


9 posted on 06/25/2025 6:11:28 PM PDT by ripnbang ("An armed man is a citizen, an unarmed man, a subject.")
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To: rrrod

No Anthony blinken over here I use botex.


10 posted on 06/25/2025 6:17:28 PM PDT by datricker (Go Trump/Vance!)
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To: redfreedom

It was the Bannonites, Kirkites, and Tuckered Out Clowns.
It was Mass Hysteria from these hyena’s.


11 posted on 06/25/2025 7:01:01 PM PDT by tennmountainman ( (“Less propaganda would be appreciated.” JimRobr 12-2-2023 DITTO)
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To: AdmSmith; AnonymousConservative; Arthur Wildfire! March; Berosus; Bockscar; BraveMan; cardinal4; ...

12 posted on 06/25/2025 7:17:35 PM PDT by SunkenCiv (Putin's and Xi's cheerleaders hardest hit!)
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To: redfreedom

Seemed to me like it was very few people on FR, but those few were blinking continually. Some of them still are.


13 posted on 06/25/2025 9:08:49 PM PDT by FreedomForce
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To: tennmountainman

I’ve tried watching Bannon’s War Room, many times. I’ve concluded he’s a tad radical. He has some good talking points, but goes way overboard.

Kirk I can handle somewhat. This one seems arrogant and full of himself. After watching this guy I’ve concluded just about anyone can have a talk show if they can read news articles others write.

There will never, ever be anyone that fills Rush’s shoes.


14 posted on 06/26/2025 2:44:43 AM PDT by redfreedom (Happiness is shopping at Walmart and not hearing Spanish once!)
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