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OPEC+ oil producers stick to their guns with another big hike for July
Reuters ^ | May 31, 2025 | Alex Lawler, Olesya Astakhova and Ahmad Ghaddar

Posted on 06/10/2025 7:39:12 AM PDT by SunkenCiv

The world's largest group of oil producers, OPEC+, stuck to its guns on Saturday with another big increase of 411,000 barrels per day for July as it looks to wrestle back market share and punish over-producers.

Having spent years curbing production - more than 5 million barrels a day (bpd) or 5% of world demand - eight OPEC+ countries made a modest output increase in April before tripling it for May, June and now July.

They are spurring production despite the extra supply weighing on crude prices as group leaders Saudi Arabia and Russia seek to win back market share as well as punish over-producing allies such as Iraq and Kazakhstan...

The eight countries held an online meeting on Saturday to set July production. They also discussed other options, an OPEC+ delegate said. On Friday, sources familiar with OPEC+ talks had said they could discuss an even larger hike.

In a statement OPEC+ cited a "steady global economic outlook and current healthy market fundamentals, as reflected in the low oil inventories" as its reasoning...

Its increased supply is weighing on crude prices, squeezing all producers, but some more than others, including a key group of rivals - U.S. shale producers, analysts say...

Since April, the OPEC+ eight have now made or announced increases totalling 1.37 million bpd, or 62% of the 2.2 million bpd they aim to add back to the market...

Algeria was among a small number of nations that requested a pause in the output hikes on Saturday, a source familiar with the matter said...

Besides the 2.2 million bpd cut that the eight members started to unwind in April, OPEC+ has two other layers of cuts that are expected to remain in place until the end of 2026.

(Excerpt) Read more at reuters.com ...


TOPICS: Business/Economy; Foreign Affairs; US: North Dakota; US: Texas
KEYWORDS: algeria; energy; iraq; kazakhstan; opec; opecplus; russiantrollfarm
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OPEC logo is seen in this illustration taken, October 8, 2023.
Reuters/Dado Ruvic/Illustration/File
Reuters/Dado Ruvic/Illustration/File

1 posted on 06/10/2025 7:39:12 AM PDT by SunkenCiv
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Comment #2 Removed by Moderator

To: SunkenCiv
"OPEC+ oil producers stick to their guns with another big hike for July"

The Reuters headline is trying to give the impression that prices are being "hiked" when it is oil production that is increasing (which will lower prices).

No matter how much you hate them, it isn't enough.

3 posted on 06/10/2025 7:49:41 AM PDT by 10mm
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To: 10mm; All

Sounds to me like the production increases are designed to put US producers out of business.
The US patch needs at least $70 per bbl to survive, and I don’t think we’ll see that again for quite some time.


4 posted on 06/10/2025 8:03:51 AM PDT by mozarky2 (Ya never stand so tall as when ya stoop to stomp a statist...)
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To: mozarky2

Ding, ding. Winner.


5 posted on 06/10/2025 8:06:30 AM PDT by del griffith
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To: SunkenCiv

If this is good news, I wonder why crude oil is up to $66/bbl?


6 posted on 06/10/2025 8:25:15 AM PDT by antidemoncrat (In a way ge is right as)
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To: mozarky2
Sounds to me like the production increases are designed to put US producers out of business.

Exactly... and $70 is minimum. Ideal is $95.
7 posted on 06/10/2025 8:31:02 AM PDT by TexasGunLover
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To: 10mm

Are you insinuating a journalist relies on people who just browses the headlines and would have a totally BS headline? Come on man.


8 posted on 06/10/2025 8:32:27 AM PDT by Hyman Roth
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To: antidemoncrat

If crude is up to $66/bbl, do you wonder why the supply is going up?


9 posted on 06/10/2025 8:34:37 AM PDT by SunkenCiv (Putin should skip ahead to where he kills himself in the bunker.)
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To: SunkenCiv

I’m old enough to remember the 70s “Peak Oil” hoax and how it was on the verge of extinction.

Seems Mother Earth keeps organically producing more and more and more and...

Fossil fuel? LOL!!!


10 posted on 06/10/2025 8:35:38 AM PDT by newfreep ("There is no race problem...just a problem race")
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To: 10mm

You are correct. The article makes nearly no sense and if you did not understand the backstory, it would be confusing.

Maybe the first and foremost thing about which to be aware is there is widespread indication that these production increases announced are not happening. Various producers have not hit these expanded quotas.

The eradication of US shale production is certainly a goal, but there are widespread indications that is already happening, regardless of what OPEC+ does.

