Posted on 03/16/2025 6:21:37 PM PDT by Hieronymus
Popular vote projection Conservatives 38% ± 4%▼ Liberals 35% ± 4%▲ NDP 13% ± 3%▼ Bloc 7% ± 1% Greens 4% ± 2% PPC 3% ± 2% 338Canada vote projection | March 16, 2025 This projection is calculated using a weighted average of polls by the 338Canada model to estimate current party support. This is not a poll, but the result of an aggregation of polls and modelization of various data.
Seat projection | 172 seats for a majority Liberals 150▲ [122-181] Conservatives 149▼ [119-181] Bloc 27▼ [22-34] NDP 15▲ [6-18] Greens 2 [0-3] 338Canada seat projection | March 16, 2025 The seat projections are a forecast of the most likely results if a general election were held today. The brackets indicate the current ranges from worst to best possible outcomes. The distributions follow Gaussian-like curves, so the extremes are not as likely as the values near the mean. Does it work? See 338Canada's full record here.
(Excerpt) Read more at 338canada.com ...
Hopefully the honeymoon bump dissipates fairly quickly
Ping Canada Ping
Smart money is on the writ dropping this week and a May 5th election.
Poilivier has done a masterful job of blowing this election along with an assist from Trump breathing fresh life into the Liberals.
When Canadian hockey fans were booing US teams and national anthem, I knew this was going to shift the election. Sad but true.
The CBC deserves at least a secondary assist. They may deserve more credit than Poilievre.
At least the CPC seems to have moved on from the Carbon Tax Carney adds, but that should have happened Friday, if not sooner.
Yep.
ANY TIME a Conservative goes ‘for the middle’, they lose! Instead of joining ‘Team Canaduh’s chorus of ‘orange man bad’ and suggesting tariffs on the ‘bad orange man’, they should be pointing out the WELL DOCUMENTED DRUG, AND MONEY LAUNDERING problems in Canaduh, and how True-dolthas done NOTHING! Also, the CHICOM interference and CONTROL of the government! This is something the bought and paid for MSM ignore!
We are destined to be completely TAKEN OVER by the WEF/ChiComs! Between Carney enacting tariffs agsinst the US, PDJT’s response, Carney’s STUPID ‘net-zero’ legislation (that’s coming AFTER the election) and, the return of C-63, and soon to follow, UBI, our economy will be destroyed, what little freedoms we have, will be destroyed, and the lights will go out all over this once (many decades ago) great nation.
Of course, if the WEF/ChiComs succeed, the lights will go out all over America! BUT, they forget who they are battling! PDJT and VPJDV and a STRONG, PRO-AMERICA, PRO FREEDOM CABINET! I believe that Marx Carnage has met his match in PDJT and/or VPJDV! Prayers for them, and for Pierre Polievre. Get the apple and ATTITUDE back Pierre, for the sake of this country!
Smart money is on the writ dropping this week and a May 5th election.
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I saw that Kevin O’Leary made his prediction that Carnage would drag it out to October. He might be right... I would have thought that it would be smart to have it sooner rather than later to take advantage of the convention bounce but the liberal leader election was such a total farce and they of course got away with it with their help from the LSM... I’m now thinking they are cocky enough they can do anything they want.
As for Poilievre, it seems that once the Liberals threw out a few attack ads trying to attach him to PDJT, he lost his confidence and the plan... or he just let himself get overwhelmed by a bunch of misguided advisors in the backroom. By the way, it certainly doesn’t help the Conservatives to have Doug Ford running around being buddy-buddy with Carnage and pretending to be a tough guy poking PDJT in the eye and doing his best to destroy the economy.
By the way, I see that this poll was referenced by Frank Vaughan the other day on his program... seems like quite a good site with lots of good information. https://www.poliwave.com/Canada/Federal/Polling/poll.html
There is a reason Canada is the world’s underachiever.
Canadians are asleep at the wheel.
They have drunk the Liberal koolaid, “Orange man bad,” propaganda form CNN via CBC, and CTV over the last 10 years.
The fact is that if Canada elects the liberals this time, Canada will become a third world country, an outpost of the WEF beyond the European pale. This while the United States enters its golden age, Canadians can comfort themselves in sucking the hind tit of progressive ideology, which now imprisons the Canadian populus, while ruled by a political elite of liberal politicians,who have conspired to illegally destroy Canada’s true dream of a populist movement and freedom, as represented by the Freedom Movement, Chris Barbour and Tamara Lich.
Trump knows this exactly.Will Canada cast of these liberal chains? Doubtful, they are too busy booing the US national anthem, and wing nutting US booze off their retail shelves, as if it mattered to anyone but themselves.
Trump will never cut a deal with the liberal politicians who now think they have beaten the populist movement in Canada.Trump will beat the royal pish out of them, just as he is doing now.
A new more populist Conservative government might be able to save the day, but Canadians have been blinded by the cries of faux liberal Canadian Nationalism which will further imprison them.
They vote liberal , Canada is no more.The country will become the Zimbabwe of the North.Why do you think that the liberals have destroyed the private use of firearms in Canada, and its civil retail industry?The liberal elites refuse to give up power.Canada’s liberal thought police are sharpening their knives.Soon if you criticize a elite liberal in any public forum, you will be charged with criminal hate speech, or hauled up before a Human Rights Board.
Trump knows all of this, and he has given Canada an opportunity of economy which has been reviled and ignored by the Canadian press.Who would blame TRump for his contempt for the Liberal Party of Canada? Certainly not Americans who bask in a new age of liberty and freedom from the progressive yoke still plaguing Canada.
Canada has become a parasite on the United States economically and militarily , while Canadians are assured that they are something special by their politicians, they become a nation of fools.
....depends on whatever marching orders the EU will give to Carneyval...
Justin from Canada and the Globalist pulled off a masterfull job of flushing Canada down the toilet.
Plus, they convinced sooo many canuckleheads that Canada has no history, no culture, no society, no identity and the Country founders were creepy white men.
Then, President Trump invited Govenor Trudeau to join the United States of America
Fourtunately, that offer vapourized 10 years of narrative, propaganda and conditioning.
Some canucklheads identity remains a negative, “we are not Yanks!”. Pray they rediscover their culture and reject the Globalists
I would not be surprised if the honeymoon dissipates. I am reminded of when Paul Martin (Mr. Dithers) succeeded Jean Chretien, the Liberal numbers went up as the stink of Adscam and other things tied with Chretien went away that bit. However, Martin turned out to be that kind of a real disappointment on his own as a leader, not to mention that people were still aware of Adscam or the failed gun registry or HRDC and other Liberal scandals and overall incompetence, and ultimately he lost to Stephen Harper. Likely a scenario not too dissimilar from the above is going to play out with Carney.
That’s my hope. Kim Campbell at one point was at over 50%, but then the honeymoon dissipated and Reform gained momentum.
I have a son who is hoping for that big a backlash, but I’d settle for a Conservative minority-—although a majority would be preferable.
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