Posted on 12/02/2024 8:38:54 AM PST by SeekAndFind
Election 2024 is in the rearview mirror. Pollsters won’t be bombarding voters anymore. Today’s entertainment is liberal heads exploding on social media or the latest Democrat threatening but not actually following through on everything from drinking cyanide to setting themselves on fire to leaving the country if Donald Trump won the election.
So far, few have followed through on their promises, although a handful have left the country. Good riddance to them.
Trump did win, bigly, in a landslide of sorts. He won the Electoral College handily, 312 to 226. Trump also won the popular vote, 49.9% to 48.3%. As a divided country, the popular vote will always be close. In his 49-state Electoral College landslides, Ronald Reagan only garnered 54% to 55% of the popular vote.
Interestingly, President-elect Trump has already selected his cabinet three weeks post-election, and some states are barely finished counting ballots. This explains why the popular vote percentage between the two candidates has continuously narrowed since the election. Wait long enough and at this rate, Vice President Kamala Harris will eventually lead the popular vote.
Opinion polls are a campaign season staple. Engaged voters watch the polls like day traders monitor the stock market. The daily mood of a large portion of the electorate hinges on where their favored candidate ranks in the latest opinion poll and how their popularity is trending.
The ultimate poll was conducted on Nov. 5, election day. In that poll, in the actual election, Trump received 50.0% and Harris 48.3%, or Trump +1.7%.
(Excerpt) Read more at americanthinker.com ...
Think Gore in 2004 and Clinton in 2020 had stronger arguments that they should get another opportunity to run a second time.
She did worse than them but acts like a second straight nomination is owed to her. Think Vance would beat her. Newsome, Shapiro, the Democrats in 2028 will be brutal on her shortcomings as a candidate. With votes dripping in so slowly, a nailbiter election would have the possibility to be Hellish, like 2000 and 2020.
In 2024, this IS a landslide.
But to say it’s not that far from Reagan’s numbers is a little out there.
55 percent is HUGE.
But that was then. This is now.
In the end, the only who give a dam about the margin is hand wringers worrying about msm saying there’s no mandate.
And RINOs :)
I’ve done a lot of hand wringing in my time so I shouldn’t talk :)
These timely polls, shortly before the election, were spot on.
As there are winners and losers, who lost in the polling?
The RealClearPolitics average gave Harris +0.1 in the popular vote. Rather than sharing the blame among all the pollsters, which polls skewed the average toward Harris?
The final Ipsos poll results were Harris +2, NPR/PBS/Marist Harris +4, Forbes/HarrisX Harris +2, Yahoo News Harris +1, and Morning Consult Harris +2.
Tied results came from TIPP, [TIPP's final tracking poll, published early on Nov. 5 showed Trump leading by 0.3 point, which would place its final call for Trump as accurate], the New York Post, NBC News, and Emerson.
Polling at the state level was wildly off the mark. In New Jersey, two polls, Rutgers-Eagleton and Cygnal predicted Harris +20 and +12, respectively. The final margin was far less, Harris +4.9.
And the leftists will keep "finding" votes for Heels Up until that happens.
As of this writing, Trump is winning the Popular vote 76,931,700 to 74,450,916 ( Nope they haven’t finished counting yet ). That’s 50% to Kamala’s 48.4%.
Trump won 312 Electoral Votes to Kamala’s 226
See here:
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2024_United_States_presidential_election
STATES CARRIED BY TRUMP: 31 + ME-02
STATES CARRIED BY KAMALA: 19 + DC + NE-02
An Iowa poll had Harris winning the state and she got smoked there. Their bias comes in oversampling Democrats.
RE: An Iowa poll had Harris winning the state and she got smoked there. Their bias comes in oversampling Democrats.
Yep.
The biggest loser was the Des Moines Register/Mediacom Iowa Poll. On Nov. 2, pollster Ann Selzer claimed, “Kamala Harris leapfrogs Donald Trump to take lead near Election Day.” Trump was +4 in September, and on the eve of the election, Harris was +3, a 7-point swing.
When the votes were tallied, Trump had won Iowa by more than 13 points. The difference between the pre-election poll and reality was 20 points. This was more than a swing and a miss; it was like showing up in the wrong city for the game.
MSNBC’s Rachel Maddow was delighted by this “shock result.” “If this is accurate, and if anybody is accurate, it’s likely to be Ann Selzer in the Iowa poll. If this is accurate, it implies that Harris might be winning Iowa,” Rachel Maddow gushed.
How did that turn out? About as well as Maddow’s fantasies of Trump-Russia collusion and Trump allegedly not paying his taxes. Bupkis.
Maddow’s joy over the Iowa poll was short-lived, however. “MSNBC primetime viewership plunged 54% in the days after Donald Trump won the White House as the network’s audience tuned away from its left-leaning coverage.” Garbage in, garbage out. Or live by the lie, die by the lie.
Taking a break from chestfeeding, Mayor Pete, (now Joe Biden’s Transportation secretary), joyfully tweeted, “Iowa, you have shocked the nation.” Pete Buttigieg was really shocked on Wednesday morning when he realized that Donald Trump would be the next president.
This Iowa poll went so well for Ms. Selzer /sarc that, post-election, she is moving on “to other ventures and opportunities.” Perhaps MSNBC or The View has an empty seat for her.
Which a perfect example of why the electoral college was a stroke of brilliance by the Founding Fathers. America doesn't need the azhos in New Yawk and California deciding who wins the presidency every election while the rest of the states wonder why they even bothered to participate in the RAT elections.
My brain always sees this as NPR/PBS/Marxist.
REAL TIME TOTAL:
Trump: 77,136,465
Harris: 74,707,334
2020
Trump: 74,216,747
Biden: 81,268,867
Trump: election over election: +2,919,718
DEMOCRAT: -6,561,533
The so-called Thinker needs to have some standards on which sloppy right-wingers they allow to post on it.
Biden maintains his record for the most “votes” in American history.
Lol.
Biden may want to pardon himself and the rest of his 2020 vote fraud team.
I'd give biggest loser to "polling Nostradamus" Allan Lichtman.
Be called a laughably self-aggrandizing name like "polling Nostradamus"? Check.
Get the prediction wrong? Check.
Blame voter racism and misogyny rather than your "polling keys" for the error? Check.
Get called out on it by a fellow Leftist? Check.
Go into completely embarrassing meltdown mode defending yourself, including saying that those who criticize you are committing "blasphemy'? Check.
Rich Baris was very close and he said all along Trump would win...Big Data Poll.
Trump is great getting reelected. But he doesn’t have strong down ballot help. And it’s worse if his name isn’t on the ballot.
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