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Election Forecast Models Shift in Favor of Trump Victory in 2024 Election
Breitbart ^ | 10/21/2024 | ELIZABETH WEIBEL

Posted on 10/21/2024 6:14:53 PM PDT by ChicagoConservative27

Several election forecast models have shifted in favor of former President Donald Trump winning the upcoming presidential election over Vice President Kamala Harris.

FiveThirtyEight, polling expert Nate Silver, J.L. Partners, Decision Desk HQ, and the Hill released election forecast results from their models, which found that Trump’s chances of winning the upcoming election were greater than Harris’s.

In a Decision Desk HQ/the Hill election forecast, the model found that Trump had a 52 percent chance of winning the election, while Harris held a 42 percent chance of winning the election.

(Excerpt) Read more at breitbart.com ...


TOPICS: Culture/Society; Government; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: 2024; election; favor; forecast; models; trump; victory
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I love it 😁
1 posted on 10/21/2024 6:14:53 PM PDT by ChicagoConservative27
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To: ChicagoConservative27

I’m waiting for the big “October surprise”. Harris comes out of the toilet and admits she dating Tater Swuft.


2 posted on 10/21/2024 6:24:45 PM PDT by FlingWingFlyer (I've come to the conclusion that the world is made up of millions of Three Stooges comedians.)
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To: ChicagoConservative27

Well...we are 2 weeks away...and polsters who still want to work are ...ahem...adjusting their numbers.


3 posted on 10/21/2024 6:27:18 PM PDT by goodnesswins (DEI....Divide, Enslave, Indoctrinate.....OR ......Didn't Earn It)
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To: goodnesswins

Counting your chickens people.


4 posted on 10/21/2024 6:34:56 PM PDT by DIRTYSECRET
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To: ChicagoConservative27
The Beltway deep state and DOJ must be in cease fire arrangements with the Trump People. A mutual stand down.

Don't agree to it.

5 posted on 10/21/2024 6:35:35 PM PDT by blackdog ((Z28.310) Be careful what you say. Your refrigerator may be listening & reporting you.)
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To: ChicagoConservative27

In order to get more popular with single women, Kamala’s going to claim she was aborted


6 posted on 10/21/2024 6:37:55 PM PDT by struggle
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To: ChicagoConservative27

” the model found that Trump had a 52 percent chance of winning the election, while Harris held a 42 percent chance of winning the election.”

Said another way Harris has a 58% chance of losing the election.


7 posted on 10/21/2024 6:38:05 PM PDT by quantim (Victory is not relative, it is absolute.)
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To: ChicagoConservative27

Some Washington Post clown (Simon Rosenburg? I am not sure of the name) is all over Twitter claiming this is all right wing disinformation and that Kamal is doing just fine.


8 posted on 10/21/2024 6:39:51 PM PDT by Recovering_Democrat
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To: struggle

“Oh, wait - my bad - actually I worked at Burger King”


9 posted on 10/21/2024 6:40:45 PM PDT by atc23 (The Matriarchal Society we embrace has led to masks and mandates and the cult of "safety")
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To: ChicagoConservative27

No letting up! An all-out pedal-to-the-metal finish will have them caught up in its wake.


10 posted on 10/21/2024 6:46:28 PM PDT by equaviator (If 60 is the new 40 then 35 must be the new 15.)
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To: ChicagoConservative27

I’m seeing Georgia’s Secretary of State Raffensperger saying voting results won’t be announced for 4 days so mail-in ballots from military familes can be counted - in 2020 Fulton Country claimed every military mail-in ballot was for Biden. I’m seeing posts on X saying voters in Tarrant County, Texas are seeing the votes they cast for Trump on the screen turned into votes for Harris when their ballots are printed. The Democrats are utterly corrupt and will do their damndest to steal this election, regardless of any forecasts.


11 posted on 10/21/2024 6:48:06 PM PDT by AnotherUnixGeek
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To: DIRTYSECRET

Posting articles.

Nobody’s counting anything :)


12 posted on 10/21/2024 6:59:18 PM PDT by dp0622 (Tried a coup, a fake tax story, tramp slander, Russia nonsense, impeachment and a virus. They lost.)
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To: ChicagoConservative27

Take nothing for granted. Remember the “Red Wave.” Get out and vote!


13 posted on 10/21/2024 7:02:41 PM PDT by GreenHornet
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To: GreenHornet

Trump will win….men will not vote for her…and most women want a male president….Hillary could not win…


14 posted on 10/21/2024 7:31:23 PM PDT by Hojczyk
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To: DIRTYSECRET

No...speculating on what pollsters are doing...keep up.


15 posted on 10/21/2024 7:39:44 PM PDT by goodnesswins (DEI....Divide, Enslave, Indoctrinate.....OR ......Didn't Earn It)
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To: ChicagoConservative27

https://x.com/Logan_Ratick/status/1848387394732486884

Waltz’s disrespecting workers at his McDonald’s during the riot.


16 posted on 10/21/2024 7:47:19 PM PDT by TornadoAlley3 ( I'm Proud To Be An Okie From Muskogee)
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To: DIRTYSECRET
"Counting your chickens people."

You are sooooo correct with that statement.

There are many here assuming that Trump is a "shoo-in"

All these polls are missing one very important thing ... the cheat vote. The fake ballots, the midnight truck load dump, the double-tripple-quadruple processing of ballots, the endless count for weeks on end until the "count comes out right".

Unless Trump is up by 10% MINIMUM based on all polls ... Cameltoe will take this election easily.

17 posted on 10/21/2024 8:10:36 PM PDT by CapnJack ( )
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To: ChicagoConservative27

I trust no polls.


18 posted on 10/22/2024 2:58:30 AM PDT by thirdgradeteacher
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To: ChicagoConservative27

19 posted on 10/22/2024 3:02:00 AM PDT by newfreep ("There is no race problem...just a problem race")
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To: AnotherUnixGeek

20 posted on 10/22/2024 3:05:36 AM PDT by newfreep ("There is no race problem...just a problem race")
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