Posted on 09/06/2024 10:33:53 AM PDT by thegagline
Florida and Texas are within the margin of error in the presidential race between former President Trump and Vice President Harris, according to a poll released Friday.
The survey from Emerson College Polling/The Hill showed Trump leading Harris in Florida by 5 points, 50 percent to 45 percent, and in Texas by 4 points, 50 percent to 46 percent.
The results are a bit closer than what some other polling has found on the races but not completely out of sync with recent polls that have shown a tighter race in those states.
*** The forecast model from The Hill/Decision Desk HQ gives Trump an 83 percent chance of winning Texas and a 75 percent chance of winning Florida. But Florida is only rated as “lean Republican,” and some polls for both states have had Trump leading by single digits. A Florida Atlantic University poll from last month had Trump’s lead in the Sunshine State at just 3 points, and a poll from two Texas universities had Trump leading in the Lone Star State by 5 points.
The Emerson poll showed Harris just behind Trump in favorability rating for the states. His net favorability rating was positive 2 points in both, while the vice president’s in both was negative 2 points. The poll also found a significant gender gap, with Trump leading among Texas men by 18 points, up from 17 points in 2020, and among Florida men by 12 points, up from 9 points four years prior. Harris leads among Texas women by 8 points, up from 3 points, and among Florida women by 2 points.
*** The poll was conducted Sept. 3-5 among 815 likely voters in Florida and 845 likely voters in Texas. ***
(Excerpt) Read more at thehill.com ...
Tulsi Gabbard would have been a better pick for Vice President if winning the general election was the goal.
The Emerson poll is BS..more Donk oversampling.
What is the point of posting crap like this from “The Hill”?
Worthless on steroids.
Exactly.
Trolling, for sure.
I guess Texas women love all the migrants and want millions more
Kamala is not anywhere near Trump in any place that counts. Take your The Hill nonsense and peddle it elsewhere.
Vance is doing great and so is Tulsi.
+1 !!!
White suburban woman break for Harris because they are largely obtuse and easily manipulated by social media.
JD is doing fine, thank you.
You’re either gullible or a troll. Anything from the Hill is BS. Trump will win Texas by approximately 10 points and Florida by 8 points. Do you have any idea how big that is? That’s about 800K votes in Florida amd 1M in Texas.
Who’s Hayward?
Next thing you’re going to tell me is that Allred has a chance of beating Cruz.
I'm not saying that the pool is totally inaccurate. There are -many- posters that like polls that show support for their candidates and issues and dislike polls that don't. That's just life in the ignorant lane.
But best to verify all poll methodologies (or “mythologies” as a friend once said).
LOL- do you really believe Texas and Florida are in play??? Seriously??
White and single working class men are refusing to date white, middle class women anymore. Someone has to pay. The women are mad as Hell and aren’t going to take this laying down 😡
“It appears that white suburban women are breaking for Harris. Apparently, the “right” to abortion is more important than inflation, crime, open borders, the First Amendment, going to war etc.”
Not to mention the thrill of voting for someone with a vagina.
Pretty sure we get this headline every four years…
Tag line bump.
Yeah this is total nonsense and done EVERY FOUR YEARS..Harris is only up 5 in Minnesota, so I guess that means that Trump can win Minnesota
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