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Betting Markets Deliver Trump a Commanding Lead over Harris
Breitbart ^ | 10/15/2024 | Simon Kent

Posted on 10/15/2024 6:44:05 AM PDT by ChicagoConservative27

Betting markets are lining up to show former President Donald Trump with a winning lead over Kamala Harris in the 2024 race for the White House.

The Republican currently has a -145 line on BetOnline, compared to Harris’s +125. A negative line means that bookmakers believe the odds favor that person to win, the Independent notes.

Other sites show a similar shift to Trump over his Democratic rival with 20 days to go until polling.

Fox News reports after favoring Harris for two straight months, traders on PredictIt have now flipped for Trump, mirroring other betting markets that show the former president is the odds-on favorite to win the election.

(Excerpt) Read more at breitbart.com ...


TOPICS: Culture/Society; Government; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: betting; commanding; harris; lead; markets; trump
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Wow!
1 posted on 10/15/2024 6:44:05 AM PDT by ChicagoConservative27
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Comment #2 Removed by Moderator

To: Levy78

The ontological shock when Trump wins is going to be too much for many of these weirdos.

~~~

Trump is right though. This needs to be TOO BIG TO RIG!

There can’t be any room to cheat!

There can’t be any way for the network karens to claim the were irregularities when Trump slightly wins and then those freaking hipocrites start calling for lawyers and delegates not to certify.

If you want to enjoy the taste of your enemies tears in November, this has to be a complete and utter runaway.


3 posted on 10/15/2024 6:57:22 AM PDT by z3n (Kakistocracy)
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To: Levy78

I will have to buy more popcorn. :)

Might also have to buy a new raincoat to protect myself from all the leftists’ heads exploding. :)


4 posted on 10/15/2024 7:00:28 AM PDT by piytar (Remember Ashli Babbitt, Rosanne Boyland, and Corey Comperatore!)
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To: z3n

Yup


5 posted on 10/15/2024 7:00:48 AM PDT by piytar (Remember Ashli Babbitt, Rosanne Boyland, and Corey Comperatore!)
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To: ChicagoConservative27

How reliable are “betting markets”?


6 posted on 10/15/2024 7:01:35 AM PDT by Gay State Conservative (Import The Third World,Become The Third World)
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To: Gay State Conservative

Betting markets are more reliable than polls, because they take the possibilities of fraud into account. In 2020 Trump had a winning lead for a majority of electoral votes in the polls, but the betting markets stubbornly favored Biden, and they were correct.


7 posted on 10/15/2024 7:05:44 AM PDT by devere
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To: piytar

While I like your optimism, let’s not get caught up in another “Red Wave” head fake.


8 posted on 10/15/2024 7:07:58 AM PDT by stevio (Fight until you die!)
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To: devere

Yea, I remember Bush/Gore.....The betting markets had Gore with a commanding lead 2 hours into election night coverage.


9 posted on 10/15/2024 7:11:06 AM PDT by traderrob6
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To: stevio

Agree.

To all Freepers: All I can say is VOTE!!! Ignore all the polls, noise, news (real or fake), and VOTE!!!

Especially Christians and Second Amendment supporters. For some reason they vote at low levels. To them: VOTE!!!


10 posted on 10/15/2024 7:11:54 AM PDT by piytar (Remember Ashli Babbitt, Rosanne Boyland, and Corey Comperatore!)
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To: devere
Do these markets bet on nationwide popular vote totals...or on Electoral votes? It seems likely to me that Kommie will get more votes nationwide...thanks to wetbacks and the deceased...but that obviously means nothing.
11 posted on 10/15/2024 7:13:51 AM PDT by Gay State Conservative (Import The Third World,Become The Third World)
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To: ChicagoConservative27

The Democrats are already talking about not certifying the election if Trump wins.


12 posted on 10/15/2024 7:14:06 AM PDT by Parley Baer
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To: ChicagoConservative27

its all about the electoral college and Penn in particular.


13 posted on 10/15/2024 7:22:55 AM PDT by TexasFreeper2009
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To: Gay State Conservative

“Do these markets bet on nationwide popular vote totals...or on Electoral votes?”

Good question. BetOnline is primarily for sports betting. Thus one would think it is a bet on who wins. But how did they arrive at a so-called win? I would think these people know how a candidate wins.


14 posted on 10/15/2024 7:25:04 AM PDT by plain talk
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To: ChicagoConservative27

That’s fantastic! But it all boils down to one life or death POLL…. The November 5th POLL! 🙏🏻


15 posted on 10/15/2024 7:30:26 AM PDT by RoseofTexas
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To: devere; Gay State Conservative
Good point...I noted Trump pass Harris as the favorite by a slim margin on Oddschecker, 3 Oct.; and he has since increased and held the lead.

Here is some presidential betting odds history.

16 posted on 10/15/2024 7:35:45 AM PDT by PerConPat (The politician is an animal which can sit on a fence and yet keep both ears to the ground.- Mencken)
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To: traderrob6

I don’t remember that episode from 2000. I do remember 2004 when an erroneous exit poll from Ohio caused the betting odds to favor Kerry for hours on election day. At the time I was sorry I didn’t have a betting account open to take advantage.

Here is an article on the history of presidential election polls: https://www.bookmakersreview.com/politics/predictions/betting-odds-predict-presidential-election/


17 posted on 10/15/2024 7:36:41 AM PDT by devere
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To: Levy78

Liberals are planning their demonstrations as we speak!


18 posted on 10/15/2024 8:32:09 AM PDT by SMARTY (In politics, stupidity is not a handicap. Napoleon Bonaparte I)
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To: Parley Baer
Of course! If they don't win, there has to be a reason like fraud. .. never mind that their candidate is a national joke!
19 posted on 10/15/2024 8:34:13 AM PDT by SMARTY (In politics, stupidity is not a handicap. Napoleon Bonaparte I)
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To: ChicagoConservative27

Well, OK but remember that the “betting markets” said that Mrs. Bill Clinton had such a commanding lead in 2016 that they paid off bets for her even before the election.

Some thought she’d be the first person to win all 50 states.


20 posted on 10/15/2024 8:41:37 AM PDT by libertylover (Our biggest problem, by far, is that almost all of big media is AGENDA-DRIVEN, not-truth driven.)
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