Everyone take a moment and have a look at this:
https://www.eia.gov/dnav/pet/hist/LeafHandler.ashx?n=PET&s=MCRFPUS1&f=M

That is what US oil output looked like until interest rates crashed to 0% in the financial apocalypse of 2009. There was no new oil found in 2009. The oil in the NoDak Bakken and Permian has always been known about, but the interest on the very steep loan to drill and frack was prohibitive, even at 6%. When rates went to 0%, presto, new oil. Yes, interest rates, not price. Oil was priced at MINUS $20 for 24 hours in 2020.

The word is out that those sources are going empty. This is the dirty secret of oil. It doesn’t matter what the price is or what interest rates are if there’s nothing there.

Anyway, hate that perspective or reject it, go look at that graph again. When shale ends, 2007 is where we’re going, though even lower because those non shale fields have been emptying further during this past 10-15 yrs.

And that, sports fans, is why Russia is the wrong enemy to have.


11 posted on 06/10/2025 8:38:37 AM PDT by Owen
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To: newfreep
Years ago in interview, Sheikh (an honorarium for his work for the KSA) Yamani (d. 2021) said that in retrospect the OPEC embargo (wasn't that a fun ride?) backfired, in that the already-known reserves that had been too expensive to develop came into production quite quickly, and within a decade, thanks to more exploration, the proven reserves worldwide at least doubled (things like oil shale, heavy crudes, oil sands, etc, are somewhat in that total).

And they had no other industries or any labor force trained to do anything (sometimes not even oil field work, relying instead on expensive foreign, mostly western, workers etc). As P.J. O'Rourke wrote later in "Automobile" mag, the entire non-oil GDP of the Gulf states didn't equal Finland's.

Natural resources is always a misnomer -- the only resource is human ingenuity, figuring out what to use whatever is available to accomplish whatever job is at hand.

12 posted on 06/10/2025 8:44:53 AM PDT by SunkenCiv (Putin should skip ahead to where he kills himself in the bunker.)
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To: SunkenCiv

Sounds like an opportunity to fill the reserve.


13 posted on 06/10/2025 8:52:23 AM PDT by Sacajaweau
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To: SunkenCiv

Nah. This is wrong.

Alaska came online. It was already known about. It wasn’t until 20 years later that the North Sea came online. Neither source is from shale rock.

Shale arrived about 2009, because of the interest rate crash to make funding of drill and frack economically possible. That expanded SEC defined reserve totals because . . . it was then economically possible. Oil in that rock was already known, but that’s not the entire definition of reserves. The SEC defines that. Other countries don’t have to comply with SEC definitions, but they are usually close.


14 posted on 06/10/2025 8:55:44 AM PDT by Owen
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To: SunkenCiv

After my freshman year at UofCincy, I moved to Hollywood to transfer to UCLA.

To live and get in-state tuition, I got an office job at a global oil research company (located at corner of Sunset & LaCienega) who explored/found oil for the major oil companies.

It was a huge education in oil reserves and the sheer propaganda of “news” media.


15 posted on 06/10/2025 8:58:54 AM PDT by newfreep ("There is no race problem...just a problem race")
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To: SunkenCiv

OPEC the Scum of the Oil Producers


16 posted on 06/10/2025 9:05:11 AM PDT by butlerweave
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To: Owen

What I said was correct.


17 posted on 06/10/2025 9:08:07 AM PDT by SunkenCiv (Putin should skip ahead to where he kills himself in the bunker.)
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To: AdmSmith; AnonymousConservative; Arthur Wildfire! March; Berosus; Bockscar; BraveMan; cardinal4; ...
How about that, my ping message got deleted.

18 posted on 06/10/2025 9:09:30 AM PDT by SunkenCiv (Putin should skip ahead to where he kills himself in the bunker.)
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To: mozarky2
The US patch needs at least $70 per bbl to survive, and I don’t think we’ll see that again for quite some time.

True. OPEC needs the U.S. dependent on buying their oil. For anyone interested, there's a weekly Rig Count posted by Baker Hughes: Weekly Rig Count

19 posted on 06/10/2025 9:58:39 AM PDT by voicereason (When a bartender can join Congress and become a millionaire...there’s a problem.)
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To: All

Heads up. The Bible of oil publishes its annual spreadsheet in a couple of weeks. BP (has published it annually each year for about 70) and outsourced it 2 years ago, but only for publication. BP maintains the gathering staff, for a while.

Get your own data. Don’t quote what someone else said.


20 posted on 06/10/2025 10:43:44 AM PDT by Owen
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