Posted on 11/02/2024 6:12:28 PM PDT by Redmen4ever
Vice President Kamala Harris holds 47% to former President Donald Trump’s 44% among likely voters
(Excerpt) Read more at cnn.com ...
About a month ago, a Selzer poll was released showing Trump up by only 4 points, when contemporaneous polls by Cygnal showed Trump ahead by 11, and by the SAY consortium showed Trump ahead by 12.
PLUS: the Iowa Youth Straw Vote, based on thousands of mock votes cast by students, has demonstrated solid predictive content both as to the winner and, roughly, as to margin. Trump did better in the Youth Straw Vote this year than he did either in 2020 and 2016 (when he won the Youth Straw Vote by lesser margins and subsequently carried the state).
The last time a Democrat won the Youth Straw Vote was in 2012 (when Obama carried the state).
Good for Ann Selzer that she sticks to he poll's results. To be a leader, you have to be out in front. But, you get too far out in front, and you're a loner, not a leader.
Talk about a fake poll.
Atlas Intel, Rasmussen and Trafalgar are the only accurate polls with a non-biased algorithm with a proven history.
I doubt she gets Iowa. Fake poll.
The 2% who haven’t decided yet should not be allowed to vote because they are idiots.
LEts hope horizontal harris throws the rest of her resources into Iowa!!!
I needed a good laugh.
If this poll was correct, Harris would be running away with this election.
VanShuyten & Co. says BS.
Oh, there’s nothing halfway
About the Iowa way to treat you,
When we treat you
Which we may not do at all.
— Meredith Wilson
Screw their algorithm, it’s whatever they say it is. Polling is no different than fake news, no accountability or transparency. No proof they actually do whatever they claim to have done. Cheapest and easiest propaganda tool of all time.
her sampling make-up needs scrutiny
Driving around the state
A lot of Harris signs. Not many Trump signs.
The local ads are pushing abortion, anti school choice, and that tariffs will kill ag.
Talking with people, well like it or not the tariffs have angered a lot of people. And the school choice has hurt smaller under performing schools, so that is a hot button also.
https://election.lab.ufl.edu/early-vote/2024-early-voting/2024-general-election-early-vote-iowa/
https://www.pewresearch.org/politics/2024/10/24/american-voters-expectations-for-voting-this-year/
Harris is toast.
Cold equations.
Is it possible that 68% of the females in Iowa wish to abort their pregnancies?
If she wins Iowa, it’ll be a rout.
Given the results of 2016 and 2020, She would probably have to be up around 10 in the national polls to be winning Iowa...which she isn’t...
Hadn’t figured Selzer being on the Diddy party list.
I don’t believe polls, but is it easier to mass cheat in Iowas when no one is looking for it there?
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