Impossible! I had no access to my legendary Socrates all that time?
Posted on 04/18/2025 6:05:22 AM PDT by delta7
Socrates has honed in on 2025 becoming a year of great stagflation in the United States. The Federal Reserve has finally admitted that the data is undeniable—the United States will experience stagflation.
The economy is declining but prices are rising. Most understand inflation, especially in the post-COVID world, but few understand stagflation. Stagflation is when you have high inflation and stagnant economic growth at the same time. Normally, inflation is supposed to go hand in hand with rising demand and growth. But during stagflation, prices go up even though the economy is barely moving. “Powell said the president’s tariffs announced so far had been ‘significantly larger than anticipated’, adding that ‘the same was likely to be true of the economic effects, which will include higher inflation and slower growth’,” as reported by every major media outlet. Powell “later added that those economic effects may place US rate setters ‘in the challenging scenario in which our dual-mandate goals are in tension’. The Fed’s dual mandate is to maintain the target 2% inflation while encouraging “maximum” employment levels.
JeromePowellFedChair
“Maximum” employment is simply not possible during a period of stagflation. Investments dry up, confidence collapses, and businesses face higher costs in every area from wages to materials. Consumers lose purchasing power and are less likely to purchase nonessential goods at inflated prices, affecting business revenue and overall GDP. This then forces businesses to cut back on hiring instead of focusing on expansion. Many businesses will be unable to maintain large workforces if the revenue is not there.
The FOMC members seem to agree that stagflation is inevitable, although some argue about how long it will last. “Several Fed officials — including John Williams, head of the New York Fed, and Governor Christopher Waller — have said inflation is likely to surge in the coming months on the back of the administration’s proposed tariffs. While Waller thinks the impact of tariffs will prove short-lived, other members of the rate-setting Federal Open Market Committee, which Powell chairs, believe Trump’s tariffs have increased the odds that inflation will be a longer problem for US consumers.”
Now the central bank has maintained interest rates at 4.25-4.5% this year. Everyone is holding their breath for the Fed’s May announcement, but there is very little that the Fed can do here. Capital investment depends on confidence.
Our models have honed in on May 19, 2026, as a major turning point in confidence where the next Panic Cycle will begin, and unfortunately, confidence will decline into 2028.
In Before the Gator….get busy on the keyboard. I am sure you will keep us entertained.
That clown never mentioned the inflation dangers (probability) of the so-called trillion dollar ‘Inflation Reduction and Chips Acts’. He totally ignored them, and only an idiot would not have realized the inflationary dangers there!
you must be Martin Armstrong. If so, you should get very wealthy knowing exactly what the economy will do. I’ll check back in with you Martin at mid-summer when you can show us pix of your new mcmansion
The US has had stagflation since 2005.
Is The Federal Reserve part of the Deep State that is just trying to destroy Pres. Trump’s effort to MAGA?
IBTG
Powell needs to step down....
you must be Martin Armstrong
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You must be a Bitcointalk forum member, they state FR’s 917601 is actually Martin Armstrong.
I can assure you I am not, but merely one who follows his Socrates computer forecasts….I have done very well in two decades following his ECM.
Powell needs to step down....
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Then what? Who to replace him? Judy Shelton was a candidate his last term. You can read and watch her recent interviews, the only one that advocates “ sound money”.
That said, the only other choice would be to end the Fed, which looking at our Congress ( whom would take over “ the power of the Purse”) would be a far worse option.
Why would you share such wisdom. You’d make alot more $$ if you kept it to yourself. Maybe share such pearls with a few friends and family. Martin Armstrong = Wade Cook?
Impossible! I had no access to my legendary Socrates all that time?
“Armstrong shares his Socrates forecasts again. “
He failed to predict his three bankrupsies.
He failed to predict his losing $700 million of his clients’funds.
He failed to predict he would spend eleven years in the federal pen.
In 2014 he predicted gold would soar to $5,000 in 2015. In 2014 he predicted that there would be a world financial collapse would occur in 2015.
July 2024 he predicted US cIvil unrest/WAR to happen just before the 2024 elections.
November 2024 he predicted a US civil war would happen the week of Trump’s inauguration with the US breaking up into four new countries in 2026.
December 2024 he said via Socrates that the 2024 elections would be the last in the US.
January 2025 he predicted US civil unrest on May 7.
March 15, 2025: Got suckered by fake story https://freerepublic.com/focus/news/4304515/posts?page=40#40
“Powell needs to step down....”
Why? He has the support of the FED members, he doesn’t just act by himself. If he lowers rates now inflation will take off. If he raises rates unemployment will rise faster and business activity will slow.
What should he be doing?
It’s not true though.
Prices for groceries are tumbilng where I am and that’s on staten island, ny.
CPi and PPI, the most recent numbers were down and one was negative for the first time in forever.
“ Maximum” employment is simply not possible during a period of stagflation…”
Fortunately, we have an employment buffer. If unemployment starts to rise, deport another million illegals.
THIS GUY HATES THE US, AND IS AN ENEMY OF THE US.
I’m afraid he’s right. Prices will go up if the tariffs stay in place, and it’s not because of increased demand. In fact this will decrease demand and cause a slowdown in the economy.
In this scenario the fed should lower the interest rate even though that seems counterintuitive.
This is not your typical inflation caused by higher demand in the market, but an arbitrary and artificial price increase by Trump’s tariffs if they stay in place.
On another thread delta7 was telling me that the bitcoin forum was a good source of information even though he told me to ditch it.
I had never been on that site but was curious. So, I googled “bitcoin forum Martin Armstrong” and this popped up:
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Martin Armstrong is a world renowned criminal. A thief. An unrepentant convicted felon. Worst of the worst. Decades ago, he hired some programmers to write that program for him that he calls Socrates. Used it to trade the markets with money stolen from investors. Lost USD 700 million. Created a USD 3 billion Ponzi scheme to cover up the losses. Was caught and spent 11 years in jail for the crimes, including for failing to return USD 15 million that he stashed away, on top of the losses.
Most likely, after getting out of jail, Martin Armstrong laundered the stashed away money and paid Marcus Vetter to make that whitewash movie “The Forecaster” for him. A web of lies that blames the government for his crimes. The wet dream of a criminal. Now he sells that Socrates software that he used to lose millions, as a subscription service for USD 1,800 per year to the little guy. For the results, see:
Socrates Subscriber Testimonials
This is the true story of a criminal kept safe from his victims, earning USD 15 million of stolen money while behind bars, being fed on US taxpayer expense, and allowed to re-build the longest running scam business in history, using some of that stolen money. See:
ArmstrongEconomics - The Scam Business Model Exposé
So WHAT does he do as Armstrong Economics then?
He is an Internet content aggregator driving traffic into his online store for his three revenue streams: 1)
Socrates Subscriptions, 2) overpriced books and reports, and 3) overpriced conferences, physical and virtual.
To achieve his objective, he creates campaigns with changing subjects. depending on what sells. He is a populist hot button pusher. For example, he is a Disinformation agent / broker / publisher / propagandist. He fraudulently creates the illusion that he has exclusive access to information, and based on that he sells himself as a conveyor belt for some third party disinformation, using his public blog site which is ideal for that purpose because it wraps complex matters in a manipulative cartoon style, using conspiracy theories.
That blog site conveniently functions as the location of his online shop where he sells his own snake oil costing hundreds.
https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=1082909.7440
LOL !
He accuses you of being a bitcointalk forum member as if that is bad.
Today, on another thread he told me that he is a member of the same as it it a good source of financial information.
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