Posted on 03/25/2025 7:37:10 PM PDT by PermaRag
In today’s election in PA, for a state Senate seat in the Lancaster area which the GOP should easily have held in an R+9 district, the Republicans appear to have blown it. It’s been nearly HALF A CENTURY (if not more) since the Republicans lost that district.
Special elections at the state legislative level are not necessarily bellwethers — they sure weren’t in 2023-24 — but this is not a good sign at all. And what happens in Wisconsin next week won’t be a good sign either, barring a substantial upset.
Turnout means everything in a close race in a special election. Democrats are, as usual, motivated and organized (and well funded). Republicans, as usual, are none of those things.
OK. Is this a Kabala thread?
Pennsylvania Ping!
Please ping me with articles of interest.
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PA GOP =
G rown
O ssified
P air
Just like the IA race a couple months back
Dems won in a deep red Trump area
For being in so unpopular Dems sure are winning a lot of selections since NOV
Nope.
https://www.wgal.com/article/pa-special-election-results-state-senate-36th/64272825
With 100% of precincts reporting, it appears that Democrats were able to flip a state Senate seat during Tuesday’s special election for the 36th District in Lancaster County.
James Malone is ahead of Republican Josh Parsons by just 482 votes.
This falls outside of the automatic recount threshold. A recount would have to be requested by Parsons.
The seat has been held by Republicans for more than four decades.
bttt
I was referring to the title.
Which is what I am expecting in 2026.
The loss of IA state Senate district 35 was definitely an upset but (R+5) is not really “deep red”.
There was another special election in Iowa just 2 weeks ago in pretty much the same geographic area (House district 100), and the GOP did narrowly hold that R+4 district.
We suck at Special Elections.
A special election for a state sear gives the Democrats a huge edge
Trump won IA 36 by 21 points
Fortunately the GOP was able to maintain their 3-seat advantage in the PA state Senate last November, which was a better performance than expected. Now that advantage is down to 2 seats.
The Rats won another special election in PA tonight, for a state House seat in some of the worse suburbs of Pittsburgh (Homestead, McKeesport, etc.). That was totally expected and merely a hold, not a pickup.
Let’s see what happens in Wisconsin. Can’t remember the last time the GOP won a special Election. Our vote so apathetic in those.
That seat will flip in 2026. My guess is that most people were not paying attention.
That used to not be the case. Talk radio and all conservative media used to heavily promote these special elections, even obscure ones - well in advance - it was all hands on deck. Now they are only mentioned in passing maybe a couple of times on the actual election day at most.
It isn’t just the loss of the election - this gives the Dem base more enthusiasm to see this kind of stuff reported.
There are over 250,000 people in that area.
Only 11,000 voted for anyone.
Republican apathy is the cause.
Trump did even better in IA House district 100 in November (winning by about 27 points); the special election was won by just 4 points or so.
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